| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19615 |
|
Washington State, 8 weeks till votes are counted, Democrat Inslee Tip-Toes 5 Points In Front of Republican McKenna in Tight Governor Fight:
In an election for Governor of Washington state today, 09/10/12, eight weeks till votes are counted, Democrat Jay Inslee remains where he was 6 weeks ago, a whisker ahead of Republican challenger Rob McKenna, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING5 TV in Seattle. Today, it's Inslee 49%, McKenna 44%. 6 weeks ago, Inslee led by 3 points, today he leads by 5 points. Inslee holds 88% of his Democratic base. McKenna holds 85% of his Republican base. Independents break 5:4 for the Republican. Moderates break 7:5 for the Democrat. McKenna leads narrowly among men, but Inslee leads materially among women. The gender gap is 17 points. Eastern Washington goes Republican by 6 points, but Western WA and Greater Seattle go Democrat by 9 points.
* Inslee has a Plus 13 Net Favorability Rating: 41% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Inslee, 28% have an unfavorable opinion. * 27% of McKenna voters say they cast their vote "with reservations," compared to 21% of Inslee voters. In the election for Attorney General from the state of Washington, Democrat Bob Ferguson has a 9-point advantage over Republican Reagan Dunn. 40% of Independents and 33% of Moderates are undecided in this contest, so movement between now and Election Day is possible. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of Washington adults 09/07/12 through 09/09/12, using blended sample, mixed mode. Of the adults, 607 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 524 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. The Governor's seat is open. |
 | Washington will elect a Governor in November. If the election were today, would you vote for Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party? Or Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 44% | 48% | 39% | 42% | 43% | 41% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 43% | ** | 41% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 85% | 8% | 49% | 85% | 39% | 86% | 37% | 6% | 100% | 0% | 46% | 47% | 40% | 36% | 46% | 46% | 43% | 49% | 41% |
| Inslee (D) | 49% | 45% | 53% | 46% | 51% | 53% | 44% | 49% | 49% | 49% | ** | 59% | 38% | 48% | 50% | 11% | 88% | 38% | 10% | 53% | 11% | 52% | 91% | 0% | 100% | 49% | 43% | 54% | 53% | 47% | 50% | 52% | 43% | 50% |
| Undecided | 7% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 8% | ** | 0% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Do you cast this vote enthusiastically? Or, with reservations? |
| 486 Who Are Not Undecided | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Enthusiastically | 75% | 73% | 76% | 69% | 74% | 79% | 76% | 72% | 78% | 74% | ** | 76% | 79% | 70% | 76% | 79% | 80% | 65% | 85% | 74% | 83% | 63% | 82% | 72% | 77% | 73% | 70% | 79% | 69% | 73% | 81% | 74% | 75% | 75% |
| With Reservations | 24% | 26% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 19% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 24% | ** | 24% | 21% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 34% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 35% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 29% | 20% | 28% | 27% | 17% | 24% | 24% | 24% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ** | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Are Not Undecided | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 27% | 31% | 19% | 50% | 50% | 79% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 27% | 73% | 29% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 90% | 30% | 41% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 27% | 43% | 30% | 29% | 21% | 50% |
 | Is your opinion of Rob McKenna ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 40% | 43% | 36% | 44% | 37% | 35% | 46% | 40% | 39% | 38% | ** | 47% | 51% | 38% | 40% | 77% | 13% | 39% | 73% | 37% | 76% | 33% | 9% | 77% | 9% | 33% | 41% | 41% | 35% | 40% | 44% | 42% | 44% | 37% |
| Unfavorable | 26% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 28% | ** | 21% | 15% | 20% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 24% | 7% | 28% | 5% | 23% | 56% | 1% | 51% | 24% | 23% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 28% |
| Neutral | 28% | 27% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 28% | 28% | ** | 29% | 27% | 38% | 24% | 17% | 36% | 29% | 20% | 29% | 15% | 38% | 26% | 20% | 31% | 35% | 29% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 28% |
| No Opinion | 6% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | ** | 3% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Is your opinion of Jay Inslee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 41% | 35% | 46% | 40% | 43% | 44% | 33% | 41% | 40% | 40% | ** | 50% | 29% | 42% | 40% | 10% | 71% | 31% | 10% | 44% | 10% | 43% | 73% | 4% | 78% | 40% | 36% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 44% | 44% | 30% | 43% |
| Unfavorable | 28% | 35% | 21% | 26% | 26% | 30% | 29% | 26% | 30% | 26% | ** | 33% | 40% | 19% | 31% | 52% | 8% | 30% | 67% | 24% | 60% | 19% | 6% | 59% | 3% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 33% | 27% | 31% | 27% |
| Neutral | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 30% | 24% | 26% | 27% | ** | 15% | 17% | 32% | 22% | 30% | 18% | 29% | 14% | 26% | 22% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 14% | 30% | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 20% | 22% | 33% | 23% |
| No Opinion | 7% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | ** | 2% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Who better reflects your positions on social issues? Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party? Or Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 41% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 49% | 40% | 43% | 40% | ** | 47% | 52% | 34% | 44% | 86% | 9% | 41% | 79% | 38% | 83% | 31% | 8% | 88% | 4% | 38% | 47% | 38% | 37% | 43% | 42% | 43% | 48% | 38% |
| Inslee (D) | 48% | 47% | 50% | 44% | 52% | 52% | 43% | 48% | 49% | 49% | ** | 49% | 35% | 45% | 50% | 8% | 84% | 43% | 11% | 52% | 10% | 54% | 86% | 5% | 92% | 50% | 43% | 53% | 48% | 48% | 50% | 48% | 41% | 52% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 11% | ** | 3% | 13% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Who is stronger on the environment? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 24% | 28% | 21% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 29% | 21% | 28% | 24% | ** | 25% | 28% | 19% | 27% | 46% | 7% | 27% | 51% | 22% | 48% | 19% | 5% | 52% | 3% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 32% | 22% |
| Inslee (D) | 49% | 48% | 49% | 48% | 53% | 50% | 41% | 50% | 47% | 48% | ** | 62% | 35% | 50% | 48% | 22% | 74% | 43% | 19% | 52% | 21% | 49% | 81% | 15% | 83% | 43% | 42% | 56% | 42% | 50% | 53% | 52% | 41% | 50% |
| Not Sure | 27% | 23% | 31% | 27% | 30% | 24% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 28% | ** | 14% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 32% | 19% | 30% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 34% | 19% | 35% | 28% | 18% | 24% | 28% | 28% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Which candidate do you believe would be better at improving our state economy? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 44% | 50% | 39% | 43% | 45% | 41% | 49% | 44% | 44% | 43% | ** | 46% | 56% | 42% | 45% | 82% | 12% | 50% | 90% | 40% | 82% | 39% | 10% | 92% | 5% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 44% | 50% | 41% | 49% | 44% |
| Inslee (D) | 40% | 37% | 43% | 41% | 40% | 43% | 35% | 41% | 40% | 39% | ** | 54% | 31% | 40% | 41% | 8% | 73% | 30% | 8% | 43% | 9% | 42% | 75% | 2% | 80% | 43% | 36% | 43% | 42% | 38% | 42% | 44% | 33% | 41% |
| Not Sure | 16% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 18% | ** | 0% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 9% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Who is stronger on education? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 39% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 32% | 39% | 48% | 36% | 42% | 37% | ** | 37% | 59% | 36% | 40% | 71% | 12% | 43% | 76% | 35% | 73% | 32% | 11% | 77% | 9% | 43% | 41% | 36% | 34% | 42% | 39% | 36% | 41% | 40% |
| Inslee (D) | 38% | 36% | 41% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 33% | 40% | 37% | 38% | ** | 42% | 27% | 36% | 39% | 11% | 67% | 30% | 7% | 42% | 9% | 43% | 66% | 3% | 73% | 32% | 34% | 44% | 36% | 35% | 46% | 42% | 28% | 40% |
| Not Sure | 23% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 24% | ** | 21% | 14% | 29% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 22% | 16% | 21% | 31% | 20% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Which candidate do you think would bring more change to Olympia? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 46% | 51% | 41% | 43% | 45% | 46% | 52% | 44% | 48% | 46% | ** | 44% | 58% | 39% | 49% | 79% | 17% | 52% | 88% | 42% | 83% | 41% | 13% | 89% | 12% | 48% | 48% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 52% | 48% | 51% | 44% |
| Inslee (D) | 34% | 32% | 35% | 40% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 36% | 31% | 32% | ** | 46% | 32% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 60% | 26% | 8% | 36% | 7% | 35% | 61% | 2% | 65% | 37% | 32% | 33% | 38% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Not Sure | 20% | 17% | 24% | 16% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 23% | ** | 11% | 10% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 22% | 10% | 24% | 26% | 9% | 23% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Which candidate do you think is smarter? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 34% | 39% | 29% | 37% | 32% | 33% | 37% | 35% | 34% | 32% | ** | 34% | 53% | 31% | 36% | 69% | 8% | 35% | 82% | 30% | 68% | 27% | 8% | 70% | 6% | 38% | 36% | 32% | 28% | 36% | 39% | 31% | 37% | 35% |
| Inslee (D) | 31% | 30% | 32% | 37% | 32% | 29% | 26% | 34% | 28% | 29% | ** | 49% | 24% | 33% | 30% | 7% | 56% | 24% | 8% | 34% | 7% | 30% | 61% | 1% | 61% | 36% | 26% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 27% | 32% | 25% | 33% |
| Not Sure | 35% | 30% | 39% | 26% | 36% | 38% | 37% | 31% | 38% | 38% | ** | 17% | 23% | 36% | 34% | 24% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 36% | 25% | 42% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 38% | 34% | 41% | 31% | 34% | 37% | 38% | 32% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | Which candidate do you think is more likeable personally? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| McKenna (R) | 30% | 35% | 25% | 31% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 30% | 29% | ** | 30% | 46% | 26% | 32% | 60% | 8% | 32% | 77% | 26% | 60% | 23% | 8% | 64% | 4% | 30% | 32% | 29% | 26% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 34% | 30% |
| Inslee (D) | 43% | 41% | 46% | 42% | 47% | 46% | 36% | 45% | 42% | 43% | ** | 49% | 32% | 52% | 40% | 15% | 74% | 34% | 16% | 47% | 17% | 47% | 69% | 9% | 76% | 45% | 40% | 46% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 43% | 32% | 49% |
| Not Sure | 26% | 24% | 29% | 27% | 22% | 25% | 33% | 24% | 28% | 28% | ** | 21% | 21% | 22% | 28% | 25% | 18% | 34% | 7% | 27% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 27% | 19% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 34% | 21% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | In general, do you think the state of Washington is headed in the right direction? Or the wrong direction? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| The Right Direction | 44% | 40% | 48% | 52% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 45% | 42% | 43% | ** | 52% | 40% | 50% | 41% | 18% | 70% | 38% | 29% | 46% | 16% | 50% | 68% | 16% | 68% | 44% | 40% | 48% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 43% | 39% | 46% |
| The Wrong Direction | 44% | 49% | 40% | 36% | 47% | 46% | 48% | 42% | 47% | 44% | ** | 47% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 77% | 17% | 48% | 70% | 42% | 78% | 36% | 18% | 76% | 18% | 43% | 50% | 41% | 45% | 43% | 47% | 46% | 50% | 41% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ** | 1% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | A new law passed by the legislature would allow same-sex couples to marry in Washington state. Should this law be approved? Or rejected? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Approved | 56% | 47% | 65% | 67% | 60% | 52% | 43% | 63% | 49% | 57% | ** | 53% | 55% | 66% | 52% | 25% | 81% | 55% | 24% | 60% | 20% | 64% | 87% | 31% | 79% | 51% | 52% | 61% | 50% | 58% | 60% | 54% | 48% | 60% |
| Rejected | 38% | 47% | 29% | 29% | 34% | 40% | 53% | 31% | 45% | 37% | ** | 45% | 39% | 28% | 42% | 70% | 15% | 35% | 73% | 35% | 76% | 27% | 10% | 62% | 17% | 46% | 41% | 33% | 44% | 35% | 36% | 41% | 47% | 32% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | A state initiative would authorize up to 40 publicly-funded charter schools. The schools would be open to all students and operated through approved, non-religious, nonprofit organizations with government oversight. Should the measure be enacted into law? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Yes | 52% | 52% | 52% | 62% | 52% | 49% | 45% | 57% | 47% | 50% | ** | 79% | 50% | 60% | 49% | 61% | 43% | 57% | 69% | 51% | 62% | 53% | 42% | 66% | 42% | 51% | 55% | 50% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 51% | 50% | 54% |
| No | 26% | 25% | 26% | 18% | 24% | 29% | 32% | 21% | 30% | 27% | ** | 14% | 24% | 15% | 30% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 15% | 27% | 19% | 25% | 36% | 17% | 34% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| Not Sure | 22% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 23% | ** | 7% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 21% | 29% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | A state initiative would re-state existing law that requires either two-thirds of the legislature to approve a tax increase or approval by voters. The measure also would require any new fee or increase in fees would require a majority vote of the legislature. Should the measure be enacted into law? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Yes | 58% | 66% | 51% | 59% | 62% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 56% | 58% | ** | 72% | 54% | 57% | 59% | 67% | 47% | 63% | 75% | 56% | 68% | 57% | 47% | 70% | 49% | 61% | 62% | 54% | 54% | 62% | 56% | 62% | 61% | 56% |
| No | 21% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 22% | 21% | ** | 10% | 23% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 31% | 15% | 13% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 30% | 13% | 29% | 15% | 17% | 26% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 23% |
| Not Sure | 21% | 13% | 28% | 26% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 21% | ** | 18% | 24% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 21% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 27% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 25% | 22% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | A state initiative would license and regulate marijuana production, distribution and possession for people 21 and over. It would remove state criminal and civil penalties for limited possession of marijuana, impose an excise tax on marijuana sales and earmark some revenue for substance abuse prevention, research and education. Should the measure be enacted into law? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Yes | 57% | 58% | 57% | 58% | 61% | 61% | 45% | 59% | 55% | 60% | ** | 47% | 42% | 59% | 57% | 35% | 70% | 62% | 54% | 58% | 33% | 63% | 76% | 43% | 69% | 46% | 57% | 61% | 56% | 57% | 59% | 59% | 63% | 54% |
| No | 34% | 34% | 34% | 35% | 30% | 30% | 45% | 32% | 36% | 30% | ** | 46% | 48% | 32% | 35% | 56% | 22% | 28% | 42% | 33% | 60% | 27% | 17% | 49% | 20% | 41% | 35% | 30% | 36% | 34% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 34% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ** | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | In November, Washington state will elect a U.S. Senator. If the vote for Senate were today, and the two candidates were ... Michael Baumgartner, who prefers the Republican party, and Maria Cantwell, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Baumgartner (R) | 38% | 43% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 37% | 41% | 37% | 39% | 37% | ** | 41% | 42% | 35% | 39% | 85% | 6% | 34% | 70% | 35% | 80% | 27% | 6% | 76% | 7% | 37% | 43% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 45% | 34% |
| Cantwell (D) | 54% | 50% | 58% | 44% | 57% | 59% | 54% | 51% | 57% | 55% | ** | 53% | 41% | 54% | 54% | 12% | 90% | 51% | 23% | 58% | 13% | 61% | 92% | 16% | 89% | 51% | 51% | 58% | 56% | 53% | 53% | 56% | 47% | 56% |
| Undecided | 8% | 7% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 7% | ** | 5% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |
 | In November, Washington state will elect a new attorney general. If the vote for Attorney General were today, and the two candidates were ... Reagan Dunn, who prefers the Republican party, and Bob Ferguson, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote? |
| 524 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Governor Vote | Education | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | McKenna | Inslee ( | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | W WA | E WA | Metro Se | |
| Dunn (R) | 33% | 38% | 29% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 41% | 31% | 35% | 32% | ** | 41% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 77% | 5% | 29% | 78% | 29% | 77% | 22% | 3% | 69% | 4% | 35% | 35% | 32% | 27% | 33% | 37% | 33% | 40% | 30% |
| Ferguson (D) | 42% | 41% | 44% | 38% | 41% | 47% | 42% | 39% | 45% | 42% | ** | 42% | 35% | 41% | 43% | 8% | 79% | 31% | 9% | 46% | 7% | 46% | 80% | 7% | 77% | 41% | 39% | 46% | 43% | 41% | 45% | 44% | 35% | 44% |
| Undecided | 24% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 28% | 21% | 17% | 29% | 20% | 26% | ** | 17% | 24% | 34% | 21% | 14% | 17% | 40% | 13% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 17% | 24% | 19% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 30% | 26% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 25% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 31% | 18% | 51% | 49% | 80% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 29% | 71% | 28% | 38% | 33% | 7% | 90% | 29% | 43% | 24% | 44% | 49% | 14% | 41% | 45% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% |