Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21380
 
Kansas Political Rundown: Brownback Under Water; Schodorf In Kobach's Rear-View Mirror; Roberts Ahead But Can't Coast:

6 weeks till votes are counted in the 08/05/14 Kansas Primary, no incumbent is threatened in contests for Governor, Senator and Secretary of State, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSN-TV in Wichita. But strong general election challengers may make for an exciting Fall.

On the Republican Primary ballot:

* For Governor, the incumbent ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer 3:2 defeats the challenger ticket of Jennifer Winn and Robin Lais.
* For U.S. Senator, incumbent Pat Roberts defeats challenger Milton Wolf 2:1.
* For Secretary of State, incumbent Kris Kobach defeats challenger Scott Morgan 2:1.

On the Democratic Primary ballot:

* For U.S. Senator, Chad Taylor defeats Patrick Wiesner 41% to 16%, but a plurality of likely voters, 43%, remain undecided, making any outcome possible.

Looking ahead to the 11/04/14 General Election:

* Brownback is fighting for his life. Democratic challengers Paul Davis and Jill Docking today lead the former U.S. Senator and current Governor, 47% to 41%. 1 in 4 registered Republicans today defects and votes for the Davis/Docking Democratic ticket. By contrast, Davis/Docking holds 89% of the Democratic base. Independents break Democratic by 19 points. Brownback's weakness among men, where he leads Davis by a nominal 1 point, cannot overcome the Democratic ticket's strength among women, where Davis/Docking leads by 14 points.

In the Governor contest, voters are focused on tax rates and education funding. Those who say tax rates are most important vote Republican, by 16 points. Those who say education funding is most important vote Democratic, by 54 points. Brownback has 5 months to consolidate his support.

* In the contest for the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Roberts, Roberts today defeats likely Democratic nominee Taylor 43% to 33%. Third-party candidates take 12% of the vote today, and another 12% are undecided. Roberts is above 50% in rural Western KS, but below 50% elsewhere. Roberts leads among men and women, and leads in every age group. But combined, Roberts' 3 opponents have more support than he does.

In the Senate contest, voters are focused on the economy and health care. Those who say health care is most important back Roberts 3:1. Those who say that the economy is most important back Taylor 4:3.

* In the Secretary of State contest, incumbent Republican Kris Kobach narrowly edges Jean Schodorf, 47% to 41%. Kobach appeals to conservatives, where he leads 9:1, but Schodorf has significant strength among moderates, where she leads by 38 points. Kobach holds 70% of the Republican base, but Schodorf holds 80% of the Democratic base. Independents in this contest break Democratic 4:3.

In the Secretary of State contest, voters are focused on immigration, where Kobach has a 41 point advantage.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 state of Kansas adults 06/19/14 through 06/23/14. Of the adults, 1931 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 508 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/05/14 Republican Primary, 252 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/05/14 Democratic Primary. 1,068 voters were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 General Election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a survey on their laptop, tablet, smartphone or other electronic device.

 
If the Republican Primary for Kansas Governor were today, which Republican ticket would you vote for? (tickets rotated) Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer? Or Jennifer Winn and Robin Lais?
508 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Sam Brownback And Jeff Colyer55%59%50%58%57%54%54%57%54%69%29%71%50%69%46%46%26%60%63%19%45%55%****70%31%32%63%55%52%65%53%52%67%53%64%45%55%56%
Jennifer Winn And Robin Lais37%36%39%40%32%37%40%35%38%23%65%24%37%24%47%46%61%34%30%70%44%37%****23%62%64%29%35%42%28%39%41%23%39%32%48%34%36%
Undecided8%5%11%2%11%9%7%8%8%7%6%6%13%6%7%8%13%6%7%10%11%8%****7%6%5%7%10%6%7%8%7%9%8%4%7%11%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%11%18%35%35%29%71%35%28%15%19%43%16%29%10%25%46%10%16%100%0%0%57%34%5%17%30%53%22%44%34%11%89%16%20%20%44%
 
If the Republican Primary for United States Senator were today, which Republican would you vote for? (names rotated) Pat Roberts? D.J. Smith? Milton Wolf? Or Alvin Zahnter?
508 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Pat Roberts56%56%57%67%60%54%54%63%54%59%62%55%46%59%48%63%38%52%59%43%61%56%****57%54%52%63%52%57%60%57%52%67%55%67%59%43%58%
D.J. Smith4%4%4%2%5%3%5%4%4%1%9%5%4%2%5%6%8%5%3%10%3%4%****3%8%13%2%3%5%4%3%6%0%5%5%1%5%5%
Milton Wolf23%27%18%17%24%23%25%21%24%26%13%22%32%25%31%13%29%27%24%24%17%23%****29%20%6%21%27%22%25%20%27%19%24%17%20%30%24%
Alvin Zahnter4%4%5%2%1%6%4%2%5%4%6%3%2%3%2%5%7%6%3%11%1%4%****2%8%13%3%2%5%3%4%6%0%5%2%5%6%3%
Undecided12%9%16%11%10%13%13%10%13%11%9%15%17%10%14%13%18%11%11%13%18%12%****10%10%15%10%15%11%9%15%10%14%12%9%14%16%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%11%18%35%35%29%71%35%28%15%19%43%16%29%10%25%46%10%16%100%0%0%57%34%5%17%30%53%22%44%34%11%89%16%20%20%44%
 
If the Republican Primary for Secretary of State were today, which Republican would you vote for? (names rotated) Kris Kobach? Or Scott Morgan?
508 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Kris Kobach61%63%59%50%66%68%55%60%62%72%38%74%68%71%69%51%40%64%74%23%47%61%****79%41%28%68%57%62%60%60%62%60%61%64%52%65%63%
Scott Morgan29%28%29%32%22%26%33%26%30%19%53%20%18%17%25%40%48%30%18%68%32%29%****13%51%72%25%26%31%28%27%32%20%30%22%38%28%27%
Undecided10%9%12%18%11%6%11%14%9%9%10%7%14%12%6%10%12%6%8%9%20%10%****8%8%0%8%17%7%11%13%5%21%9%14%11%7%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%11%18%35%35%29%71%35%28%15%19%43%16%29%10%25%46%10%16%100%0%0%57%34%5%17%30%53%22%44%34%11%89%16%20%20%44%
 
If the Democratic primary for United States Senator were today were today, which Democrat would you vote for? (names rotated) Chad Taylor? Or Patrick Wiesner?
252 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 6.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Chad Taylor41%44%39%48%24%40%50%33%44%42%45%59%30%37%36%50%39%48%44%44%42%**41%**64%41%52%37%46%39%46%37%41%21%45%16%30%33%54%
Patrick Wiesner16%15%17%9%15%15%21%13%17%11%18%16%22%14%25%16%15%13%21%22%10%**16%**18%21%12%15%15%17%15%17%16%10%17%48%20%6%13%
Undecided43%41%45%43%62%45%30%55%39%47%36%25%49%49%39%35%46%39%36%34%48%**43%**18%38%36%48%40%44%39%47%43%69%38%36%50%62%32%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%47%53%11%18%42%30%28%72%26%45%12%14%18%18%44%16%23%26%25%22%0%100%0%12%49%33%17%33%49%32%40%28%17%83%8%22%23%47%
 
If the November election for Kansas Governor were today, and the tickets on the ballot were ... (tickets rotated) The Republican ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer, The Democratic ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking, And the Libertarian ticket of Keen Umbehr and Josh Umbehr, Which ticket would you vote for?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Brownback/Colyer (R)41%44%37%42%42%37%43%42%40%52%19%55%48%61%39%27%26%39%57%12%35%62%6%27%71%23%9%45%42%39%41%41%39%42%40%52%36%43%38%
Davis/Docking (D)47%43%51%35%40%53%48%38%51%36%73%35%30%27%49%63%56%54%28%83%50%26%89%46%15%69%85%39%42%52%46%46%51%42%47%36%51%46%48%
Umbehr/Umbehr (L)5%6%5%13%7%3%4%9%4%3%4%6%13%7%4%3%10%4%6%4%7%6%1%11%6%4%5%5%8%4%6%4%6%5%5%6%6%6%5%
Undecided7%7%7%9%11%6%5%10%6%9%4%4%9%5%9%6%8%3%9%2%8%6%4%16%8%4%2%11%8%5%7%9%4%11%7%6%7%5%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
Which one of these issues will be most important in your November vote for Governor? Tax rates? Education funding? Job recruitment? Or something else?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Tax Rates32%34%29%27%29%35%31%28%33%100%0%0%0%40%34%27%17%36%37%25%21%34%26%35%41%26%16%40%31%30%33%31%31%33%31%28%29%36%31%
Education Funding34%32%37%45%33%32%33%38%32%0%100%0%0%26%40%41%35%36%27%58%28%30%47%27%18%44%61%19%31%41%24%35%43%34%34%39%30%34%35%
Job Recruitment13%12%13%9%10%12%15%10%14%0%0%100%0%10%10%21%1%15%16%6%12%14%12%9%16%11%7%19%12%11%16%13%9%11%13%12%17%10%12%
Something Else18%19%18%17%23%19%15%21%17%0%0%0%100%20%15%9%44%11%18%10%36%19%13%26%20%18%14%16%21%17%23%17%15%17%19%17%19%19%18%
Not Sure3%3%4%2%4%2%5%3%3%0%0%0%0%3%1%2%3%2%2%1%3%4%3%3%5%1%2%6%5%2%4%4%2%6%3%4%5%1%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
If the November election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, and the candidates on the ballot were Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Chad Taylor, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman. Who would you vote for?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Pat Roberts (R)43%44%43%41%44%43%45%43%44%53%30%51%45%58%45%35%30%43%55%17%43%64%9%30%67%33%6%49%42%43%41%45%43%40%44%57%45%40%41%
Chad Taylor (D)33%32%34%24%27%35%37%26%36%25%50%31%20%19%33%46%37%42%21%57%32%15%72%28%7%47%76%25%33%35%33%31%36%30%33%21%33%33%36%
Randall Batson (L)5%6%5%14%6%6%2%8%4%6%3%6%10%7%5%3%8%6%6%6%5%7%2%7%7%5%3%6%5%6%5%5%6%3%6%5%6%6%5%
Greg Orman (I)7%7%5%7%8%6%6%8%6%5%7%7%8%5%8%6%10%4%6%12%6%5%4%17%7%5%9%7%7%6%7%5%7%8%6%6%4%9%7%
Undecided12%10%13%15%15%10%10%15%10%11%10%5%17%11%8%11%16%6%12%9%14%9%13%18%11%9%6%14%13%10%14%14%7%20%10%11%12%12%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
What if the candidates for United States Senator were Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Patrick Wiesner, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Pat Roberts (R)45%47%43%43%49%42%47%47%44%55%33%51%46%60%47%36%32%43%59%17%43%67%10%30%68%34%13%49%43%45%41%47%46%42%45%59%46%40%43%
Patrick Wiesner (D)29%27%31%20%21%32%33%21%33%21%45%28%17%16%28%42%34%37%16%52%30%11%68%24%6%43%66%23%30%30%31%28%30%25%29%20%31%33%29%
Randall Batson (L)6%7%5%16%9%5%2%12%3%5%3%6%14%9%6%2%10%7%6%5%6%8%1%9%7%5%6%6%5%7%6%5%7%4%6%3%7%7%6%
Greg Orman (I)8%8%8%9%5%9%8%7%9%7%9%10%7%6%10%8%11%7%7%13%7%7%5%17%9%7%9%7%9%8%8%6%9%8%8%8%7%8%8%
Undecided12%11%14%12%15%12%11%14%11%13%10%4%16%10%10%12%14%6%12%12%13%8%15%20%10%11%6%15%13%11%14%14%8%21%11%9%10%12%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
Now, what if the candidates for United States Senator were Republican Milton Wolf, Democrat Chad Taylor, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Milton Wolf (R)33%35%31%42%35%29%35%37%31%44%21%38%35%49%35%23%19%35%45%13%27%52%4%20%58%20%10%38%33%33%30%34%35%30%34%46%30%37%29%
Chad Taylor (D)36%35%37%26%31%41%36%29%39%29%53%33%21%20%38%49%41%43%25%60%35%17%77%29%11%52%71%27%35%39%35%35%37%33%36%21%35%35%40%
Randall Batson (L)6%7%5%16%8%6%2%11%4%4%5%8%11%6%7%5%9%5%6%6%8%7%2%12%5%5%5%6%6%6%6%6%7%11%6%4%9%7%5%
Greg Orman (I)7%8%6%4%9%8%6%7%7%6%8%8%9%6%4%7%13%5%6%11%8%6%4%15%7%7%10%6%8%7%7%8%6%7%7%8%5%7%7%
Undecided18%15%21%12%19%16%21%16%19%18%13%13%23%18%16%16%18%12%18%10%22%19%13%23%19%17%5%22%19%16%23%17%15%19%18%20%21%13%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
And what if it were Republican Milton Wolf, Democrat Patrick Wiesner, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Milton Wolf (R)36%37%34%42%37%31%38%38%35%48%21%43%36%52%39%25%21%40%49%16%25%55%5%23%64%21%6%45%35%33%33%37%36%35%36%48%30%38%34%
Patrick Wiesner (D)30%30%30%21%24%35%32%23%33%21%49%28%17%16%32%43%36%35%18%54%32%13%68%22%6%46%67%21%30%33%30%29%32%26%31%24%32%33%29%
Randall Batson (L)6%8%4%15%8%6%2%10%4%4%6%4%12%7%8%4%9%6%7%4%7%7%2%12%6%6%4%3%7%6%5%5%7%7%6%4%7%6%7%
Greg Orman (I)8%9%8%7%10%9%8%9%8%5%9%10%12%6%5%9%16%7%7%12%10%6%7%18%7%8%14%9%9%8%9%7%9%7%9%7%7%9%9%
Undecided20%16%24%15%22%19%20%20%20%22%15%14%22%19%16%20%18%13%19%13%25%19%18%25%17%19%10%22%19%20%22%22%15%24%19%17%24%14%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
Which one of these issues will be most important in your November vote for United States Senator? Obamacare? Immigration? Jobs and the economy? Or something else?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Obamacare33%33%33%34%38%30%32%36%31%42%25%27%35%100%0%0%0%37%43%20%20%42%19%26%47%21%28%35%36%30%29%35%31%30%33%40%33%30%32%
Immigration17%17%17%7%15%17%24%12%20%19%20%14%14%0%100%0%0%20%28%8%3%17%16%22%21%20%12%19%18%16%18%16%17%7%19%17%13%20%18%
Jobs And The Economy33%33%34%43%32%34%30%36%32%29%40%55%16%0%0%100%0%31%24%55%38%28%45%34%21%42%32%34%30%36%33%34%34%44%32%26%37%33%34%
Something Else14%13%14%15%13%17%10%14%13%7%14%1%32%0%0%0%100%11%4%15%38%11%17%16%7%15%26%7%13%16%16%12%15%15%13%13%15%15%13%
Not Sure3%3%3%1%3%3%4%2%3%3%1%3%2%0%0%0%0%2%2%3%2%3%3%2%4%2%2%6%4%2%4%3%2%4%3%4%2%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
If the November election for Kansas Secretary of State were today, and the candidates on the ballot were Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean Schodorf, who would you vote for?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Kris Kobach (R)47%49%46%52%53%42%48%53%45%60%28%54%56%68%53%32%29%49%65%16%37%70%10%34%81%27%11%52%48%46%43%51%46%48%47%59%40%52%45%
Jean Schodorf (D)41%41%40%31%33%47%42%33%45%30%63%33%28%21%41%56%55%47%24%79%40%20%80%45%9%65%79%28%38%47%39%39%46%34%42%31%51%40%39%
Undecided12%10%14%16%14%11%10%15%10%10%9%13%16%11%6%12%16%4%11%6%23%9%11%21%9%8%10%20%15%7%18%10%8%18%11%10%9%8%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
What if the candidates for Secretary of State were Republican Scott Morgan and Democrat Jean Schodorf?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Scott Morgan (R)44%47%41%55%47%40%43%50%42%53%30%52%51%63%45%32%29%45%59%20%38%67%6%31%73%32%6%51%43%43%40%48%41%42%45%47%37%47%45%
Jean Schodorf (D)39%40%37%30%33%44%39%32%42%30%56%35%24%20%40%53%48%43%22%71%40%16%83%38%11%56%78%29%36%44%39%35%44%37%39%31%53%38%34%
Undecided17%13%22%15%20%16%18%18%17%17%14%13%24%17%16%15%23%12%19%9%22%17%11%31%16%12%15%20%22%13%21%16%15%21%17%22%9%16%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
Which of these issues will be most important to you in your November vote for Secretary of State? Voter Registration? Immigration? Campaign finance reform? Or something else?
1068 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Governor IssueSenate IssueSOS IssuePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethinRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern
Voter Registration22%23%21%16%18%21%27%17%24%25%23%25%13%24%26%20%17%100%0%0%0%23%24%15%24%22%28%22%20%23%21%21%24%14%23%26%22%18%23%
Immigration38%39%36%33%38%37%40%36%38%44%30%47%37%49%61%27%10%0%100%0%0%44%25%37%52%31%22%48%37%35%38%40%32%32%38%43%33%36%39%
Campaign Finance Reform17%16%18%19%12%20%15%14%18%13%28%8%9%10%7%27%18%0%0%100%0%11%24%24%5%25%28%11%15%19%12%16%22%17%17%13%17%20%16%
Something Else19%18%20%28%24%19%13%25%16%13%15%19%37%12%3%22%53%0%0%0%100%18%22%18%15%19%19%14%22%18%26%16%18%26%18%17%21%21%18%
Not Sure5%4%5%4%8%4%4%7%4%5%3%1%4%5%3%4%2%0%0%0%0%5%4%7%3%3%2%5%6%4%4%7%3%11%4%2%7%6%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%20%37%31%32%68%32%34%13%18%33%17%33%14%22%38%17%19%56%28%16%39%40%14%15%32%52%26%42%32%13%87%12%20%22%45%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.