Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18424
Geography Surveyed: Kentucky
Data Collected: 07/22/2011 - 07/27/2011
Release Date: 07/27/2011 1:45 PM ET
Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, Louisville, KY
In KY, Incumbent Democrat Governor Beshear In Command In Bid for Re-Election:
3 months until votes are counted in Kentucky, Incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear leads Republican challenger David Williams 2:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for the Courier-Journal newspaper and WHAS-TV in Louisville. 25% of Republicans cross-over to vote Democrat. 21% of Tea Party members cross-over to vote Democrat. Just 56% of Republican voters back the Republican candidate. When the demographic groups are added up, it's Beshear 52%, Williams 28%, a 24-point advantage for the Democrat in a state that in 2010 elected a Tea Party candidate to the U.S. Senate. Independent Gatewood Galbraith gets 9% in an election for Governor today, 07/28/11. Beshear, elected in 2007 with 59% of the vote, is strong in greater Louisville, where he gets 61% of the vote, among moderates, where he gets 65%, among women, where he gets 57%, among seniors, where he gets 59%, and among pro-choice voters, where he gets 70% of the vote. Williams carries conservatives, but barely. * Beshear has a Plus 27 Favorability Rating, impressive in a climate where some blame Democrats for the country's lingering wars and weak economy. * Williams has a Minus 15 Favorability Rating. This survey includes cell phone respondents and landline respondents. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Kentucky adults 07/22/11 through 07/27/11. Of the adults, 689 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 512 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/11 Gubernatorial election. This survey was conducted multi-mode, to ensure that those who do not have a home telephone (and who make and receive calls on a cell phone) are included in the survey. Respondents who do not have a home telephone (26% of KY adults, 24% of likely voters in these results) responded to SurveyUSA questions on their mobile phone or other electronic device. Beshear's lead among cell phone respondents is 27 points. |
1
|
Asked of 512 Likely Voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.4 percentage points. |
If the election for Kentucky Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Williams? Democrat Steve Beshear? Or Independent Gatewood Galbraith? |
28% | Williams (R) |
52% | Beshear (D) |
9% | Galbraith (I) |
11% | Undecided |
2
|
Asked of 512 likely voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.4 percentage points. |
Is your opinion of David Williams ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of David Williams? |
21% | Favorable |
36% | Unfavorable |
24% | Neutral |
19% | No Opinion |
3
|
Asked of 512 likely voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.4 percentage points. |
Is your opinion of Steve Beshear ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Steve Beshear? |
48% | Favorable |
21% | Unfavorable |
22% | Neutral |
9% | No Opinion |
Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
Statement of Methodology | |
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