Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13399
McCain Maintains 30+ Point Lead in Ohio; No Damage From New York Times Lobbyist Story: John McCain decisively wins a Republican Primary in Ohio held today, 59% to 28% for Mike Huckabee to 8% for Ron Paul, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHIO-TV Dayton, and WKYC-TV Cleveland. McCain appears unaffected in these numbers by a New York Times story that was published after SurveyUSA's last tracking poll was conducted and before this one. Both McCain and Huckabee are drifting sideways. Neither has specific momentum or pronounced erosion since SurveyUSA's last track point. However: Ron Paul is up a couple three ticks, which is just enough on many of SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs to cause both McCain's and Huckabee's trend lines to slope downward.
Filtering: 2,000 state of Ohio adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/23/08 through 02/25/08. Of them, 1,797 were registered to vote. Of them, 456 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the Republican Primary, or to be likely to vote on or before Election Day. Turnout is difficult to forecast in a contest where the nomination appears decided, but the frontrunner may yet be perceived by some to be under a cloud. Because Ohio's 88 Republican convention delegates are awarded proportionally, the size of McCain's winning margin is significant. Among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, McCain leads Huckabee 4:1.
If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?
456 Likely And Actual VotersAllAlready Voted?GenderAgeAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsAlready Likely VMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+< Obama> McCain> In Bet18-4950+WhiteBlackRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%15%85%58%42%18%35%22%25%43%15%42%53%47%93%3%86%6%7%65%25%3%57%23%20%69%29%24%75%35%1%9%8%16%6%4%16%9%15%16%18%35%7%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.