Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17587
 
Referendum 52, which would authorize bonds and continue a sales tax on bottled water to pay for projects to increase energy efficiency in public schools, is narrowly opposed, but too-close-to-call with any certainty. Democrats support 3:1. Republicans oppose 3:1. Independents break slightly against. Results below.

Initiative 1053, which re-states the existing laws requiring two-thirds majority votes in the legislature or voter approval to increase taxes, passes comfortably, with broad support. Results below.

Initiative 1082, on industrial insurance, is too close to call. Republicans and Independents narrowly favor. Democrats decisively oppose. Results here.

Initiative 1098, which would create a state income tax, is positioned for defeat. Opposition is 2:1 in Eastern WA, 7:4 in Western WA and 3:2 in greater Seattle (which, as always, includes Pierce, Snohomish and King counties). Results below.

Initiative 1100, the 1st of 2 initiatives about liquor, has a chance to pass, but handicapping is complex: Men support, women oppose. Upper-income voters support, lower-income voters oppose. Those who almost never vote in congressional elections but who tell SurveyUSA they are uniquely motivated to vote in 2010, are overwhelmingly in favor of 1100. This may indicate that some voters have no interest in other issues on the ballot, but are singularly motivated by the opportunity to vote in favor of 1100 and 1105. Results here.

Initiative 1105, the 2nd of 2 initiatives on liquor, faces almost certain defeat. Men and women oppose, young and old oppose, Democrats, Republicans and Independents all oppose, whites and Asians oppose, Western WA, Eastern WA and greater Seattle oppose. Results here.

Initiative 1107, which would end sales taxes on candy, end temporary taxes on bottled water and carbonated drinks, and reduce tax rates for certain companies that make food products, is still positioned to pass. 1107 has broad support across age groups and in all regions. Results below.

 
This survey includes interviews conducted on cellphones and on home phones. Using both RDD landline and cellphone sample from Survey Sampling, SurveyUSA interviewed 675 state of Washington adults 10/24/10 through 10/27/10. Cellphones were hand-dialed. Of the adults, 583 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 504 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. In the table that follows, the following short-hand appears: "CPO" = Cell Phone Only, respondents who do not have a home phone and who make and receive phone calls with a cell phone. "Both" = respondents who have both a cell phone and a home phone but for this survey were contacted and interviewed on their cell phone by a live operator who dialed the call by hand. "Home Phone" = respondents who were interviewed on their home phone with the recorded-voice of a professional announcer. CPO respondents account for 18% of likely voters.
 
On initiative 1098, which would create a state income tax on individual filers earning more than $200,000 and on couples earning more than $400,000, as well as reduce state property taxes, reduce certain business and occupation taxes, and direct any increased revenues to education and health, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
504 Likely & Actual VotersAllInterview ConductedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%CPO, livBoth CelHome phoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes34%43%34%31%34%34%44%30%35%32%34%33%33%****30%34%34%12%58%31%15%38%63%11%61%20%33%28%33%36%26%22%41%38%31%31%24%35%20%44%26%43%34%37%33%33%29%36%
No56%45%57%59%59%53%43%58%59%57%53%58%56%****66%63%48%78%32%60%76%51%30%84%31%67%48%56%55%57%62%70%50%55%57%60%60%57%70%47%64%46%51%54%59%57%59%54%
Not Certain10%13%8%10%8%13%13%13%6%11%13%8%11%****4%3%18%11%10%9%9%11%7%5%9%13%19%16%12%7%11%8%9%7%12%8%15%8%9%9%10%11%15%9%7%10%12%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%18%24%58%47%53%15%31%31%24%46%54%88%2%3%7%52%48%30%31%36%35%40%19%30%36%18%16%9%38%51%49%10%39%50%50%33%26%41%34%59%47%48%24%40%36%28%22%50%
 
 
On Initiative 1107, which would end sales taxes on candy, end temporary taxes on bottled water & carbonated drinks, and reduce tax rates for certain companies that make food products, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
504 Likely & Actual VotersAllInterview ConductedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%CPO, livBoth CelHome phoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes56%51%55%58%61%51%52%57%57%54%56%56%55%****68%58%53%73%39%57%75%48%34%76%35%63%57%61%59%54%64%52%52%49%63%61%61%54%65%51%62%50%60%57%50%56%63%52%
No36%39%36%35%32%39%37%33%36%39%34%37%36%****29%39%32%20%52%34%18%42%60%18%58%25%29%27%31%40%28%39%40%44%28%31%31%38%27%42%32%39%32%34%42%36%29%38%
Not Certain9%10%9%8%6%10%11%10%7%7%10%7%9%****4%3%15%7%9%9%6%10%6%5%7%13%14%12%10%5%7%9%8%8%9%8%8%8%9%7%6%11%8%9%8%8%8%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%18%24%58%47%53%15%31%31%24%46%54%88%2%3%7%52%48%30%31%36%35%40%19%30%36%18%16%9%38%51%49%10%39%50%50%33%26%41%34%59%47%48%24%40%36%28%22%50%
 
 
On Initiative 1053, which re-states the existing laws requiring two-thirds majority votes in the legislature or voter approval to increase taxes, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
504 Likely & Actual VotersAllInterview ConductedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%CPO, livBoth CelHome phoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes55%49%51%59%58%52%46%55%60%54%52%57%55%****61%60%50%67%36%63%69%51%38%72%38%69%45%47%54%57%63%64%53%51%59%60%62%58%63%50%60%50%60%52%55%57%57%53%
No28%30%29%27%29%27%29%20%28%38%23%32%27%****28%32%23%15%47%23%16%30%47%17%44%15%26%27%25%30%22%24%31%34%22%24%22%29%17%35%24%32%23%30%30%27%27%29%
Not Certain17%21%20%14%13%21%25%25%12%9%25%11%18%****11%8%27%18%17%15%16%19%15%11%18%16%29%26%20%13%14%12%16%16%19%16%16%13%20%15%16%18%17%18%15%17%16%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%18%24%58%47%53%15%31%31%24%46%54%88%2%3%7%52%48%30%31%36%35%40%19%30%36%18%16%9%38%51%49%10%39%50%50%33%26%41%34%59%47%48%24%40%36%28%22%50%
 
 
On Referendum 52, which would authorize bonds and continue a sales tax on bottled water to pay for projects to increase energy efficiency in public schools, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
504 Likely & Actual VotersAllInterview ConductedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%CPO, livBoth CelHome phoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes38%45%41%35%32%44%48%38%37%34%41%36%39%****28%42%34%20%62%33%19%47%58%18%60%32%37%38%38%40%31%38%39%43%35%34%27%40%25%48%32%46%36%39%41%33%42%39%
No46%34%42%52%55%39%34%46%51%50%42%50%46%****61%51%42%66%25%49%66%39%25%70%26%52%41%42%48%48%59%54%46%44%50%54%58%50%60%39%56%39%48%46%46%53%41%45%
Not Certain15%21%17%13%13%18%18%16%12%16%17%14%15%****12%7%24%13%13%18%14%13%17%12%14%16%22%20%15%12%10%8%15%14%15%12%15%10%15%13%13%15%15%15%13%14%16%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%18%24%58%47%53%15%31%31%24%46%54%88%2%3%7%52%48%30%31%36%35%40%19%30%36%18%16%9%38%51%49%10%39%50%50%33%26%41%34%59%47%48%24%40%36%28%22%50%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.