Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9138

Geography Surveyed: Arizona 5th CD
Data Collected: 05/06/2006 - 05/08/2006
Release Date: 05/09/2006 2:50 PM ET
Sponsor: KPNX-TV Phoenix

Analysis: In a hypothetical election in Arizona's 5th Congressional District today, 5/9/06, Republican incumbent J.D. Hayworth is narrowly re-elected over possible Democratic challenger Harry Mitchell, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPNX-TV Phoenix. 6 months from the 11/7/06 general election, Hayworth gets 50% to 45% for the Democrat Mitchell. Hayworth gets 79% of Republican votes. Mitchell gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents break 50% to 44% for the Democrat. Hayworth leads by 13 points among men and trails by 2 points among women, a 15-point Gender Gap. Mitchell leads 4:1 among Liberals and 3:2 among the most educated voters. Mitchell will be Hayworth's opponent if Mitchell wins the Arizona Democratic Primary on 9/12/06.

600 Registered Voters from Arizona's 5th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 5/6/06 to 5/8/06. No screening for "likely" voters was done in this hypothetical match-up. SurveyUSA will screen for Likely Voters after the results of the Democratic Primary are known.