Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19082
 
One Month Till North Carolina Voting Begins, Santorum Leads GOP Primary: One month till early voting in the North Carolina primary begins, and 7 weeks until ballots are counted, Rick Santorum leads Mitt Romney 34% to 26%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WRAL-TV in Raleigh. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd place, at 18%. Ron Paul is in 4th place, at 10%. Santorum leads Romney by 27 points among North Carolina Republicans who describe themselves as "very conservative." Romney leads Santorum by 7 points among Republicans who describe themselves as "moderate." Santorum leads in Greensboro, Raleigh, Charlotte and Western NC. Romney leads in Southern and Coastal Carolina.
 
Cell phones and home phones included in this research. 1,990 North Carolina adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 03/16/12 through 03/20/12. Of the adults, 1,446 were registered to vote in North Carolina. Of the registered voters, 1,001 were determined to be likely to vote in the 05/08/12 primary. A subset of 403 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Republican primary for President of the United States. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (81% of adults), were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents unreachable on a home telephone (19% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device.
 
If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Mitt Romney? Newt Gingrich? Ron Paul? Or Rick Santorum?
403 Likely Republican Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanPartyTea Party MemberIdeologyRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Romney26%28%24%28%20%24%37%23%30%27%16%24%27%26%**31%28%25%17%31%34%****26%25%27%31%
Gingrich18%22%13%13%16%22%20%15%21%18%17%10%20%19%**10%24%18%23%19%12%****15%19%19%22%
Paul10%13%7%20%9%9%6%13%7%10%9%15%9%9%**15%22%8%10%8%12%****10%10%8%13%
Santorum34%31%38%17%41%39%31%33%35%34%31%28%36%34%**33%24%37%44%32%27%****36%38%35%23%
Undecided11%5%18%22%13%7%7%16%7%11%28%24%8%11%**11%2%11%6%9%15%****13%8%12%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters100%53%47%15%32%28%25%47%53%90%5%20%80%89%0%11%14%81%33%41%23%1%1%36%22%28%14%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.