Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15683
 
One Month From NYC Democratic Primary, Strong Front-Runners In Mayor, Public Advocate Contests: In a Democratic primary for NYC mayor today, 08/19/2009, 31 days before the vote, Bill Thompson defeats Tony Avella 5:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV. Thompson, New York City's incumbent Comptroller, is ahead in all boroughs and among all demographic groups. Avella, a city council member representing District 19 in Queens, does best among the youngest voters, among conservatives, and on his home turf. 37% of likely voters today say they are undecided.
 
In the primary for Public Advocate, Mark Green, who held that office from 1994 through 2001, leads three other candidates by 3:1 or more. Green gets 47% today; Bill De Blasio, a Brooklyn member of the city council, gets 15%; Norman Siegel, former director of the New York Civil Liberties Union, gets 12%; Eric Gioia, a city council member from Queens, gets 8%. 17% are undecided. Green leads in all 4 boroughs and among all demographic groups. De Blasio runs strongest in Brooklyn and among seniors, though Green still leads 2:1 in Brooklyn and among seniors.
 
Fierce Fight for New York City Comptroller: The race for City Comptroller remains wide-open. Queens council members John Liu and Melinda Katz are tied, Liu 23%, Katz 22%. Among men, Liu leads by 11; among women, Katz leads by 6 -- a 17-point gender gap. Liu leads by 6 among older voters; Katz leads by 5 among younger voters. The two are effectively even among white, black, and Hispanic voters; Liu leads 2:1 among Asian-Americans. David Yassky, a council member representing a Brooklyn district, gets 15% of the vote today; David Weprin, another Queens representative on the City Council, gets 12%. One in four likely voters are undecided.
 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 city of New York adults 08/14/09 through 08/18/09. Of them, 1,914 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 603 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 09/15/09 Democratic primary.
 
If the Democratic Primary for Mayor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Tony Avella? or Bill Thompson?
603 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyCollege GradIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtConservaModerateLiberalYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +ManhattaBrooklynQueensThe BronStaten I
Avella11%12%10%20%5%14%11%9%12%15%5%14%6%18%12%9%10%11%13%10%9%7%8%16%13%**
Thompson52%53%52%50%53%55%49%52%52%42%67%45%57%42%56%54%53%52%50%57%53%53%56%49%53%**
Undecided37%35%38%31%42%31%40%39%35%42%28%40%37%40%32%38%37%37%38%33%38%41%36%35%34%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%41%59%13%32%32%23%44%56%33%30%25%11%15%39%34%53%47%42%38%20%22%32%26%17%3%
 
 
Democrats will also vote in a primary for Comptroller. If the Democratic Primary for Comptroller were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Melinda Katz? John Liu? David Weprin? or David Yassky?
603 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyCollege GradIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtConservaModerateLiberalYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +ManhattaBrooklynQueensThe BronStaten I
Katz22%15%27%23%20%23%21%21%22%24%22%22%15%21%22%22%21%23%23%23%14%28%18%22%22%**
Liu23%26%21%14%17%25%33%16%28%22%21%23%31%16%26%26%26%20%24%27%17%20%17%31%26%**
Weprin12%14%11%13%9%16%10%11%14%12%14%10%12%17%13%11%12%12%10%16%12%12%9%18%9%**
Yassky15%15%15%14%16%14%15%15%14%16%16%13%13%15%14%17%14%15%14%12%23%11%26%11%4%**
Undecided28%30%26%35%37%21%21%36%21%26%26%32%30%30%24%24%27%29%30%22%33%28%30%17%38%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%41%59%13%32%32%23%44%56%33%30%25%11%15%39%34%53%47%42%38%20%22%32%26%17%3%
 
 
Democrats will also vote in a primary for Public Advocate. If the Democratic Primary for Public Advocate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Bill De Blasio? Eric Gioia? Mark Green? or Norman Siegel?
603 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyCollege GradIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtConservaModerateLiberalYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +ManhattaBrooklynQueensThe BronStaten I
De Blasio15%14%16%16%7%17%24%10%20%19%15%10%16%8%17%17%16%14%13%18%16%12%21%12%12%**
Gioia8%7%8%7%7%10%5%7%8%12%3%7%7%10%9%7%8%7%8%6%11%5%6%11%10%**
Green47%45%49%47%48%44%51%48%47%37%54%51%51%49%48%47%43%52%51%51%35%44%41%53%52%**
Siegel12%16%10%10%12%17%8%11%13%15%15%7%12%14%13%14%16%9%8%13%21%15%18%8%7%**
Undecided17%18%17%20%26%13%12%24%12%16%14%25%14%20%12%15%17%17%21%12%17%24%14%15%20%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%41%59%13%32%32%23%44%56%33%30%25%11%15%39%34%53%47%42%38%20%22%32%26%17%3%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.