Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12371

Geography Surveyed: Kentucky
Data Collected: 07/14/2007 - 07/16/2007
Release Date: 07/17/2007 9:20 AM ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

Fletcher Makes No Significant Inroads Against Beshear; Democrat Still Poised for KY Statehouse Takeaway: In a general election for Governor of Kentucky today, 7/17/07, 7 weeks after the Primary and 3-and-1/2 months to the general, the Democratic challengers Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo maintain a material lead over the incumbent Republican team of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 560 likely KY voters conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Beshear is at 59% today, down slightly from 62% in SurveyUSA's 5/25/07 tracking poll. Fletcher is at 36% today, up slightly from 34% on 5/25/07. 24% of Kentucky Republicans today cross-over and vote Democratic in this contest, down from the 36% of Republicans who told SurveyUSA they would crossover in SurveyUSA's 5/25/07 release. Fletcher trails today by 12 among men, trails by 35 among women. Beshear leads by 16 or more points in every region of the state.

Filtering: 1,000 Kentucky adults were interviewed 7/14/07 through 7/16/07. Of them, 870 were registered to vote. Of them, 560 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the election for Kentucky Governor, and were included in this survey.

  Asked of 560 likely voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for the .... Republican ticket of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph? Or, the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo?

36% Fletcher / Rudolph (R)
59% Beshear / Mongiardo (D)
5% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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