Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14658
 
12 Days Till Votes Are Counted, Hoosiers Blue: In an election for President of the United States in Indiana today, 10/23/08, Democrat Barack Obama edges Republican John McCain 49% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WHAS-TV in Louisville KY. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 1 month ago, McCain is down 3, Obama is up 4. Today: White voters split; McCain had led by 9. There are few plausible scenarios in which McCain loses Indiana and still wins the White House. The last Democrat to carry Indiana was Lyndon Johnson in 1964, who, nationwide, received 61% of the popular vote and 90% of the electoral vote.

Filtering: 800 Indiana adults were interviewed 10/21/08 and 10/22/08. Of them, 731 were registered to vote. Of them, 631 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote on or before election day.

 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
631 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KN INCentral IndianapS IN
McCain (R)45%51%40%39%49%44%49%44%46%44%49%46%47%17%****81%14%39%81%30%15%46%45%52%40%56%39%29%65%25%53%36%37%53%44%42%45%49%
Obama (D)49%44%53%54%46%49%44%50%47%50%43%48%47%79%****16%82%47%15%63%78%50%48%43%52%38%55%63%28%69%40%59%56%42%49%51%50%45%
Other3%3%3%3%3%3%4%3%3%3%5%3%3%3%****1%3%8%2%3%6%2%3%3%4%2%3%5%3%4%4%3%4%3%3%3%4%3%
Undecided3%2%4%4%2%4%3%3%4%3%4%3%3%1%****2%2%6%2%4%1%2%3%2%4%3%3%3%3%2%4%2%3%2%4%3%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%32%25%18%58%42%51%8%40%90%7%2%2%37%37%23%35%45%13%12%88%41%59%50%26%24%51%46%54%44%41%59%37%18%21%24%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.