Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17011
 
7 Weeks Until WA Ballots Mailed, Broad Support for I-1053: By a 3:1 margin, Washington State voters pass Initiative 1053 into law today 08/30/10, according to this latest exclusive KING 5 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

I-1053, which re-states the existing laws requiring two-thirds majority votes in the legislature or voter approval to increase taxes, passes 55% to 18% today, with 26% of likely voters not certain how they will vote. Majorities of voters of all income levels, in all parts of the state, and of all age groups say they are certain to vote yes on the measure. Democrats are 3 times more likely to oppose the measure than Republicans, but the measure still passes among Democrats by a 12-point margin.

Where voters stand on 3 other statewide ballot measures is less clear today:

Initiative 1098, which would create a state income tax, today sees 41% of likely voters certain to vote yes, 33% certain to vote no. Women support I-1098 2:1; men are split. Republicans oppose 2:1; Democrats support 6:1. Typically, opposition to ballot measures builds as Election Day approaches.

Initiative 1107, which would end sales taxes on candy, end temporary taxes on bottled water and carbonated drinks, and reduce tax rates for certain companies that make food products, today has 42% of likely voters certain to vote yes, 34% certain to vote no, with 24% not certain. Majorities of Republicans, conservatives, and those with favorable views of the Tea Party Movement support the measure; majorities of liberals and those with unfavorable views of the Tea Party oppose.

Referendum 52, which would authorize bonds and continue a sales tax on bottled water to pay for projects to increase energy efficiency in public schools, starts off with less support than the other initiatives. Today, 34% are certain to vote yes, 42% certain to vote no; 24% are not certain how they will vote. Men oppose the measure 5:3; women are split. 1 in 4 Republicans vote yes; 1 in 4 Democrats vote no. Conservatives vote no 3:1; liberals vote yes 2:1. Moderates split.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Washington State adults 08/26/10 through 08/29/10. Of them, 855 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 650 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the November general election. 38 of Washington's 39 counties vote solely by mail; ballots will be mailed to voters in 7 weeks, on 10/15/10.
 
Also on the ballot are several initiatives. On initiative 1098, which would create a state income tax on individual filers earning more than $200,000 and on couples earning more than $400,000, as well as reduce state property taxes, reduce certain business and occupation taxes, and direct any increased revenues to education and health, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
650 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Certain Yes41%39%44%40%41%43%41%41%42%42%****39%25%64%31%24%44%67%20%61%41%39%40%42%38%38%47%32%50%35%48%43%45%37%43%32%44%
Certain No33%44%22%34%36%32%29%35%31%33%****32%50%11%41%59%25%10%66%13%27%13%38%28%37%33%29%48%21%42%24%27%30%42%31%36%33%
Not Certain26%17%34%26%23%25%30%24%27%26%****30%24%25%28%16%31%23%14%26%31%47%22%30%24%29%23%20%30%23%28%30%25%21%26%32%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%15%33%29%22%49%51%86%2%4%7%29%36%33%33%41%20%32%36%21%11%55%45%38%27%35%45%53%46%50%24%40%36%27%21%52%
 
 
On Initiative 1107, which would end sales taxes on candy, end temporary taxes on bottled water & carbonated drinks, and reduce tax rates for certain companies that make food products, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
650 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Certain Yes42%43%41%39%46%42%37%44%40%40%****46%53%32%43%60%34%29%60%22%45%46%39%45%43%49%34%53%31%50%34%48%42%36%46%44%39%
Certain No34%39%30%49%29%34%32%36%33%35%****33%24%44%33%20%41%51%24%54%26%23%41%28%31%31%42%26%42%30%40%31%35%40%29%33%38%
Not Certain24%19%29%12%24%23%31%20%27%24%****22%24%24%23%20%25%21%17%25%29%30%20%28%26%20%24%20%27%20%26%21%23%24%24%24%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%15%33%29%22%49%51%86%2%4%7%29%36%33%33%41%20%32%36%21%11%55%45%38%27%35%45%53%46%50%24%40%36%27%21%52%
 
 
On Initiative 1053, which re-states the existing laws requiring two-thirds majority votes in the legislature or voter approval to increase taxes, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
650 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Certain Yes55%62%49%56%55%58%51%55%55%56%****39%70%41%57%75%53%36%79%37%58%42%53%58%57%56%53%66%47%67%44%58%55%55%55%56%55%
Certain No18%20%17%19%16%18%23%17%20%18%****27%11%29%14%11%21%30%11%30%11%16%22%14%15%22%20%12%24%15%22%15%17%23%15%18%21%
Not Certain26%18%35%25%29%24%26%28%25%26%****34%19%30%29%15%27%34%10%33%31%42%25%28%28%22%27%22%29%18%34%28%28%22%30%26%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%15%33%29%22%49%51%86%2%4%7%29%36%33%33%41%20%32%36%21%11%55%45%38%27%35%45%53%46%50%24%40%36%27%21%52%
 
 
On Referendum 52, which would authorize bonds and continue a sales tax on bottled water to pay for projects to increase energy efficiency in public schools, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
650 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Certain Yes34%32%35%45%30%32%34%34%33%35%****19%25%49%26%20%36%51%16%53%33%22%35%32%29%35%38%24%43%29%40%35%36%31%33%36%33%
Certain No42%50%35%38%47%44%35%44%40%40%****63%56%26%48%60%39%24%68%21%40%45%44%41%47%44%36%54%32%53%33%42%40%47%41%40%43%
Not Certain24%18%31%17%24%24%31%21%27%24%****18%20%25%26%21%25%25%16%26%27%33%21%28%24%21%26%22%25%19%27%23%24%22%26%23%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%15%33%29%22%49%51%86%2%4%7%29%36%33%33%41%20%32%36%21%11%55%45%38%27%35%45%53%46%50%24%40%36%27%21%52%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.