Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9138

Geography Surveyed: Arizona 5th CD
Data Collected: 05/06/2006 - 05/08/2006
Release Date: 05/09/2006 2:50 PM ET
Sponsor: KPNX-TV Phoenix

Analysis: In a hypothetical election in Arizona's 5th Congressional District today, 5/9/06, Republican incumbent J.D. Hayworth is narrowly re-elected over possible Democratic challenger Harry Mitchell, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPNX-TV Phoenix. 6 months from the 11/7/06 general election, Hayworth gets 50% to 45% for the Democrat Mitchell. Hayworth gets 79% of Republican votes. Mitchell gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents break 50% to 44% for the Democrat. Hayworth leads by 13 points among men and trails by 2 points among women, a 15-point Gender Gap. Mitchell leads 4:1 among Liberals and 3:2 among the most educated voters. Mitchell will be Hayworth's opponent if Mitchell wins the Arizona Democratic Primary on 9/12/06.

600 Registered Voters from Arizona's 5th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 5/6/06 to 5/8/06. No screening for "likely" voters was done in this hypothetical match-up. SurveyUSA will screen for Likely Voters after the results of the Democratic Primary are known.

1
  Asked of 600 Registered Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%

Voters in Arizona's 5th District will elect a Representative to the U.S. Congress in November. If the election were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican J.D. Hayworth and Democrat Harry Mitchell, who would you vote for?

50% Hayworth (R)
45% Mitchell (D)
5% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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