Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20854
 
On Election Eve in St Petersburg FL, Voters Set to Unseat Incumbent Mayor Foster, Elect Challenger Kriseman:

24 Hours till voting begins in the city of St Petersburg Florida, Rick Kriseman is poised to defeat incumbent mayor Bill Foster, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV. Backed by African Americans, Democrats, and liberals, Kriseman leads 58% to 39%, in research conducted over the campaign's final weekend. Kriseman has a majority of the less educated and the the more educated, a majority of the less affluent and the more affluent, a majority of men and women, and a majority of young and old. Foster leads among Republicans and conservatives, but no other demographic groups.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 city of St Petersburg adults 11/01/13 through 11/03/13. Of the adults, 615 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 451 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote this Tuesday, 11/05/13, Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device.

 
1If the election for St. Petersburg mayor were today, who would you vote for? Bill Foster? Or Rick Kriseman?
451 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicPierRays StaCrimeFlood InHousing RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Bill Foster39%37%42%29%43%41%40%37%41%43%32%34%36%64%38%36%34%59%26%50%67%39%27%40%39%40%36%37%44%
Rick Kriseman58%61%53%67%56%54%57%61%55%53%66%66%63%36%55%61%62%41%70%48%32%56%70%59%56%58%59%62%52%
Undecided3%1%5%4%1%4%3%2%4%4%2%0%1%0%7%3%5%0%4%2%1%5%2%2%5%2%5%1%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%56%44%17%25%35%23%41%59%63%27%7%23%12%23%16%10%30%54%15%19%39%26%14%35%51%33%36%31%
 
 
2Which one issue is most important to you in deciding who you will vote for? What to do with the St. Petersburg Pier? The Tampa Bay Rays stadium debate? Crime? Flood insurance rates? The housing crisis? Or something else?
451 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicPierRays StaCrimeFlood InHousing RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Pier23%24%21%19%20%26%23%19%25%23%16%54%100%0%0%0%0%25%24%14%13%21%29%13%27%20%18%21%27%
Rays Stadium12%16%7%0%19%12%12%12%12%15%8%7%0%100%0%0%0%15%10%15%22%10%11%12%14%11%12%12%12%
Crime23%22%24%36%18%22%18%25%21%23%26%14%0%0%100%0%0%19%24%23%24%22%25%27%22%22%28%23%18%
Flood Insurance16%15%18%13%16%17%17%15%17%16%15%12%0%0%0%100%0%16%16%15%19%14%20%22%14%16%15%13%20%
Housing Crisis10%9%12%20%10%8%7%14%8%7%18%6%0%0%0%0%100%10%10%12%9%16%4%8%10%12%9%14%9%
Something Else13%13%12%12%14%13%11%13%12%14%8%7%0%0%0%0%0%14%11%16%8%14%10%11%8%16%12%13%14%
Not Sure4%2%7%0%3%1%12%2%5%2%8%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%5%5%5%3%2%6%4%3%6%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%56%44%17%25%35%23%41%59%63%27%7%23%12%23%16%10%30%54%15%19%39%26%14%35%51%33%36%31%