Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20058
 
Down to the Wire: Wichita Fluoride Vote Could Go Either Way, Referendum "Tied" 7 Days till Votes are Counted:

Momentum may be on the "No" side as the city of Wichita KS votes on whether to add fluoride to the drinking water supply, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KWCH-TV. In 2 previous SurveyUSA polls, "Yes" had led narrowly, but today, with many votes already cast and 7 days left until ballots are opened, "No" has caught and maybe even overtaken "Yes" ... 44% to 43%. Note well: 13% of Wichita's most likely voters remain undecided on the issue, which could go either way.

Opposition to fluoride comes newly from women, among whom the measure had led, but now trails by 10 points. Opposition is also up among seniors, who 3 weeks ago had opposed the measure by 4 points, but who today oppose the measure by 12 points.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 city of Wichita adults 10/25/12 through 10/29/12. Of the adults, 628 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 563 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (90% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (10% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
On the Wichita Fluoride Ballot Question, which would add flouride to the city water supply, are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
563 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You VoteCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyParentEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Yes43%48%38%53%40%41%39%45%40%44%41%38%**48%52%35%53%42%39%50%42%43%43%36%47%54%41%44%35%37%51%41%38%50%
No44%40%48%34%46%46%51%41%48%45%39%38%**49%32%48%13%48%51%34%46%50%44%54%40%28%42%45%53%44%41%48%45%40%
Not Certain13%12%14%12%14%13%11%13%12%11%20%23%**3%16%18%33%11%10%16%13%7%13%10%13%18%17%10%12%19%8%11%17%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%22%32%27%19%54%46%77%9%10%3%29%24%46%10%90%46%37%16%5%92%40%37%18%42%58%20%37%42%24%41%35%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.