New Mexico CD1 House Race Too-Close-To-Call on Election Eve: Democratic challenger Patricia Madrid clings to the smallest possible advantage over Republican incumbent Heather Wilson, 24 hours till polls close, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for KOB-TV Albuquerque. Madrid had trailed in SurveyUSA's first poll, conducted before Mark Foley. Madrid led by 8 in the middle of media coverage over Mark Foley. At the wire, Madrid gets 50%, Wilson 48%, within the survey's 3.8% margin of sampling error. Males, as they have been, remain tied. Madrid's advantage is from females, but momentum there is with Wilson. Middle-income and upper-income voters are returning to Wilson in the campaign's final days. Lower-income voters are newly rallying to Madrid. The contest will be decided by voter turnout. Each vote in the District is critical.
Wilson was first elected to Congress in a special election in June 1998. In 5 elections, she has never received more than 55% of the vote.