Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #5907
 
In a Republican Primary for Governor of New Jersey today, 12 hours before polls open, Douglas Forrester defeats Bret Schundler 43% to 31%, according to final SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia. 22% would vote for one of the other five candidates in the race. 5% are undecided. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll 12 days ago, Forrester has lost 2 points and Schundler has gained 2 points. Forrester had led by 16, now by 12. Schundler leads only among voters under age 35, and does relatively well among regular churchgoers. Forrester is strongest in southern NJ. The large number of likely voters who say they will vote for one of the "other" Republicans on the Primary ballot creates a volatile situation: voters who do not want to "waste" their vote may, in the voting booth, switch to one of the top 2 candidates. *** Filtering: 6,000 New Jersey adults were interviewed 6/3-6/5/05. 5,102 of them were registered to vote. Of them, 1,721 identified themselves as being registered Republicans. Of them, 612 were judged to be "likely" Republican Primary voters. Crosstabs reflect "likely" Republican Primary voters.
 
1On Tuesday, New Jersey will hold a Republican primary for Governor. If the Republican Primary for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Doug Forrester? Bret Schundler? Or some other candidate?
612 Likely Republican VotersAllGenderAgeRaceEducationIdeologyChurchRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureNeverOccasionRegularlNorthernCentral Southern
Forrester43%43%43%32%44%48%41%44%**34%**42%40%40%50%43%43%****48%49%38%40%37%52%
Schundler31%34%27%36%33%30%27%30%**44%**34%29%33%26%34%23%****30%25%34%30%31%31%
Other22%21%23%25%19%17%28%22%**17%**20%25%22%20%18%29%****22%22%22%24%27%14%
Undecided5%3%7%7%4%5%4%4%**5%**4%6%5%4%5%5%****1%5%6%6%5%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Voters100%53%47%13%31%29%26%86%3%8%3%25%28%22%25%58%36%5%1%17%33%50%36%33%31%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.