Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18681
 
In Michigan, Obama Leads Romney by 11 Points, Leads Paul by 18, Leads Cain, Perry, Bachmann, and Gingrich by More than 20 Points:

Michigan registered voters were asked about a number of high-profile Republican candidates running for president against Barack Obama. In elections for President in Michigan today 10/14/11, it's:

* Obama 50%, Mitt Romney 39%.
* Obama 52%, Ron Paul 34%.
* Obama 53%, Herman Cain 32%.
* Obama 53%, Rick Perry 32%.
* Obama 54%, Newt Gingrich 31%.
* Obama 56%, Michele Bachmann 30%.

Cell-Phone respondents included in this research: 545 Michigan adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/12/11 through 10/14/11. Of them, 500 were registered to vote. This research was conducted multi-mode: respondents reachable on a home phone (69% of respondents) were interviewed on their home phone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. "Cell phone" respondents -- those not reachable on a home phone (31% of respondents) -- saw the questions displayed visually on their smartphone or other electronic device. Cell phone respondents occasionally, but not always, vote differently than do landline respondents. For example: Mitt Romney trails Obama by 5 points among landline respondents but by 25 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Romney trails by 11. Newt Gingrich trails Obama by 13 points among landline respondents, but by 46 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Gingrich trails by 23.

 
1If there were an election for President of the United States today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)50%52%48%52%47%53%49%49%51%46%73%****9%82%43%16%56%17%21%54%80%87%50%53%47%58%52%38%52%49%
Romney (R)39%38%39%30%40%43%46%35%44%42%20%****83%12%38%77%33%77%71%30%9%11%33%36%42%33%36%51%27%44%
Undecided11%10%13%18%13%4%5%16%5%12%8%****8%6%19%7%12%6%7%16%11%2%17%10%10%10%12%11%21%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
2If there were an election for President of the United States today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Barack Obama and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)53%53%53%53%52%54%53%53%53%49%79%****10%85%48%13%59%21%25%59%80%87%55%55%50%62%54%40%55%52%
Perry (R)32%35%30%26%34%36%35%30%36%36%13%****77%9%28%80%26%70%63%21%10%8%25%32%35%24%33%44%22%37%
Undecided15%12%17%20%14%10%12%17%11%15%8%****13%6%24%7%14%10%12%20%10%5%20%13%15%14%13%17%23%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
3What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Barack Obama and Herman Cain?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)53%53%53%61%50%51%50%55%51%48%78%****12%86%47%14%60%21%25%58%83%87%56%56%50%60%56%39%58%51%
Cain (R)32%35%29%21%34%37%41%28%39%36%17%****72%8%31%81%26%65%61%23%10%6%26%32%35%24%29%48%20%37%
Undecided15%11%18%18%17%12%9%17%11%16%5%****16%6%22%5%15%14%14%19%7%7%18%12%15%16%14%13%21%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
4What if the only candidates were Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)54%55%54%60%53%52%52%56%52%50%79%****12%86%50%16%61%21%25%62%81%89%60%56%51%62%57%41%62%51%
Gingrich (R)31%34%29%20%33%39%37%27%38%34%17%****70%10%29%80%25%69%60%22%11%3%22%30%36%23%30%47%16%38%
Undecided14%11%17%20%14%9%11%17%10%16%5%****18%4%21%4%14%9%15%17%9%8%18%14%13%15%13%12%21%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
5What if the only candidates were Barack Obama and Ron Paul?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)52%50%54%56%47%53%51%51%52%47%79%****11%84%44%17%57%27%28%55%77%81%57%52%49%58%53%40%55%50%
Paul (R)34%39%30%28%35%40%36%31%39%38%16%****69%10%37%77%29%62%57%27%19%8%26%36%37%30%33%46%24%39%
Undecided14%12%17%17%18%7%13%17%9%15%4%****20%6%18%6%14%11%15%18%3%11%17%13%14%12%14%15%21%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
6What if the only candidates were Barack Obama and Michele Bachmann?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Obama (D)56%58%55%64%52%54%55%58%54%51%84%****14%88%51%14%63%27%27%65%83%78%59%58%54%64%58%45%61%54%
Bachmann (R)30%32%28%21%31%37%35%26%36%34%12%****70%8%28%84%23%66%59%18%11%12%24%30%32%23%28%44%18%36%
Undecided14%10%17%15%17%9%11%16%10%15%4%****16%4%21%2%14%8%14%17%6%10%17%12%14%13%14%11%21%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%29%32%22%17%61%39%80%14%2%4%23%37%39%10%86%9%23%42%14%6%18%35%46%36%39%25%31%69%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.