Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16466
 
Democratic Runoff Likely in NC Senate Primary; Burr Coasts to Victory in GOP Contest: In a Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina held today, 04/26/10, 8 days until votes are counted, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and former State Senator Cal Cunningham advance to a June runoff election, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WRAL-TV Raleigh.

Today, Marshall gets 23% of the vote; Cunningham gets 19%. Attorney Ken Lewis gets 10%; Accountant Susan Harris gets 7%. 2 other candidates, 2008 candidate Marcus Williams and minister Ann Worthy each get 4%. 1 in 3 voters are undecided. Any outcome remains possible.

Today, Cunningham edges Marshall by 4 points among men; among women, Marshall leads by 10. Among whites, Marshall leads by 6; among blacks, the contest is tied. Marshall holds a clear lead in Charlotte and Western NC; Cunningham is ahead in Greensboro; neither candidate has a clear advantage elsewhere. Early voting began on April 15; among the 11% included here who have already cast their ballots, Marshall leads by 9 points, 25% to 16%. Susan Harris gets 14% among early voters, effectively tied with Cunningham ... but Harris takes 6% among those likely voters who have not yet cast ballots, compared to Cunningham's 19%.

 
Burr Opposition Stuck In Single Digits: Incumbent Republican Richard Burr wins a Republican primary for US Senator from North Carolina today, 04/26/10, with 59% of the vote. Opponents Larry Linney and Brad Jones each receive 6% of the vote; Eddie Burks gets 3%. 1 in 5 voters are undecided. Linney, who is African American, leads 2:1 among the small number of African American likely voters in the Republican primary.
 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,600 North Carolina adults 04/23/10 through 04/25/10. Of them, 2,277 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 520 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 05/04/10 Republican Primary; 511 were determined to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 05/04/10 Democratic primary. Early voting began 04/15/10. Incumbent Republican Richard Burr is seeking a second term.
 
1If the Republican Primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Richard Burr? Eddie Burks? Brad Jones? Or Larry Linney?
520 Likely & Actual GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Burr59%62%57%56%54%65%64%55%64%63%23%****51%61%61%**43%59%65%55%59%60%58%58%68%63%52%61%53%54%62%56%62%63%59%
Burks3%3%2%4%3%2%4%3%3%3%0%****0%3%3%**2%3%4%0%3%3%3%2%1%3%2%3%2%2%3%3%4%2%2%
Jones6%6%5%4%7%7%5%6%6%5%7%****9%5%6%**7%7%3%7%3%9%5%7%7%5%9%6%8%13%3%5%11%2%8%
Linney6%9%2%20%3%1%3%9%2%2%47%****29%2%6%**3%7%3%0%9%2%9%0%1%7%3%6%5%3%8%2%0%15%5%
Undecided26%19%34%16%33%25%24%27%25%26%22%****10%29%24%**45%24%24%38%26%26%24%32%22%21%34%23%32%29%24%33%23%18%26%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters100%53%47%19%33%27%21%52%48%88%9%1%2%15%85%91%0%9%68%23%5%53%47%63%24%13%67%31%69%27%34%66%35%19%27%19%
 
 
2If the Democratic Primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Cal Cunningham? Susan Harris? Ken Lewis? Elaine Marshall? Marcus Williams? Or Ann Worthy?
511 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Cunningham19%24%15%16%16%21%23%16%22%22%14%****16%19%**19%22%18%26%13%24%16%19%16%29%20%21%19%21%19%21%10%23%23%22%
Harris7%5%9%5%7%8%8%6%8%6%9%****14%6%**7%17%9%4%10%5%9%7%5%10%7%7%6%8%8%6%9%6%6%9%
Lewis10%13%6%21%5%7%10%11%8%8%7%****9%10%**10%6%14%10%5%9%10%9%7%9%7%10%11%7%10%7%12%6%9%10%
Marshall23%20%25%17%22%25%25%20%25%28%15%****25%22%**22%30%17%23%33%28%18%25%16%24%23%25%26%22%17%30%26%15%25%19%
Williams4%2%5%4%4%4%3%4%4%2%6%****4%4%**3%12%3%6%2%4%4%5%4%1%4%5%3%6%4%4%2%9%4%2%
Worthy4%2%5%8%6%2%2%6%2%2%9%****11%3%**4%3%6%3%5%1%7%3%4%7%2%6%2%6%7%1%4%4%4%3%
Undecided34%34%33%29%40%34%29%36%31%32%41%****20%35%**35%11%33%27%33%29%36%31%48%20%37%26%33%30%34%30%37%37%28%36%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters100%46%54%16%31%29%24%47%53%63%30%2%4%11%89%0%93%7%27%41%24%48%52%60%22%18%37%57%45%52%49%51%31%16%37%17%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.