I-1053, which re-states the existing laws requiring two-thirds majority votes in the legislature or voter approval to increase taxes, passes 55% to 18% today, with 26% of likely voters not certain how they will vote. Majorities of voters of all income levels, in all parts of the state, and of all age groups say they are certain to vote yes on the measure. Democrats are 3 times more likely to oppose the measure than Republicans, but the measure still passes among Democrats by a 12-point margin.

Where voters stand on 3 other statewide ballot measures is less clear today:

Initiative 1098, which would create a state income tax, today sees 41% of likely voters certain to vote yes, 33% certain to vote no. Women support I-1098 2:1; men are split. Republicans oppose 2:1; Democrats support 6:1. Typically, opposition to ballot measures builds as Election Day approaches.

Initiative 1107, which would end sales taxes on candy, end temporary taxes on bottled water and carbonated drinks, and reduce tax rates for certain companies that make food products, today has 42% of likely voters certain to vote yes, 34% certain to vote no, with 24% not certain. Majorities of Republicans, conservatives, and those with favorable views of the Tea Party Movement support the measure; majorities of liberals and those with unfavorable views of the Tea Party oppose.

Referendum 52, which would authorize bonds and continue a sales tax on bottled water to pay for projects to increase energy efficiency in public schools, starts off with less support than the other initiatives. Today, 34% are certain to vote yes, 42% certain to vote no; 24% are not certain how they will vote. Men oppose the measure 5:3; women are split. 1 in 4 Republicans vote yes; 1 in 4 Democrats vote no. Conservatives vote no 3:1; liberals vote yes 2:1. Moderates split.