| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14712 |
| Democrats Obama, Harkin Far Ahead in Iowa Races: In elections for President of the United States and United States Senate held in Iowa today, 10/30/08, five days until votes are counted, Democrats Barack Obama and Tom Harkin easily win their contests, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHO-TV Des Moines and KAAL-TV Mason City. Today, it's Obama 55%, Republican John McCain 40% in the Presidential race. Obama's lead comes almost entirely from women, where he leads by 27 points. Among the 32% of respondents who tell SurveyUSA they have already cast ballots, Obama leads by 40 points; Obama leads by 3 points among those who tell SurveyUSA they have not yet voted, but will. In the US Senate race, Harkin leads Republican Chris Reed 61% to 35%. 800 adults interviewed 10/28/08 and 10/29/08. Of them, 741 were registered to vote; of them, 658 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote on or before November 4. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 658 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Northeas | Southeas | Southwes | Northwes | |
| McCain (R) | 40% | 46% | 34% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 41% | 39% | 41% | 41% | 40% | ** | ** | ** | 83% | 11% | 43% | 78% | 26% | 9% | 29% | 45% | 46% | 36% | 48% | 36% | 26% | 60% | 23% | 35% | ** | 24% | 37% | 82% | ** | ** | ** | 35% | 44% | 34% | 44% | 41% | 49% |
| Obama (D) | 55% | 48% | 61% | 57% | 54% | 56% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 53% | 56% | 55% | ** | ** | ** | 14% | 85% | 49% | 18% | 70% | 83% | 69% | 48% | 50% | 58% | 45% | 59% | 74% | 32% | 74% | 59% | ** | 73% | 61% | 15% | ** | ** | ** | 58% | 53% | 62% | 51% | 50% | 47% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 3% | ** | 1% | 0% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 2% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 31% | 25% | 23% | 52% | 48% | 45% | 13% | 42% | 95% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 29% | 45% | 25% | 32% | 44% | 16% | 32% | 68% | 40% | 60% | 51% | 25% | 24% | 44% | 53% | 55% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 45% | 55% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 17% |
 | Iowa will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Chris Reed? Or Democrat Tom Harkin? |
| 658 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Northeas | Southeas | Southwes | Northwes | |
| Chris Reed (R) | 35% | 43% | 27% | 34% | 39% | 34% | 32% | 37% | 33% | 37% | 30% | 35% | 35% | ** | ** | ** | 77% | 9% | 35% | 69% | 23% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 43% | 31% | 43% | 29% | 25% | 57% | 19% | 30% | ** | 17% | 36% | 79% | ** | ** | ** | 31% | 39% | 31% | 39% | 39% | 36% |
| Tom Harkin (D) | 61% | 54% | 69% | 61% | 57% | 65% | 65% | 58% | 65% | 59% | 65% | 63% | 62% | ** | ** | ** | 22% | 88% | 59% | 28% | 75% | 85% | 75% | 55% | 55% | 65% | 54% | 66% | 72% | 40% | 79% | 67% | ** | 77% | 62% | 19% | ** | ** | ** | 65% | 59% | 66% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Undecided | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ** | 6% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 31% | 25% | 23% | 52% | 48% | 45% | 13% | 42% | 95% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 29% | 45% | 25% | 32% | 44% | 16% | 32% | 68% | 40% | 60% | 51% | 25% | 24% | 44% | 53% | 55% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 45% | 55% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 17% |