Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16858

Geography Surveyed: Kentucky
Data Collected: 07/27/2010 - 07/29/2010
Release Date: 07/30/2010 7:00 AM ET
Sponsor: The Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV Poll, Louisville, KY

KY Senate: Republican Rand Paul Still Narrowly Atop Democrat Jack Conway As Fancy Farm Picnic Nears:

In an election for United States Senator from Kentucky today, 07/30/10, Republican Rand Paul edges Democrat Jack Conway, 51% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 months ago, the contest is essentially unchanged, with Paul flat and Conway down a nominal 2 points. Paul today runs a little stronger among men, a little weaker among women, than he did in SurveyUSA's last poll. Conway may have made up some ground in Western Kentucky, but lost some ground in Eastern Kentucky. 1 in 4 Democrats cross-over to vote Republican. Independents break 3:2 Republican.


Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 KY adults 07/27/10 through 07/29/10. Of them, 804 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 568 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November election for US Senate. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election. The annual Fancy Farm picnic, traditionally the start of the Kentucky election season, takes place 08/07/10; both Paul and Conway are scheduled to speak at the event.

1
  Asked of 568 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

[candidate names rotated]
If the election for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? Republican Rand Paul? Or Democrat Jack Conway?

51% Paul (R)
43% Conway (D)
5% Undecided

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