Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14440
11 Days Until Early Voting Begins in California, Obama Poised to Capture 55 Electoral Votes: In an election for President of the United States in California today, 09/25/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 53% to 43%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

Obama leads among voters younger than John McCain. McCain leads among voters older than McCain. Whites split. Minorities back Obama. The Inland Empire and Central Valley back McCain. Greater Los Angeles and the Bay Area back Obama. Obama leads among those who consider themselves an intellectual, those who speak another language and those who do not own a gun.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 California adults 09/23/08 and 09/24/08. The research was conducted at a time of unprecedented economic and political turbulence. Approximately half of respondents were interviewed after McCain announced that he was temporarily suspending his campaign. Of the adults, 820 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 661 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. California has 55 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried the state by 10 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by by 12 points in 2000. SurveyUSA has polled the McCain Obama contest a number of times, but all previous polls were of registered voters. This is SurveyUSA's first poll of likely voters. As such, interactive tracking graphs are not included to non-comparable previous SurveyUSA polls.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
661 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
McCain (R)43%45%42%36%47%44%47%42%45%42%50%43%49%22%33%41%82%11%40%87%35%6%42%45%57%35%35%73%27%41%48%44%39%36%49%46%29%60%33%42%43%52%41%51%33%
Obama (D)53%51%54%61%52%49%47%56%48%56%43%51%46%78%66%51%16%87%48%10%60%91%54%51%39%61%60%23%69%55%48%52%58%59%48%51%65%35%63%53%54%43%55%44%64%
Composition of Likely Voters100%46%54%24%30%27%19%55%45%49%10%42%63%6%21%10%39%44%16%28%36%21%56%44%35%29%36%33%64%72%20%86%14%45%54%82%13%33%64%26%74%20%38%19%23%