Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9139

Geography Surveyed: CA 50th CD
Data Collected: 05/07/2006 - 05/09/2006
Release Date: 05/10/2006 10:50 AM ET
Sponsor: KGTV-TV San Diego

Bilbray 45%, Busby 45%: In a special election held today, 5/10/06, in California's 50th Congressional District, Republican Brian Bilbray and Democrat Francine Busby tie, each with 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 442 likely voters conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV San Diego. 9% would vote for some other candidate. Bilbray gets 82% of Republican votes. Busby gets 92% of Democrat votes. Among Independents, Busby leads Bilbray 54% to 19%. Bilbray leads among male voters by 5 points. Busby leads among female voters by 5 points. The 50th Congressional seat is vacant; Republican Randy "Duke" Cunningham resigned on 11/28/2005. Busby won the Special Primary on 4/11/06 with 44% of the vote. Bilbray finished second with 15%, 1 point ahead of Republican Eric Roach. 80% of Roach's voters now support Bilbray. Among likely voters who did not vote in the Special Primary, Bilbray leads Busby by 19 points. 27 days remain until the 6/6/06 Primary.

Filtering: 900 registered voters from California's 50th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 5/7/06 - 5/9/06. Of them, 442 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect Likely Special Election voters.