| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #7043 |
| Analysis: In an election today, 10/3/05, 36 days to the 11/8/05 vote, California voters approve Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76 and Proposition 77, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll of 532 likely voters. Proposition 74, on teacher tenure, passes today by 11 points, 55% to 44%. Propositions 73, 75, 76, and 77 all pass by at least 20 points. Republicans support all 5 Propositions by at least a 57-point margin. Democrats oppose all 5 Propositions by at least a 10-point margin. Support for all 5 measures is strongly tied to approval of Governor Schwarzenegger. Those who approve of the job the Governor is doing, vote overwhelming "Yes" on all 5 Propositions. Those who disapprove of the job the Governor is doing oppose all 5 Propositions. Interest in ballot measures intensifies as the election approaches and ad dollars are spent to influence voters. These numbers can and should be expected to fluctuate, perhaps significantly. |
| Filtering: 1,200 California adults were interviewed 9/30/05 - 10/2/05. Of them, 989 were registered voters. Of them, 529 were judged to be "likely" voters on Proposition 73. 528 were judged to be "likely" voters on Proposition 74. 529 were judged to be "likely" voters on Proposition 75. 507 were judged to be "likely" voters on Proposition 76. 517 were judged to be "likely" voters on Proposition 77. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters. |
| Introductory Question Text: On November 8th, California will hold a special election. We're going to ask about some of the Propositions on the ballot.... |
| Related Research: In an entirely separate SurveyUSA public opinion poll conducted of 600 state of California adults 9/29/05, 68% said the issue of gay marriage should be decided by California voters, and 63% supported Governor Schwarzenegger's veto of a bill to legalize gay marriage. |
 | First, Proposition 73. Proposition 73 requires that physicians notify the parent of a pregnant minor at least 48 hours before performing an abortion. If the special election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, would you vote Yes on Proposition 73? Or would you vote No? |
| 529 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Arnold Schwarzenegger Ov | Abortion | Union | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | Approve | Disappro | Not Sure | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 59% | 62% | 56% | 41% | 63% | 58% | 73% | 57% | 56% | 64% | 64% | 79% | 43% | 52% | 86% | 55% | 28% | 55% | 60% | 59% | 67% | 78% | 44% | ** | 94% | 40% | 60% | 59% | 66% | 59% | 64% | 48% |
| No | 39% | 36% | 42% | 56% | 36% | 40% | 24% | 41% | 42% | 36% | 32% | 19% | 55% | 45% | 13% | 43% | 71% | 44% | 39% | 38% | 32% | 20% | 55% | ** | 5% | 57% | 38% | 39% | 31% | 40% | 33% | 51% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ** | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 20% | 64% | 7% | 19% | 11% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 29% | 50% | 19% | 28% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 43% | 52% | 5% | 32% | 64% | 31% | 68% | 21% | 36% | 20% | 23% |
 | Next, Proposition 74. Proposition 74 extends the probationary period for new teachers from 2 years to 5 years, and makes it easier to dismiss teachers with unsatisfactory performance evaluations. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 74? Or would you vote No? |
| 528 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Arnold Schwarzenegger Ov | Abortion | Union | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | Approve | Disappro | Not Sure | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 55% | 60% | 49% | 46% | 53% | 56% | 64% | 57% | 41% | 49% | 59% | 78% | 31% | 54% | 79% | 51% | 28% | 48% | 57% | 61% | 51% | 87% | 28% | 54% | 73% | 46% | 43% | 60% | 58% | 55% | 62% | 45% |
| No | 44% | 39% | 48% | 53% | 45% | 42% | 34% | 41% | 57% | 49% | 39% | 20% | 67% | 44% | 19% | 47% | 71% | 51% | 40% | 38% | 46% | 11% | 71% | 38% | 25% | 53% | 55% | 38% | 40% | 43% | 36% | 53% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 20% | 64% | 7% | 19% | 11% | 38% | 38% | 22% | 29% | 50% | 19% | 28% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 43% | 52% | 5% | 32% | 64% | 31% | 68% | 21% | 36% | 20% | 23% |
 | Next, Proposition 75. Proposition 75 prohibits public employee unions from using union dues for political purposes without the written consent of union members. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 75? Or would you vote no? |
| 529 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Arnold Schwarzenegger Ov | Abortion | Union | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | Approve | Disappro | Not Sure | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 60% | 64% | 57% | 58% | 62% | 57% | 65% | 62% | 44% | 58% | 63% | 84% | 40% | 56% | 86% | 56% | 35% | 53% | 63% | 67% | 61% | 90% | 37% | 56% | 79% | 52% | 50% | 66% | 59% | 62% | 68% | 52% |
| No | 37% | 34% | 40% | 37% | 36% | 41% | 32% | 36% | 51% | 36% | 33% | 14% | 56% | 43% | 13% | 41% | 60% | 45% | 35% | 30% | 36% | 9% | 59% | 34% | 20% | 45% | 46% | 32% | 37% | 34% | 30% | 47% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 64% | 7% | 18% | 11% | 38% | 39% | 22% | 29% | 50% | 19% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 17% | 43% | 52% | 5% | 32% | 64% | 31% | 67% | 21% | 36% | 20% | 23% |
 | Next, Proposition 76. Proposition 76 limits growth in state spending so that it does not exceed recent growth in state revenues. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on Proposition 76? Or would you vote no? |
| 507 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Arnold Schwarzenegger Ov | Abortion | Union | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | Approve | Disappro | Not Sure | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 58% | 65% | 51% | 46% | 59% | 60% | 67% | 63% | 38% | 48% | 57% | 81% | 39% | 52% | 78% | 56% | 36% | 54% | 64% | 60% | 56% | 88% | 34% | 49% | 80% | 48% | 48% | 64% | 60% | 57% | 64% | 53% |
| No | 36% | 31% | 41% | 45% | 36% | 35% | 27% | 33% | 51% | 43% | 32% | 13% | 55% | 43% | 18% | 39% | 56% | 42% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 9% | 58% | 32% | 14% | 48% | 46% | 31% | 34% | 36% | 29% | 42% |
| Undecided | 6% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 65% | 6% | 18% | 10% | 39% | 38% | 22% | 29% | 51% | 18% | 28% | 25% | 30% | 16% | 43% | 51% | 5% | 32% | 64% | 32% | 67% | 21% | 36% | 20% | 22% |
 | Finally, Proposition 77. Proposition 77 changes the way California draws boundaries for Congressional and legislative districts. District boundaries would be drawn by a panel of retired judges and approved by voters in a statewide election. If the special election were today, would you vote Yes on 77? Or would you vote no? |
| 517 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Arnold Schwarzenegger Ov | Abortion | Union | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | Approve | Disappro | Not Sure | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 59% | 63% | 54% | 53% | 57% | 60% | 67% | 64% | 41% | 50% | 55% | 76% | 43% | 55% | 80% | 55% | 39% | 55% | 59% | 65% | 55% | 83% | 39% | 68% | 75% | 51% | 51% | 63% | 58% | 62% | 65% | 49% |
| No | 36% | 33% | 38% | 41% | 36% | 37% | 29% | 32% | 53% | 44% | 36% | 19% | 53% | 37% | 16% | 41% | 55% | 41% | 38% | 28% | 38% | 14% | 56% | 15% | 20% | 45% | 44% | 33% | 37% | 33% | 31% | 45% |
| Undecided | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 65% | 7% | 18% | 11% | 39% | 38% | 22% | 29% | 50% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 31% | 17% | 43% | 52% | 5% | 32% | 64% | 32% | 67% | 21% | 36% | 20% | 23% |