Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20055
 
In Ohio, 7 Days Till Votes Are Counted, Democrats Maintain An Edge in Both Contests for President and United States Senator:

It's Barack Obama 48%, Mitt Romney 45% in SurveyUSA's penultimate tracking poll of the state of Ohio, unchanged from last week, and barely changed over the past month. 4 times in October SurveyUSA has polled Ohio for WCMH-TV in Columbus, and 4 times Barack Obama has led, though always inside of any survey's margin of possible error. Obama has never polled below 45%, Romney has never polled above 45%.

As evidence of how important each Buckeye vote is, half of Ohio voters tell SurveyUSA they have been contacted by both campaigns for President. Another 18% have been contacted by just the Romney campaign, and another 15% have been contacted by just the Obama campaign. That leaves just 1 out of 6 Ohio voters who say they have not been contacted by either campaign for President.

Voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot vote 56% to 40% for Obama. Voters who tell SurveyUSA they will vote on Election day vote 50% to 41% for Romney. Independents today break 48% to 37% for Romney. Romney leads today, as he has in each of the 4 polls, on which candidate would do a better job balancing the federal budget. Obama leads today, as he has in each of the 4 polls, on which candidate is more in touch with the average voter.

In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, Democrat Sherrod Brown edges Republican Josh Mandel 46% to 41%. Week-on-week, Brown is up 3 points, Mandel is down 1 point. Week-on-week, Brown has gained ground among both men and women, young and old.

Voters who are optimistic vote 4:1 for Brown. Voters who are worried vote 2:1 for Mandel. Among voters who believe abortion should be legal in all cases, Brown maintains the same 4:1 advantage he has throughout October. Among voters who say that abortion should be illegal in all cases, Mandel maintains a 3:1 advantage. Union households give Brown a 14-point advantage. Evangelicals give Mandel an 11-point advantage.

Voters today oppose the health care reform law that was passed in 2010, as they have each time SurveyUSA has asked about it. Voters today support the financial bailout of the American auto industry, as they have each time SurveyUSA has asked about it.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 685 adults from the state of Ohio 10/26/12 through 10/29/12. Of the adults, 611 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 603 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
In the election for President of the United States, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? One of the other candidates? Or are you undecided?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney (R)2711481226565806113014025696130178572141731976165878401892418522161141404715657608683387565546711820662710521457221031203852569016
Barack Obama (D)287126161776593521421452125786491488220511204592212992821474115692126720217091168094584810176425811148320287196552915244303036551279
Other11472341561013254712627128102938641244143225120015525111250
Undecided3519168168423113222428161988177213723317281022815581012491339122900622715162449151
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
In the election for United States Senator, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Josh Mandel? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Are you undecided? Or will you not vote in this contest?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Josh Mandel (R)2451331126357725411912623195326164491971561868153766401711915481961061264213954537978316661466210820612269461286818933193546518411
Sherrod Brown (D)2801271536568935413214721452914014672207192005429129877315535156720766197156941872846254897843611094532242491856229292272628365911912
Scott Rupert (I)181264581910171331271141113101311403154138826742944291365213226332271
Undecided5423312018973816437215352727131220926813299312411731232251722123231451117312142121229172756108232
Will Not Vote633211233603023301412212211515321221031202102211331011140
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
There are a lot of issues in the news - locally, nationally and abroad. Which of the following best characterizes your personal outlook? Optimistic and hopeful? Worried and concerned? Or Frustrated and angry?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Optimistic And Hopeful255124131665879521241311915182371346818742159454511464641463112561936816713090246483594279694060984330521962550041187212938521069
Worried And Concerned22710412359596643118109210124335145681599848769786254114922154018581134641084257706630765737491031950145550227013268232938488010
Frustrated And Angry11265472430391954581035251175179550223551401323701543378446532641227372916313022264072772290011266349121820476
Not Sure954311445712154523224234121826431232143114122600026020141
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support3021471557068105591381642405189481618721531190683813890711704316752227221116110919849766471058144621224534432431937233412313232366112913
Oppose2241231015659644511411020312502414841183129246813372739152201245178931194812145467168345560426096146118917351157216134153340477910
Not Sure772750272215144928685131350314733192223348214655106531422236162025229291714142812143927274083929781713303
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Which one issue do you want the President to focus on ahead of all others? Jobs? Healthcare? Balancing the federal budget? Taxes? Keeping America safe? Education? Abortion? Social security? Medicare? Or something else?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Jobs24511513060627450121124208326931145621838596588010841561492415581857315698106276276653567694357245001181119810340104116162442519815
Healthcare7031401015242225455971910411456103919192619143813611582145322891818181524201213070020484319717497101010303
Balancing The Budget109654434253515595095102122653178412341494692470123228540633151211335382027261834001096632305027613813161824362
Taxes3420141113742311303712610241861014123326316271022101568138481059000238111581882858101
Keeping America Safe51222916121582823417983018331820918198113352104121261628514238620118100002225251410212468710192
Education27131412581171023385139171177211118161142262016824896874800022219532211153142
Abortion11564412841002183842353236023848515244133310005653444021260
Social Security251213321285202321131161981446934136381891511121148211662100091512858154326110
Medicare1165134438912092917316226213747550541063210002844337002260
Something Else2091139431281454511217676246511216138118102106329433000512765512312571
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney288156132707481621441442711164301916522317725831679810461992517582281211505516160639090407871557512221742648561557521539204052649615
Barack Obama2631151487256864912913419155774513770193101885220120837513538136319360185155831473895341947236539845271256187452612226282633491188
Not Sure522726101817728244931010322330519238261110345394413372021514151391715109263862312271214305688223
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Who is more in touch with the average person?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney22612410149497058971282119532015137188146156314662733157191642181103109361324956756030625544559817572190411176617621173244437514
Barack Obama32514418091791015417015524858905517510122321212772815497921734314762427323418210920851087350108904868127513718284205793430261353540641429
Not Sure53292413211363419511910331934256192028163863124119291324109112310181381321315343931123513161014202
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney26814911963667960129139251125927179522151682176160879391882317522141131394915356608582367566536611419692525491437420334203850549115
Barack Obama289126163796394531421472175785491528220713204592313292831504014712126920216895167996614610277426011549295273199592617243322835561299
Not Sure4622241119115301643198282422117231226393052739133114178111214812166101631214972512211826812171
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Voter Fraud2621361266065845312513623027603017056206123577813291225116827155520210114869141415991733674694664114245818757691236715775243246539314
Voter Suppression230115115624979401111191853367331266616436128533211062531353385217455162120792158725740756035547935363917614152333816521253643996
Not Sure111476430352125654696925226337753447283043202765811238839624245173431271540281919531115445345521246549151125456
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support223105118574579421021211664575281186315915156442110872611232975316654157133681448675745645841548741231220316531221419018252845997
Oppose284162122647686581401442681062331866322115639841531021445193251960221108158571555764918538747552731242270233275315177199502435486010214
Not Sure973166322820176037771415245532652238302135182451147167733574143939361575125810358162657374413275412121716355
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%
 
Have you been contacted ... in person, by mail, or by phone ... by the Romney campaign? By the Obama campaign? By both campaigns? Or have you not been contacted by either campaign?
603 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceWhen Will You Vote?1Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackAlready Before EON ElectCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Romney Campaign108565220242935446498730156214946915236631812787121690495423552527353113362320244612208220305523782310132122375
Obama Campaign893950261828174445552828154426631166613382231411052067295245338282718133525151140131013756418610729161015371
Both Campaigns28814514364739852137150253237334177582298010988801324963180321171213821901191233161848550687855771163654120138122101621101452529415912212
Neither Campaign109525740322511723795111720715653273940314224226418520872973405014294422134431923391024524937492041509132123365
Not Sure1064224246903164663142145113764442532061134013534135011151
Total6032983061531491841183013025116915285359158445192232158195244104131368683313046519537223126579150194156901891581001372457010927128725522711224129453739412123726
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%25%25%31%19%50%50%85%11%25%14%60%26%74%32%38%26%32%41%17%22%61%11%6%22%77%33%63%39%45%13%25%33%26%15%32%27%17%23%41%12%18%45%48%42%38%19%40%49%9%12%16%20%39%4%