Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13281

Geography Surveyed: State of New Jersey
Data Collected: 01/30/2008 - 01/31/2008
Release Date: 02/01/2008 6:00 AM ET
Sponsors: WABC-TV New York, WCAU-TV Philadelphia

New Jersey Republican Primary: Moderates Propel McCain Past Romney -- 4 days to the NJ Republican Primary, it's John McCain 48%, Mitt Romney 25% and other in single digits, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia. The contest is tied among Conservatives, but McCain leads by 39 points among Moderates. 1 in 3 voters say they may change their mind.

Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of NJ adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known. Half of the interviews were completed before the Republican Debate on 01/30/08, half were completed after. Of the adults, 1,772 were registered to vote. Of them, 456 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Republican Primary.

  Asked of 456 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.7 percentage points.

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

9% Huckabee
48% McCain
25% Romney
7% Paul
7% Other
5% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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