Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21485
 
In KS, Pat Roberts' Primary Lead Erodes, and Roberts' November Prospects Are Complicated by Independent Orman;
For Governor, Democratic Davis-Docking Ticket, Newly Backed by High Profile KS Republicans, Remains in Driver's Seat;

Kansas Incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, hoping to sail to re-election to his fourth term in the US Senate, finds himself no longer able to take for granted the 08/05/14 Republican Primary, and, should he survive the primary, no longer able to guarantee a win in the November general election, according to SurveyUSA research conducted for KSN-TV in Wichita.

Roberts today leads conservative primary challenger Milton Wolf by 20 points. That's substantial, but down from the 33-point lead that Roberts had 1 month ago, when SurveyUSA last polled this contest. There is little movement among conservative voters, where you might expect to find it. There is movement among moderates, where Wolf has halved Roberts lead poll-on-poll. There is also movement among voters age 50 to 64, where Roberts had led by 31 points, now 8.

Assuming Roberts dispatches Wolf in the primary, Roberts' life is then complicated by Independent Greg Orman, who today takes 14% of the vote in a hypothetical general election match-up. 3 months till early voting in the 11/04/14 election begins, it's Roberts 38%, Democrat Chad Taylor 33%, Orman at 14%, and Libertarian Randall Batson at 4%. Roberts holds just 59% of the Republican base. Orman gets 30% of the vote among Independents. Orman takes twice as many Republican votes (13%) as he takes Democratic votes (6%). Roberts is above 50% only in rural Western KS. He is at 43% in greater Wichita, 36% in greater Kansas City, and 33% in Eastern KS.

For Governor, Sam Brownback's Kansas Experiment is slowly coming into the national spotlight. Today, in a hypothetical head-to-head-to-head, the incumbent Republican ticket of Brownback and Jeff Colyer trails the Democratic challenger ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking, 48% to 40%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll conducted 1 month ago, Brownback is down 1 point, Davis is up 1 point. The governor's race crosstabs reveal: the older you are, the less you like Sam Brownback. He trails by 20 points among seniors, trails by 13 points among those age 50 to 64. Only among voters under age 50 does Brownback have a nominal advantage. Among voters who say the most important issue in the Governor's election is education funding, Davis-Docking lead 4:1. Among voters who say the most important issue in the Governor's election is tax rates, Brownback-Colyer lead 5:3. Brownback holds 60% of the Republican base, compared to Davis, who holds 89% of the Democratic base. Independents break for the Democrat by 21 points - but, it's important to point out that the Libertarian ticket of Keen Umbehr and Josh Umbehr takes 13% of Independent votes.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 state of Kansas adults 07/17/14 through 07/22/14. Of the adults, 2,079 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 691 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/05/14 Republican Primary, 322 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/05/14 Democratic Primary. 1,208 voters were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 General Election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a survey on their laptop, tablet, smartphone or other electronic device.

 
If the Republican Primary for Kansas Governor were today, which Republican ticket would you vote for? (tickets rotated) Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer? Or Jennifer Winn and Robin Lais?
691 Likely & Actual GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Sam Brownback And Jeff Colyer60%64%56%57%71%58%56%66%57%60%****76%34%**68%60%58%53%64%61%69%59%70%65%61%54%75%34%74%61%70%65%45%51%68%69%22%53%
Jennifer Winn And Robin Lais30%29%32%27%26%31%35%26%33%30%****15%56%**22%27%35%32%29%31%16%33%21%29%30%35%18%59%19%27%22%29%45%38%27%22%74%32%
Undecided9%7%12%17%3%11%9%8%10%9%****9%10%**10%13%7%15%8%7%15%8%9%6%9%11%6%8%7%11%8%6%11%11%6%8%4%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters100%55%45%13%23%36%28%36%64%100%0%0%62%31%4%14%31%55%24%37%39%12%88%17%20%20%43%37%26%12%21%38%24%25%10%23%46%12%15%
 
If the Republican Primary for United States Senator were today, which Republican would you vote for? (names rotated) Pat Roberts? D.J. Smith? Milton Wolf? Or Alvin Zahnter?
691 Likely & Actual GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Pat Roberts50%51%49%51%63%42%49%59%45%50%****54%45%**46%48%53%48%56%47%51%50%54%54%44%50%50%52%51%48%59%38%50%40%49%50%49%48%
D.J. Smith6%6%5%3%7%5%6%6%5%6%****5%6%**7%4%6%6%6%5%4%6%6%8%7%4%5%9%5%2%4%7%7%5%8%4%8%4%
Milton Wolf30%33%26%31%21%34%32%25%33%30%****30%31%**25%33%30%22%28%38%23%31%24%29%37%30%29%25%30%39%26%36%30%39%34%32%31%26%
Alvin Zahnter3%2%4%2%1%4%2%2%3%3%****1%6%**2%2%3%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%3%3%4%4%0%0%2%1%5%3%4%2%3%4%
Undecided12%8%16%12%8%15%11%9%13%12%****10%12%**19%13%9%21%9%6%19%11%14%7%10%13%11%10%15%10%9%18%8%12%6%12%9%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters100%55%45%13%23%36%28%36%64%100%0%0%62%31%4%14%31%55%24%37%39%12%88%17%20%20%43%37%26%12%21%38%24%25%10%23%46%12%15%
 
If the Republican Primary for Secretary of State were today, which Republican would you vote for? (names rotated) Kris Kobach? Or Scott Morgan?
691 Likely & Actual GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Kris Kobach56%58%55%53%57%62%51%55%57%56%****70%37%**65%55%55%45%63%57%58%56%55%68%62%49%66%35%68%62%64%65%40%51%64%66%20%50%
Scott Morgan30%33%27%23%32%26%37%29%31%30%****18%51%**19%27%35%31%26%35%17%32%30%24%26%35%24%54%20%24%21%27%46%40%32%20%76%30%
Undecided13%9%18%24%11%12%11%16%12%13%****12%12%**16%18%10%24%11%9%25%12%15%8%12%15%10%11%12%14%15%8%13%9%4%14%4%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters100%55%45%13%23%36%28%36%64%100%0%0%62%31%4%14%31%55%24%37%39%12%88%17%20%20%43%37%26%12%21%38%24%25%10%23%46%12%15%
 
If the Democratic primary for United States Senator were today were today, which Democrat would you vote for? (names rotated) Chad Taylor? Or Patrick Wiesner?
322 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Chad Taylor48%54%44%57%37%49%48%45%49%**48%**61%44%50%46%46%50%46%50%45%42%49%45%47%38%53%58%50%37%45%51%63%45%43%57%48%42%48%
Patrick Wiesner17%22%14%16%12%19%18%13%19%**17%**6%21%17%21%18%15%16%17%20%13%18%38%15%16%15%18%18%15%10%22%17%17%11%14%21%24%10%
Undecided35%24%43%27%52%32%34%42%33%**35%**33%35%33%33%36%35%37%33%35%44%33%17%38%46%32%23%32%47%46%27%20%38%46%29%31%33%42%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters100%42%58%9%14%41%35%24%76%0%100%0%8%48%39%17%38%45%30%42%28%14%86%10%19%23%48%24%49%10%14%21%19%44%14%31%28%17%20%
 
If the November election for Kansas Governor were today, and the tickets on the ballot were ... (tickets rotated) The Republican ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer, The Democratic ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking, And the Libertarian ticket of Keen Umbehr and Josh Umbehr, Which ticket would you vote for?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Brownback/Colyer (R)40%43%36%46%46%38%36%46%37%60%5%27%74%18%8%42%39%40%35%40%45%44%39%54%41%42%34%55%18%54%45%57%49%22%26%38%54%15%31%
Davis/Docking (D)48%45%51%31%42%51%56%38%53%29%89%48%15%69%82%40%47%50%47%50%46%35%50%33%48%44%54%34%76%31%37%34%41%64%59%55%34%69%53%
Umbehr/Umbehr (L)5%7%3%12%6%3%3%9%3%4%2%13%5%5%4%6%5%5%7%3%5%10%4%5%2%8%5%4%3%6%8%3%6%6%8%3%4%9%6%
Undecided7%5%10%11%6%8%5%8%7%7%5%12%6%8%7%12%9%5%11%7%4%11%7%8%8%6%7%7%4%9%9%6%4%9%8%4%7%6%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
Which one of these issues will be most important in your November vote for Governor? Tax rates? Education funding? Job recruitment? Or something else?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Tax Rates32%34%30%30%36%33%29%33%31%36%23%31%41%27%25%39%32%30%32%33%32%41%31%28%32%37%31%100%0%0%0%43%33%30%10%36%39%22%25%
Education Funding34%30%38%31%33%31%39%32%35%27%49%33%19%43%51%21%32%39%27%37%37%29%35%31%32%27%38%0%100%0%0%24%36%42%33%36%28%50%31%
Job Recruitment11%12%10%12%7%12%12%9%12%11%9%12%14%10%8%19%9%9%15%10%9%9%11%15%11%10%10%0%0%100%0%11%10%14%5%9%14%8%9%
Something Else19%21%16%20%20%20%15%20%18%21%14%19%22%16%14%10%22%19%20%17%18%14%19%17%22%21%17%0%0%0%100%16%18%11%48%15%15%17%32%
Not Sure4%4%5%7%3%3%5%5%4%5%4%4%5%5%2%11%5%2%7%3%4%7%4%7%3%5%4%0%0%0%0%5%3%3%4%3%5%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
If the November election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, and the candidates on the ballot were Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Chad Taylor, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman. Who would you vote for?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Pat Roberts (R)38%42%34%47%43%35%35%45%35%59%7%19%66%23%6%35%36%41%33%39%43%42%38%53%43%36%33%46%25%50%42%56%37%27%24%36%48%25%31%
Chad Taylor (D)33%30%36%19%30%35%39%26%37%14%77%29%8%44%73%32%34%33%31%37%31%24%35%16%29%33%40%26%52%19%25%25%25%44%44%42%22%44%37%
Randall Batson (L)4%6%2%5%6%3%4%6%3%5%1%6%6%3%1%3%4%5%6%3%5%5%4%6%3%5%4%6%1%2%9%3%6%4%7%3%5%5%5%
Greg Orman (I)14%15%13%14%11%16%15%12%15%13%6%30%11%18%11%18%13%13%19%12%12%15%14%16%15%14%13%13%14%15%13%9%22%14%13%14%14%18%11%
Undecided10%7%14%15%10%11%8%12%10%9%9%16%8%11%11%12%13%8%12%10%9%15%10%10%10%11%10%9%8%14%11%7%11%10%13%6%11%7%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
What if the candidates for United States Senator were Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Patrick Wiesner, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Pat Roberts (R)40%43%36%45%46%37%37%45%37%60%8%23%67%25%8%35%37%43%33%41%45%43%39%52%43%37%36%47%27%51%44%57%38%28%29%37%49%26%34%
Patrick Wiesner (D)27%24%31%19%23%30%31%22%31%9%70%21%5%35%70%26%29%27%27%30%26%19%29%16%24%32%30%22%42%18%19%20%24%35%36%35%18%42%27%
Randall Batson (L)5%7%2%8%5%4%4%6%4%5%2%8%8%3%2%4%4%5%4%3%7%8%4%3%4%5%5%6%1%4%9%4%5%5%5%3%5%4%6%
Greg Orman (I)17%18%16%15%15%19%18%15%18%16%10%31%13%24%13%22%17%16%23%16%15%17%17%16%20%16%17%16%20%15%15%11%22%21%16%18%17%20%15%
Undecided11%7%15%13%11%10%10%12%10%9%10%18%8%13%7%13%13%9%13%10%9%13%10%13%10%9%11%9%9%12%13%8%11%11%14%7%10%8%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
Now, what if the candidates for United States Senator were Republican Milton Wolf, Democrat Chad Taylor, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Milton Wolf (R)33%38%28%41%36%32%29%38%31%49%6%24%59%18%7%31%33%34%28%31%41%32%34%44%38%37%27%43%21%40%38%49%39%20%18%34%43%21%24%
Chad Taylor (D)34%31%38%24%31%36%39%28%37%16%76%28%10%46%72%27%36%35%33%38%31%28%35%19%24%32%44%28%50%25%26%25%26%46%44%41%23%52%36%
Randall Batson (L)5%6%3%7%8%4%2%7%3%5%2%7%7%3%3%4%4%5%5%3%7%8%4%4%5%6%4%7%1%4%8%4%5%6%5%3%5%6%7%
Greg Orman (I)14%15%13%17%14%13%14%15%14%15%6%24%11%19%11%16%11%15%17%14%13%17%14%13%19%14%12%12%19%13%9%11%14%17%16%15%13%13%16%
Undecided14%10%17%11%11%15%15%11%15%15%10%16%13%14%8%21%16%10%17%14%8%15%13%21%13%11%13%10%10%19%19%12%16%11%17%7%17%7%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
And what if it were Republican Milton Wolf, Democrat Patrick Wiesner, Libertarian Randall Batson, and Independent Greg Orman.
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Milton Wolf (R)35%39%29%43%38%33%31%40%32%51%8%22%60%20%10%31%35%36%30%31%44%33%35%48%37%37%29%46%19%44%41%51%42%21%19%33%45%21%27%
Patrick Wiesner (D)28%26%31%22%22%30%34%22%32%11%69%23%7%37%66%27%29%28%27%31%26%20%30%18%23%33%32%21%45%19%20%21%21%36%40%37%18%41%29%
Randall Batson (L)5%6%4%7%8%5%2%8%4%6%1%8%8%3%1%4%5%6%6%4%6%7%5%3%7%5%5%6%3%3%9%5%6%5%5%2%5%8%7%
Greg Orman (I)16%17%15%17%16%16%17%16%16%16%10%27%12%23%13%18%13%18%18%18%13%18%16%12%18%14%18%14%21%13%11%11%15%23%15%18%14%18%18%
Undecided16%11%21%11%17%16%17%15%16%16%12%21%13%18%10%20%18%13%18%16%11%23%15%19%14%12%17%12%13%20%20%13%15%15%20%9%18%12%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
Which one of these issues will be most important in your November vote for United States Senator? Obamacare? Immigration? Jobs and the economy? Or something else?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Obamacare31%29%33%40%29%28%33%33%30%38%22%22%45%20%23%32%29%32%31%28%33%32%31%43%30%31%28%42%22%32%27%100%0%0%0%39%34%17%25%
Immigration22%23%21%12%21%23%27%18%24%24%18%24%24%20%20%23%22%22%22%24%19%17%23%27%22%19%22%23%24%20%22%0%100%0%0%19%37%11%5%
Jobs And The Economy32%33%31%32%34%34%28%33%31%25%43%38%20%43%39%33%33%31%32%33%32%38%31%18%34%34%34%30%39%42%19%0%0%100%0%30%22%56%36%
Something Else12%13%10%11%14%14%8%13%11%10%15%12%8%14%16%6%12%14%11%12%13%9%12%10%11%12%13%4%12%6%31%0%0%0%100%9%4%15%32%
Not Sure3%1%5%5%2%2%4%3%3%3%2%4%4%3%2%6%4%1%3%3%2%4%3%3%3%4%3%2%3%1%1%0%0%0%0%2%3%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
If the November election for Kansas Secretary of State were today, and the candidates on the ballot were Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean Schodorf, who would you vote for?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Kris Kobach (R)47%51%44%60%48%46%43%53%44%71%6%34%81%29%8%50%47%47%40%48%52%52%47%64%51%50%40%60%25%58%56%68%55%27%34%46%64%23%35%
Jean Schodorf (D)41%39%44%31%38%42%48%35%45%21%83%45%11%59%82%35%37%46%41%43%40%31%43%24%40%39%48%29%68%27%30%24%34%60%55%51%25%64%48%
Undecided11%10%12%9%14%12%9%12%11%8%11%21%8%12%10%15%16%7%18%9%7%17%10%13%9%10%12%11%7%15%13%8%11%13%10%3%11%13%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
What if the candidates for Secretary of State were Republican Scott Morgan and Democrat Jean Schodorf?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Scott Morgan (R)46%52%40%56%54%43%40%55%42%69%8%31%75%32%10%47%44%47%40%45%54%52%45%56%48%52%40%58%27%58%54%60%53%30%40%48%57%29%36%
Jean Schodorf (D)37%35%40%27%29%40%44%28%42%14%81%43%10%50%79%33%36%39%39%38%36%28%39%23%39%36%41%27%60%23%27%23%30%54%45%45%25%54%41%
Undecided17%13%21%17%17%17%16%17%17%16%11%26%16%17%12%20%20%14%22%16%11%20%16%21%13%12%19%15%13%18%19%16%17%16%16%7%18%17%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
Which of these issues will be most important to you in your November vote for Secretary of State? Voter Registration? Immigration? Campaign finance reform? Or something else?
1208 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+PartyIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionGovernor IssueSenate IssueSOS Issue
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWestern Wichita Kansas CEastern Tax RateEducatioJob RecrSomethinObamacarImmigratJobs AndSomethinVoter ReImmigratCampaignSomethin
Voter Registration26%31%19%28%27%24%25%28%25%24%33%20%24%25%33%20%22%29%21%24%31%20%27%23%30%25%25%28%28%22%21%32%22%24%20%100%0%0%0%
Immigration39%35%44%30%37%41%42%35%42%45%27%37%52%30%27%49%44%33%39%44%34%40%39%52%40%37%36%48%32%49%31%43%65%27%12%0%100%0%0%
Campaign Finance Reform15%15%14%16%14%13%16%15%14%12%17%19%8%21%17%10%13%17%16%13%15%14%15%7%10%16%18%10%22%11%14%8%7%26%19%0%0%100%0%
Something Else17%15%19%20%18%18%14%19%16%15%20%21%13%20%20%13%17%18%19%16%16%19%17%15%17%18%18%13%16%13%30%14%4%19%46%0%0%0%100%
Not Sure4%3%4%6%3%4%3%4%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%8%4%2%5%3%3%7%3%3%3%4%4%1%3%5%5%4%1%3%3%0%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%13%22%36%29%35%65%56%26%18%42%38%17%15%32%52%27%38%35%14%86%13%21%20%46%32%34%11%19%31%22%32%12%26%39%15%17%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.