Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16306
 
5½ Months From Vote, KS-1 GOP Primary Voters Unfocused: In a Republican primary election for US Representative held in Kansas' 1st Congressional District today, 2/23/10, likely voters scatter their votes among 7 candidates, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.

The primary is in 161 days; the deadline for candidates to file to appear on the primary ballot is in 107 days: the slate of candidates named in this poll may shift as deadlines near. Today, 2 of the 7 named candidates poll in double digits:

State Senator Jim Barnett gets 23% of the vote, finishing first among most demographic groups.
State Senator Tim Huelskamp, who has been endorsed by Ron Paul, gets 16% and sees notable support among younger voters.
Rob Wasinger, former Chief of Staff to Senator Sam Brownback, gets 8%.

Four other candidates combine to take 15% of the vote; another 15% say they would vote for "some other Republican" if the primary were held today. 1 in 4 likely voters are undecided.

Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; SurveyUSA includes unaffiliated voters here, where they make up 9% of the electorate.

Incumbent Republican Representative Jerry Moran is running in the primary election for United States Senate and is not seeking reelection to his House seat.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 Kansas adults 02/19/10 through 02/22/10. Of them, 1,297 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 490 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the August 2010 Republican Primary.
 
If the Republican Primary for US House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Jim Barnett? Sue Boldra? Marck Cobb? Tim Huelskamp? Tracey Mann? Monte Shadwick? Rob Wasinger? Or some other Republican?
490 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Barnett23%23%22%18%22%24%25%21%24%22%**40%**23%20%24%21%17%23%23%24%25%16%24%21%23%23%25%21%
Boldra5%4%6%7%2%6%5%3%5%5%**0%**4%10%3%6%8%5%5%5%3%4%5%4%5%4%6%4%
Cobb2%1%3%6%3%1%1%4%1%2%**0%**2%0%3%1%0%1%3%2%3%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%
Huelskamp16%18%13%31%12%16%14%17%15%17%**5%**17%8%18%13%7%22%13%15%16%24%14%22%17%15%15%18%
Mann4%5%4%3%5%6%3%4%5%4%**11%**5%2%4%6%3%7%3%5%3%4%5%4%4%7%5%5%
Shadwick4%6%1%0%5%3%5%3%4%3%**0%**4%1%3%5%7%3%4%4%4%1%4%2%4%1%3%4%
Wasinger8%8%9%0%13%7%9%9%8%8%**5%**9%3%8%7%2%7%8%9%7%6%8%9%10%5%4%12%
Other15%13%17%8%14%16%16%12%16%14%**26%**15%16%14%12%27%11%16%13%15%21%14%15%13%17%13%15%
Undecided23%22%25%27%25%21%22%26%22%24%**14%**22%39%22%28%28%20%26%23%24%23%25%20%21%27%27%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%56%44%11%28%32%29%39%61%91%1%7%1%91%9%68%23%5%36%64%62%24%14%64%35%70%27%46%54%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.