Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23312
 
1 Week Till Votes are Counted, Trump on Auto-Pilot in Reliably Red Kansas; GOP Moran Coasts to US Senate Finish Line:

In 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted for KSN-TV in Wichita, Republican Donald Trump led by 12 points on 09/12/16, led by 11 points on 10/17/16, and leads by 11 points today, 10/31/16. 30% of the interviews for this survey were completed before the FBI threw the election into chaos 10/28/16. 70% of the interviews for this survey were completed after the FBI announcement. The pendulum may swing yet further before votes are counted, but in this freeze-frame of research results: Trump led by 9 points before the FBI announcement. Trump led by 12 points after the FBI announcement.

Clinton resentment has increased. The percentage of Trump supporters who are voting "against Clinton" has gone from 38% on 09/12/16 to 47% on 10/17/16 to 50% today. At the same time, it is important to note that among voters who have already returned a ballot, in Kansas as elsewhere, Clinton is outperforming Trump. Specifically, Clinton leads Trump 50% to 42% among early voters. This may be a reflection of Clinton's more sophisticated get-out-the-vote operation, or it could be evidence that Trump voters are fast to talk-the-talk but not so fast to walk-the-walk. Trump leads Clinton by 15 points among voters who have not yet filled out a ballot but who promise to do so before polls close.

In the contest for United States Senator from Kansas, incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is well positioned at this hour for a second full term, 24 points ahead of Democratic challenger Patrick Wiesner. 2 weeks ago, Moran led Wiesner 56% to 31%, today, 55% to 31%. Libertarian Robert Garrard is at 6% today, up 1 point from 2 weeks ago. In rural Kansas, Moran leads by 43 points. Among seniors, Moran leads by 36 points. Among evangelical voters, Moran leads by 59 points.

When voters turn their attention to the Kansas state legislature, 38% say it would be best if Kansas elected more conservatives, 34% say it would be best if Kansas elected more moderates, 17% say it would be best if Kansas elected more liberals.

When voters are asked whether they will vote to retain the 5 state Supreme Court justices who are on the November ballot, 20% say they will vote to retain none of the justices; 26% say they will vote to retain all of the justices; 15% say they will vote to retain one justice; the rest of voters will pick and choose.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* Democratic President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 19% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 41%.
* Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 13% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 39%.
* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 10% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 53%.
* Republican Governor Sam Brownback is viewed extremely favorably by 5% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 52%.
* Republican Senator Pat Roberts is viewed extremely favorably by 9% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 17%.
* Moran is viewed extremely favorably by 15% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 9%.

Context and Methodology:

SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kansas adults 10/26/16 through 10/30/16. 30% of the interviews for this survey were completed prior to the FBI announcement 10/28/16 that additional Clinton-related emails of possible consequence had been identified on a device not previously known to the FBI. Of the adults, 693 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 624 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot or to be likely to do so before polls close on 11/08/16. 2% of voters interviewed for this survey said they almost always vote in Presidential elections, but would not vote in 2016 because they did not like any of the candidates on the ballot. An offsetting 4% of voters said they almost never vote in Presidential elections but would vote in 2016 because they were drawn to one of this year's candidates. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (60% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (40% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Kansas has 6 electoral votes in 2016. In 2012, Mitt Romney carried the state by 22 points as Obama won a 2nd term. In 2008, John McCain carried the state by 15 points as Obama won his 1st term. In 2004, George W Bush carried KS by 25 points over John Kerry on Bush's way to a 2nd term. In 2000, Bush carried KS by 21 points. Early voting began 10/19/16.
 
1Kansas will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 6 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I have already voted. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Three: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Four: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Five: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Six: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
693 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Already Voted11851672617383744751826101017221144383320292529121180191748712456033831941552242483261173683544718253651261523842296
Always Do / Will This Year4782382401161371398625322583118726436583820117296119133124553204783469198555323320611934963167244122190153991971602082701911711151069174864091815732157320
Always Do / Not This Year179882341060245201211126511--1363287693758435636111124331207402412
Not Sure Yet 4221201314123271544887408224341952-------7257321025416168101310202119121095732148241329
Rarely Do / Will This Year2818101295321744123230817361531202837112013131019417713106971162217476266311752523
Don't / Won't This Year11737301101213010134124001-------55282715413347444321222402238
Total6933453481831821961323653281121551099165875026726513715319017690501185065895263676831131617650010026331618726521815828720528241129624015715013795110541421237345205488
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%26%26%28%19%53%47%16%23%16%13%10%13%7%39%39%20%22%28%26%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%46%46%26%73%15%39%47%28%40%33%24%43%31%41%59%43%35%23%22%20%14%16%8%20%18%11%7%30%70%
 
If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? or Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
624 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Donald Trump (R)304146158707094711401641009967262611999481241204740502543662127339190861031964812013180115994812711695209143946759685264485242552389215
Hillary Clinton (D)234124111526971431201144201129497447248812162973734560175192395184457160461802678126509979769649104130879354554124261454331072162
Gary Johnson (L)452322201475331101512142101529151915515402219782221638315271511174261325191521915125701613521232
Jill Stein (G)624112224031020133111311060130133161142312222432211110131115
Undecided3513221399422131114902013132108141043105137320953091016111491014823121412967261310631124
Total62430831715516318212531830610514894785583492532271321451771528447118506579325764662922791614518622430515724320614126518825037526222214013712884104501161116938185439
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%12%9%13%8%41%37%21%23%29%25%14%8%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%36%50%26%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%42%36%22%22%21%14%17%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
304 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
For Trump1467868342743416185514924161211004136056223023123223163144874552912066584549472655593211472433131242831242614341036110
Against Clinton1536489364050287578494741101409652464602420261271329621751013850101275270346649236955609368513427422232242527211251102
Not Sure532030232032000032005100150122013140141030323330221200110024
Total304146158707094711401641009967262611999481241204740502543662127339190861031964812013180115994812711695209143946759685264485242552389215
Composition of Trump Voters100%48%52%23%23%31%23%46%54%33%33%22%8%1%2%0%66%31%3%41%40%16%1%0%16%84%12%20%42%11%3%63%29%34%65%16%40%44%27%39%34%16%43%39%31%69%47%31%22%19%22%17%21%16%17%14%18%7%29%71%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
304 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Enthusiastically167828538345244719669502815131118444855422303213526326916310547601062976614560592967653313481523332342837273015361346121
With Reservations12960693035402464642648381003175493356423201711292755167813639861838673250411858455871584130263222241822271994187
Not Sure945322345511000061042300181221043450633601254541412232111027
Total304146158707094711401641009967262611999481241204740502543662127339190861031964812013180115994812711695209143946759685264485242552389215
Composition of Trump Voters100%48%52%23%23%31%23%46%54%33%33%22%8%1%2%0%66%31%3%41%40%16%1%0%16%84%12%20%42%11%3%63%29%34%65%16%40%44%27%39%34%16%43%39%31%69%47%31%22%19%22%17%21%16%17%14%18%7%29%71%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
234 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 6.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
For Clinton1357362333143276570111411264537114182219354529409512105110343686349413437625594845533152834751372725131712120164293
Against Trump9247451834261452403961422271012423721037261519736124081017711180123247243728304413494334411728166712121042864
Not Sure744131243000312005221121171040134161341332053461000410322125
Total234124111526971431201144201129497447248812162973734560175192395184457160461802678126509979769649104130879354554124261454331072162
Composition of Clinton Voters100%53%47%22%29%30%18%51%49%2%8%5%12%21%32%20%10%38%52%2%13%31%31%19%26%74%8%10%41%8%19%24%69%20%78%11%34%55%22%44%35%34%42%22%45%55%37%40%23%24%18%10%11%1%19%18%1%4%31%69%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
234 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 6.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Enthusiastically12866623129422660692103726453413377831931442639891210491130348332891639702260414552264286475427262691711918163791
With Reservations975641203727145740287192227111048381939261820777114271319721186735542537343041216038343726291213802622143364
Not Sure927132345020202223411331180340144352422242323662103110121117
Total234124111526971431201144201129497447248812162973734560175192395184457160461802678126509979769649104130879354554124261454331072162
Composition of Clinton Voters100%53%47%22%29%30%18%51%49%2%8%5%12%21%32%20%10%38%52%2%13%31%31%19%26%74%8%10%41%8%19%24%69%20%78%11%34%55%22%44%35%34%42%22%45%55%37%40%23%24%18%10%11%1%19%18%1%4%31%69%
 
How would you describe your vote: A vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
45 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 15 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
For Johnson201191034214605310100515035830416208148120202997762125128893753208632416
Against Trump116562219204530004701442101100441651100376140567442550140531056
Against Clinton10563511820441100460163000100171164371191351624737133110241028
Not Sure303030030030000030003000030100220210220030303003003000000012
Total452322201475331101512142101529151915515402219782221638315271511174261325191521915125701613521232
Composition of Johnson Voters100%51%49%44%31%15%11%75%25%0%34%27%32%5%2%0%34%64%2%11%42%33%11%2%10%90%4%6%43%15%18%48%48%14%86%6%33%61%34%25%40%9%62%30%57%43%33%48%19%33%26%12%16%0%35%29%11%5%28%72%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
6 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 40 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
For Stein312111012010010111100111030030021030121111201211111000010003
Against Clinton111100111001010001010100010010110010111101011110000100111011
Against Trump211001102010000010001100020100102111011100010211000110000102
Not Sure000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Total624112224031020133111311060130133161142312222432211110131115
Composition of Stein Voters100%38%62%23%12%32%34%34%66%0%40%8%7%34%0%10%40%49%10%8%8%50%16%18%0%100%7%10%52%0%20%54%46%8%92%16%20%65%34%44%22%31%36%26%34%66%46%25%29%22%14%16%10%0%8%41%8%8%12%88%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
17 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 24.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Republican211200020001000001001100--0010111110010100111120001100110011
Democrat514300131020010122120011--0112122141223021311431112010110013
Split963322254002500008005400--1231154552526214324552220010520237
Not Sure110001001-----------------00100-------------0110000000000001
Total179882341060245201211126511001363287693758435636111124331207402412
Composition of Protest Voters100%53%47%50%12%16%22%62%38%0%15%26%36%12%0%5%15%74%5%16%37%35%8%4%  6%15%35%18%14%52%45%40%60%19%45%36%57%24%20%32%41%20%34%66%64%14%22%19%18%7%11%0%43%25%0%9%27%73%
 
Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Immigration583523219151330282011538102301513171310105193758000032211640831171625152120132434241915128761177961641
Terrorism9535602520282146502122221076543381124352055177609500052353459234029274024173042316544321910201527717217112670
Economy2631401234579885112413941654442172525106103506476722618482090026300132114602003588136629894611147792171111975564494235225646361483180
National Security672938231319113730825138271332381624197275700067033291552918412115311237183631211927162161251211541751
Education6833353017111147212112101716913292541717219125300006817381844222431132242030153830252914151551021117312345
Environment1798525581010042531791084541300000313413178584457710863234313411513
Other563026921151130269149531132317141911111221045000002330124351436142416433152036341661913782125811937
Not Sure1651042267932411215633620111500000768859195153579654111414211115
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
If the election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Jerry Moran? Democrat Patrick Wiesner? Or Libertarian Robert Garrard?
596 Likely & Actual Senate VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Moran325164162668110177147179911156827793205102131161296293572643357146401820495962254610816375122116531451131112141511037271745657455843612191234
Wiesner1861018542515934939251742043554021689551656633952133201971123340136421412164993681635485377311365774452331621236323951135
Garrard3723142066526111512829052110714960530031051116149222171810161111131315221716476571129221324
Undecided48133516169632163105164511325681220405391721532021542916232115121715133414152211411491717131929
Total596300296144155175122298298981468971567845245216123137171147814211846754862486164281265153431792053031422332031352581762343622472181301341248294481141026736173423
Composition of Likely & Actual Senate Voters100%50%50%24%26%29%21%50%50%17%25%15%12%9%13%8%41%36%21%23%29%25%14%7%20%80%9%14%42%10%11%48%45%26%73%13%35%52%25%40%35%23%45%30%39%61%42%37%22%22%21%14%16%8%19%17%11%6%29%71%
 
12Thinking about the state legislature, what would be best for Kansas? If more conservatives were elected to the legislature? If more moderates were elected? If more liberals were elected? Or if it stayed exactly the same as it is now?
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
More Conservatives2441141305456775711013385774813694162671312295203137202324798291016262791624410393619382501018271173115795043583448404225582074170
More Moderates216117994863624411110585737402632126510444115510036103717592510422258012348165185713848818044103598413288814661423128458467760156
More Liberals112634936312817674525115223830638673111643353474139357292874218514445528473638482360523844292721121121721383082
Stayed Exactly The Same166107242973342002672294003114363011441235856437597763341312501412
Not Sure53173618121493023888133431624710131732743012205419231636112217241871013223122241415768154518242132
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
13Five State Supreme Court Justices are running for retention this year. How many of them will you vote to retain? None of them? One of them? Two? Three? Four? Will you vote to retain all five? Or are you undecided?
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Zero13064663138352569602842221829670421543472247261011519651156946369324495642463816565051794747362927242613241821124090
One96474920253021465135261745716225942371222168012153216766213258123250244327223633326444381515211717178171853066
Two391623179762613658574111205121057411256510581917731117201312131517523161813999153812601326
Three32239913642210563121031271365911142862104112201022581871410420819131212817344352331319
Four32201233151172548454341212726155382304172492192247206121312126627131451124229321626
All Five16985842943573973961134182425312445675512346237214012542775122959983912821529434607240784453116706039354323216363181443126
Undecided14361825332342385571628272612199446428304433199131251523541714646335105206653415937365245717270403225271431831331264499
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable12459653926342465581102829323812397081024443238831313451029328426971150602545494650205172434932252571311722343490
Favorable1558372374943268669318153624421121765232973331229120315641626518733114144594396843417036777861563744261620039370654100
Unfavorable9352413022251752411039251024049374114726431279619381774542217120254627382421432443503940142419159922159112568
Extremely Unfavorable26012114055678059122138908155251411718151279431303621935471122451706787171411091087093903710310980181127745946574763404437561976184
Not Sure927303336112301025103320450240225172334131614536106100040009
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable834538221226233449332213103105527144191330176419163171591834491742223123271728358753826191711161915161121102262
Favorable1919010139555641949856694014332125574708334002816115458221611854651253174834677633375717511694583931443239253423331358133
Unfavorable9647494521201066308242213421432392416441910419741263813163943147592956184034314615573941411418288741524532869
Extremely Unfavorable25012312654737745127122530184345574436106101133187704251190102410226447416350197267914264968360115631111399094666847273645452101175174
Not Sure201110435871345531208102464214161411029851467771034874161056623425512714
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable61362515122014273414038202451144213121615184227215201933173791534103017221913194220241612858165152338
Favorable139667233364524696931141737422214596421247472742941713571124339730108155469335350485927637648563530291215130290536102
Unfavorable864639253314145728530111581323534159262914513694132816113246127211264826292919422249364029172319111141419672462
Extremely Unfavorable34316417989811027117017397104824526120112971331326360442893560153341321210110723151133153931291105514512612122216011072737257694571586222102241
Not Sure134813355801141201632063021103510391112373732533945333120240048
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Sam Brownback...
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable3117147212109221355131119932362004265883024513187913911104151052620658764764117823
Favorable1106347283032215853423424413276295504510201595161447142832037721140572949292245394169434028242118221717122452981
Unfavorable12962673737312473552536212051246146163250309422101718531716734025961543703343462456415871565023292620201325211773693
Extremely Unfavorable33015917174949963169161216737554755428813997336711266416525723471362850100203812454811316482124117831399113619413211682736640511370691320107223
Not Sure401625172111119214812411111216129153921327871840191811288257131971218101526221266111806931932
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Moran...
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable964848131333372670432117512563237503092313821017471037117296422353528303314353916804430221718191919111121102769
Favorable2471231247169654214010744855729131131299915629764116402002839983318138917217325991216896795410185114133103776753483847235544371569178
Unfavorable1306466323341246466112082128271431574093045331033936175111304077289514348023505135573050804959212632151543027563298
Extremely Unfavorable61392210192111293234387142081834341714191148332859183914467232916222215261721402419181971163117351743
Not Sure108436438312414693842014198298254137232222259218311194087336324822040463149242853215552523916252821911626354463
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%
 
Is your opinion of Pat Roberts,,,
641 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?IssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaFBI Announcement
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenBeforeAfter
Extremely Favorable5928313132220164333147210147101341741095091525214782138132123202116620286532619141010121514461771841
Favorable19710097535652361098847633519149611068155977409530158213275331511667521432478934974683976728311487595138383636263632311251145
Unfavorable161887249394231887383030281928123877401751522692713281574162957863212017509038645349693477846265343633191524730121144116
Extremely Unfavorable111605214284722426991571813212524394512113924233079711518153471308015326326364525493232794345233415131962118673180
Not Sure1134173442822197341827191692563544312527222410228714233899455433791950423251272756255756553622223442021529434469
Total64131632416316518412832831310515098835783502552381331481831578547118506589526367683002861674608923131116624620914527119125538627322414414013186105501241156940189451
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%25%26%29%20%51%49%17%24%15%13%9%13%8%40%37%21%23%29%25%13%7%19%81%9%15%41%10%11%47%45%26%73%14%37%49%27%40%34%23%44%31%40%60%43%35%22%22%21%13%16%8%19%18%11%6%30%70%