Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19738
 
Democrat Kilmer Cruises in Contest to Represent Washington State's 6th Congressional District:

In an election today for the open seat in in Washington state's 6th Congressional district, Democrat Derek Kilmer defeats Republican Bill Driscoll 52% to 37%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV in Seattle. Kilmer leads among men and women, young and old, rich and poor, and among the educated and less educated. Independents split. Moderates break by more than 2:1 for the Democrat.

Voters have a favorable opinion of both candidates.
* Driscoll has a Plus 13 Net Favorability Rating: 28% of voters see him favorably, compared to 15% who see him unfavorably.
* Kilmer has a Plus 22 Net Favorability Rating: 38% of voters see him favorably, compared to 16% who see him unfavorably.
* 76% of Driscoll voters and 75% of Kilmer voters say they cast their vote "enthusiastically."

* By 42% to 32%, voters say Kilmer better reflects their position on economic issues.
* By 45% to 28%, voters say Kilmer better reflects their position on social issues.
* By 36% to 31%, voters say Kilmer would better represent the interests of military families.
* By 44% to 23%, voter say Kilmer would be stronger on the environment.

* In the election for President, Barack Obama carries the district 54% to 38%, in an election today.
* In the election for Governor of Washington State, Democrat Jay Inslee carries the district 50% to 44%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 registered voters 09/21/12 through 09/23/12, using Registration Based Sample (voter list sample) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 628 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day, 11/06/12. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were called on their cell phones, by a live operator, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured respondent cooperation, interviewed the respondent, logged the answers, and remained on the line until the interview was complete. The House seat is open. Democrat Norm Dicks is retiring. Dicks received 58% of the vote in 2010.

 
1If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Washington's 6th Congressional District were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Bill Driscoll, who prefers the Republican party? Or Derek Kilmer, who prefers the Democratic party?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Driscoll (R)37%43%32%37%32%38%40%34%39%37%26%32%38%85%4%40%79%26%6%100%0%35%41%36%30%39%40%
Derek Kilmer (D)52%50%54%46%52%53%54%49%53%53%57%37%56%8%93%40%15%60%90%0%100%48%49%56%60%51%51%
Undecided11%8%13%17%17%9%6%17%8%10%17%30%7%7%2%20%6%13%4%0%0%17%10%8%10%10%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
2Do you cast this vote enthusiastically? Or, with reservations?
562 Who Are Not UndecidedAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Enthusiastically76%77%74%65%78%74%78%73%76%75%**73%76%80%79%68%76%72%83%76%75%76%69%80%65%76%83%
With Reservations20%19%21%27%18%20%19%22%19%20%**21%20%15%17%27%20%25%13%19%21%19%26%16%29%21%13%
Not Sure5%4%5%8%4%5%3%5%4%4%**7%4%5%3%5%4%4%4%5%4%5%4%4%6%4%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Who Are Not Undecided100%52%48%11%17%38%35%27%73%89%5%12%88%27%42%30%32%39%26%42%58%12%36%52%28%40%32%
 
 
3Is your opinion of Bill Driscoll ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable28%33%23%19%28%30%29%24%30%28%21%25%28%60%10%25%53%21%11%60%11%22%31%27%21%29%32%
Unfavorable15%15%15%15%19%14%13%17%14%15%11%3%17%5%27%10%8%11%32%4%25%13%9%20%12%16%16%
Neutral38%35%41%34%31%39%41%32%40%37%47%28%40%25%43%42%29%46%36%28%43%40%41%35%42%40%34%
No Opinion19%18%21%32%23%16%17%26%16%20%20%44%14%10%20%24%10%22%21%7%21%26%19%18%25%15%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
4Is your opinion of Derek Kilmer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable38%35%41%25%38%38%42%33%40%39%30%17%42%15%62%31%15%44%61%10%65%32%31%45%38%39%39%
Unfavorable16%20%13%21%16%16%15%18%16%17%2%12%17%39%5%13%34%11%5%37%4%11%21%15%13%16%18%
Neutral29%29%28%27%22%31%30%24%31%29%32%29%29%32%23%32%35%29%21%36%21%33%32%25%28%31%29%
No Opinion17%16%18%27%23%14%13%24%14%16%37%43%12%14%10%24%16%16%13%17%10%24%16%15%21%14%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
5When deciding who to elect to Congress, which of these issues is most important to you? Economic issues, such as jobs, taxes, and the federal budget? Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage? Health care? Education? The environment? Foreign affairs? Or something else?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Economic Issues50%58%42%49%41%55%50%44%53%49%55%54%49%66%35%56%66%51%30%69%37%53%57%45%42%53%53%
Social Issues20%17%22%25%23%16%20%24%18%20%15%13%21%18%27%13%20%17%30%17%23%23%15%23%20%21%19%
Health Care13%8%17%10%10%10%18%10%14%13%11%6%14%3%21%11%5%16%17%3%20%12%11%14%20%12%7%
Education6%6%6%5%11%5%4%9%5%7%0%7%6%3%6%8%3%8%7%3%8%1%7%7%6%3%10%
The Environment3%3%3%2%2%4%2%2%3%3%0%3%2%1%4%3%1%1%8%0%4%4%2%3%4%3%2%
Foreign Affairs2%1%2%4%2%1%1%3%1%2%7%6%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%1%1%0%1%3%1%2%2%
Something Else3%4%3%1%3%5%1%3%3%3%0%7%2%3%1%5%2%3%3%1%3%2%5%2%3%3%4%
Not Sure4%3%6%4%8%4%3%6%4%4%12%2%4%5%3%3%2%4%3%5%3%3%2%4%4%3%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
6Which candidate better reflects your position on economic issues?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Driscoll (R)32%37%27%35%28%33%32%31%33%31%20%32%32%75%5%31%68%24%5%80%4%29%35%31%24%36%34%
Derek Kilmer (D)42%41%43%38%42%42%43%40%42%43%41%28%45%7%75%31%13%48%72%5%75%36%35%48%44%41%43%
Not Sure26%22%30%26%30%25%25%28%25%26%39%41%23%18%20%37%19%28%23%16%21%34%29%20%32%23%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
7Which candidate better reflects your position on social issues?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Driscoll (R)28%30%25%27%27%26%29%27%28%27%17%25%28%66%3%28%62%18%4%67%3%28%28%28%19%32%29%
Derek Kilmer (D)45%44%46%46%45%45%45%45%45%46%41%29%48%13%80%33%13%53%78%10%78%38%39%52%46%45%47%
Not Sure27%26%28%27%28%29%26%27%27%27%42%45%24%22%17%39%25%29%17%23%19%34%34%19%35%23%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
8Which candidate would better represent the interests of military families?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Driscoll (R)31%34%28%32%29%30%31%30%31%30%25%27%31%66%8%31%62%23%6%70%7%29%30%32%21%32%35%
Derek Kilmer (D)36%35%37%33%39%35%36%36%36%37%22%23%39%9%65%26%11%42%64%6%64%32%33%40%42%35%35%
Not Sure33%31%35%35%33%34%32%33%33%34%53%50%30%25%27%43%27%35%30%24%29%39%37%28%37%32%29%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
9Which candidate would be better on the environment?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Driscoll (R)23%27%20%18%25%24%23%22%24%23%15%22%23%57%4%20%50%15%4%56%4%27%24%22%20%23%24%
Derek Kilmer (D)44%42%46%43%43%42%47%43%44%44%39%26%48%12%75%35%16%50%74%10%75%35%38%51%45%45%45%
Not Sure33%31%35%39%31%34%30%34%32%33%46%52%29%31%21%45%34%35%21%34%21%38%38%27%36%32%30%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
10 If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Mitt Romney (R)38%40%36%39%31%39%41%34%40%38%18%39%38%84%6%41%82%25%7%86%7%42%41%36%32%41%39%
Barack Obama (D)54%50%59%54%56%54%55%55%54%55%67%46%56%10%92%46%13%68%87%7%91%46%51%59%60%51%55%
Other5%7%3%5%5%6%3%5%5%5%7%9%4%4%1%9%3%5%4%4%2%4%5%5%3%6%5%
Undecided3%3%2%2%8%2%1%5%2%2%9%7%2%3%0%4%2%3%2%2%0%7%3%1%4%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
11If the election for Washington Governor were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party? Or Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party?
628 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyHouse VoteEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalDriscollKilmer (High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
McKenna (R)44%49%38%43%40%44%45%42%44%43%34%49%42%90%7%51%85%34%8%92%9%44%49%40%37%46%44%
Inslee (D)50%45%55%47%51%49%52%49%51%51%55%37%53%8%91%38%11%59%88%6%89%44%45%56%57%48%51%
Undecided6%5%7%10%9%7%4%9%5%6%11%14%5%3%2%11%3%7%3%2%3%12%6%5%6%6%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%18%37%33%29%71%88%5%15%85%26%38%33%30%40%24%37%52%13%36%51%28%40%32%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.