| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19738 |
|
Democrat Kilmer Cruises in Contest to Represent Washington State's 6th Congressional District:
In an election today for the open seat in in Washington state's 6th Congressional district, Democrat Derek Kilmer defeats Republican Bill Driscoll 52% to 37%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV in Seattle. Kilmer leads among men and women, young and old, rich and poor, and among the educated and less educated. Independents split. Moderates break by more than 2:1 for the Democrat.
Voters have a favorable opinion of both candidates. |
| 1 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Washington's 6th Congressional District were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Bill Driscoll, who prefers the Republican party? Or Derek Kilmer, who prefers the Democratic party? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Bill Driscoll (R) | 37% | 43% | 32% | 37% | 32% | 38% | 40% | 34% | 39% | 37% | 26% | 32% | 38% | 85% | 4% | 40% | 79% | 26% | 6% | 100% | 0% | 35% | 41% | 36% | 30% | 39% | 40% |
| Derek Kilmer (D) | 52% | 50% | 54% | 46% | 52% | 53% | 54% | 49% | 53% | 53% | 57% | 37% | 56% | 8% | 93% | 40% | 15% | 60% | 90% | 0% | 100% | 48% | 49% | 56% | 60% | 51% | 51% |
| Undecided | 11% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 30% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 20% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 2 | Do you cast this vote enthusiastically? Or, with reservations? |
| 562 Who Are Not Undecided | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Enthusiastically | 76% | 77% | 74% | 65% | 78% | 74% | 78% | 73% | 76% | 75% | ** | 73% | 76% | 80% | 79% | 68% | 76% | 72% | 83% | 76% | 75% | 76% | 69% | 80% | 65% | 76% | 83% |
| With Reservations | 20% | 19% | 21% | 27% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 20% | ** | 21% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 26% | 16% | 29% | 21% | 13% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ** | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Are Not Undecided | 100% | 52% | 48% | 11% | 17% | 38% | 35% | 27% | 73% | 89% | 5% | 12% | 88% | 27% | 42% | 30% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 42% | 58% | 12% | 36% | 52% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 3 | Is your opinion of Bill Driscoll ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Favorable | 28% | 33% | 23% | 19% | 28% | 30% | 29% | 24% | 30% | 28% | 21% | 25% | 28% | 60% | 10% | 25% | 53% | 21% | 11% | 60% | 11% | 22% | 31% | 27% | 21% | 29% | 32% |
| Unfavorable | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 5% | 27% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 32% | 4% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 20% | 12% | 16% | 16% |
| Neutral | 38% | 35% | 41% | 34% | 31% | 39% | 41% | 32% | 40% | 37% | 47% | 28% | 40% | 25% | 43% | 42% | 29% | 46% | 36% | 28% | 43% | 40% | 41% | 35% | 42% | 40% | 34% |
| No Opinion | 19% | 18% | 21% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 17% | 26% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 44% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 24% | 10% | 22% | 21% | 7% | 21% | 26% | 19% | 18% | 25% | 15% | 18% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 4 | Is your opinion of Derek Kilmer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Favorable | 38% | 35% | 41% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 42% | 33% | 40% | 39% | 30% | 17% | 42% | 15% | 62% | 31% | 15% | 44% | 61% | 10% | 65% | 32% | 31% | 45% | 38% | 39% | 39% |
| Unfavorable | 16% | 20% | 13% | 21% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 39% | 5% | 13% | 34% | 11% | 5% | 37% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 18% |
| Neutral | 29% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 22% | 31% | 30% | 24% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 29% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 21% | 33% | 32% | 25% | 28% | 31% | 29% |
| No Opinion | 17% | 16% | 18% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 24% | 14% | 16% | 37% | 43% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 5 | When deciding who to elect to Congress, which of these issues is most important to you? Economic issues, such as jobs, taxes, and the federal budget? Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage? Health care? Education? The environment? Foreign affairs? Or something else? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Economic Issues | 50% | 58% | 42% | 49% | 41% | 55% | 50% | 44% | 53% | 49% | 55% | 54% | 49% | 66% | 35% | 56% | 66% | 51% | 30% | 69% | 37% | 53% | 57% | 45% | 42% | 53% | 53% |
| Social Issues | 20% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 21% | 18% | 27% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 30% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 21% | 19% |
| Health Care | 13% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 18% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 16% | 17% | 3% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 7% |
| Education | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 10% |
| The Environment | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Foreign Affairs | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Something Else | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 6 | Which candidate better reflects your position on economic issues? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Bill Driscoll (R) | 32% | 37% | 27% | 35% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 31% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 75% | 5% | 31% | 68% | 24% | 5% | 80% | 4% | 29% | 35% | 31% | 24% | 36% | 34% |
| Derek Kilmer (D) | 42% | 41% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 42% | 43% | 41% | 28% | 45% | 7% | 75% | 31% | 13% | 48% | 72% | 5% | 75% | 36% | 35% | 48% | 44% | 41% | 43% |
| Not Sure | 26% | 22% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 25% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 26% | 39% | 41% | 23% | 18% | 20% | 37% | 19% | 28% | 23% | 16% | 21% | 34% | 29% | 20% | 32% | 23% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 7 | Which candidate better reflects your position on social issues? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Bill Driscoll (R) | 28% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 29% | 27% | 28% | 27% | 17% | 25% | 28% | 66% | 3% | 28% | 62% | 18% | 4% | 67% | 3% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 19% | 32% | 29% |
| Derek Kilmer (D) | 45% | 44% | 46% | 46% | 45% | 45% | 45% | 45% | 45% | 46% | 41% | 29% | 48% | 13% | 80% | 33% | 13% | 53% | 78% | 10% | 78% | 38% | 39% | 52% | 46% | 45% | 47% |
| Not Sure | 27% | 26% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 42% | 45% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 39% | 25% | 29% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 34% | 34% | 19% | 35% | 23% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 8 | Which candidate would better represent the interests of military families? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Bill Driscoll (R) | 31% | 34% | 28% | 32% | 29% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 31% | 66% | 8% | 31% | 62% | 23% | 6% | 70% | 7% | 29% | 30% | 32% | 21% | 32% | 35% |
| Derek Kilmer (D) | 36% | 35% | 37% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 23% | 39% | 9% | 65% | 26% | 11% | 42% | 64% | 6% | 64% | 32% | 33% | 40% | 42% | 35% | 35% |
| Not Sure | 33% | 31% | 35% | 35% | 33% | 34% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 53% | 50% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 43% | 27% | 35% | 30% | 24% | 29% | 39% | 37% | 28% | 37% | 32% | 29% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 9 | Which candidate would be better on the environment? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Bill Driscoll (R) | 23% | 27% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 57% | 4% | 20% | 50% | 15% | 4% | 56% | 4% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 23% | 24% |
| Derek Kilmer (D) | 44% | 42% | 46% | 43% | 43% | 42% | 47% | 43% | 44% | 44% | 39% | 26% | 48% | 12% | 75% | 35% | 16% | 50% | 74% | 10% | 75% | 35% | 38% | 51% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Not Sure | 33% | 31% | 35% | 39% | 31% | 34% | 30% | 34% | 32% | 33% | 46% | 52% | 29% | 31% | 21% | 45% | 34% | 35% | 21% | 34% | 21% | 38% | 38% | 27% | 36% | 32% | 30% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 10 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 38% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 31% | 39% | 41% | 34% | 40% | 38% | 18% | 39% | 38% | 84% | 6% | 41% | 82% | 25% | 7% | 86% | 7% | 42% | 41% | 36% | 32% | 41% | 39% |
| Barack Obama (D) | 54% | 50% | 59% | 54% | 56% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 55% | 67% | 46% | 56% | 10% | 92% | 46% | 13% | 68% | 87% | 7% | 91% | 46% | 51% | 59% | 60% | 51% | 55% |
| Other | 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 5% |
| Undecided | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |
| 11 | If the election for Washington Governor were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party? Or Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party? |
| 628 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | House Vote | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Driscoll | Kilmer ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| McKenna (R) | 44% | 49% | 38% | 43% | 40% | 44% | 45% | 42% | 44% | 43% | 34% | 49% | 42% | 90% | 7% | 51% | 85% | 34% | 8% | 92% | 9% | 44% | 49% | 40% | 37% | 46% | 44% |
| Inslee (D) | 50% | 45% | 55% | 47% | 51% | 49% | 52% | 49% | 51% | 51% | 55% | 37% | 53% | 8% | 91% | 38% | 11% | 59% | 88% | 6% | 89% | 44% | 45% | 56% | 57% | 48% | 51% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 71% | 88% | 5% | 15% | 85% | 26% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 40% | 24% | 37% | 52% | 13% | 36% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 32% |