Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10290

Geography Surveyed: FL 5th Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/17/2006 - 09/19/2006
Release Date: 09/20/2006 11:30 AM ET
Sponsor: WFLA-TV Tampa

Brown-Waite Well Positioned to Hold FL5 for Republicans: In an election for US House of Representatives in Florida's 5th Congressional District today, 9/20/06, incumbent Republican Congresswoman Ginny Brown-Waite defeats Democrat challenger John Russell, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Brown-Waite wins by 16 points, 56% to 40%. Republicans support Brown-Waite 8:1. Democrats support Russell 4:1. Independents break 3:2 for Russell, but this is not enough to overcome the 3:2 Republican advantage among 5th CD likely voters. Brown-Waite leads 5:2 among the most affluent voters. Russell leads by 4 points among the least affluent voters. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's performance in office, 88% support Brown-Waite. Of those who disapprove of Bush's job performance, 74% support Russell. President Bush's job approval among likely voters in Florida's 5th CD is 51%. Brown-Waite was first elected to Congress in 2002.

Filtering: 1,000 adults from Florida's 5th Congressional District were interviewed 9/17/06 - 9/19/06. Of them, 885 were registered to vote. Of them, 572 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 572 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Ginny Brown-Waite? Or Democrat John Russell?

56% Brown-Waite (R)
40% Russell (D)
4% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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