Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23233 |
On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe: Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have lost support in the past 17 days, as Republicans beat up on Clinton and Democrats beat up on Trump, according to a SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. Compared to an identical poll conducted before the 1st Presidential debate, Clinton is down 3 points, Trump is down 3 points, and undecided voters have doubled. Today, as then, Clinton's lead is 26 percentage points. With Trump's support down to 30% at this hour, he falls below the Plimsoll line, and risks receiving a smaller percentage of the popular vote than any Republican candidate in the past 100 years. The low-water mark is currently held by George Herbert Walker Bush, who got 33% of the popular vote in California in a 3-way contest in 1992. Trump's support has steadily eroded among the youngest voters, down from 29% in mid-September to 25% in late-September to 20% today. Among independents, Trump has dropped from 28% in mid-September to 22% in late-September to 17% today. Among high-school educated voters, Trump has fallen from 48% to 28%. Among gun owners, Trump has fallen from 47% to 37%. Among affluent voters, Trump has fallen from 38% to 31%. Counter-intuitively, given the cloud that Trump now campaigns under, his support among Evangelicals has increased, from 46% to 49% to now 53%. Clinton among Evangelicals has fallen from 46% to 36%. Among strong Republicans, Trump is up from 80% to 89%. Clinton is down from 19% to 6%. Among very conservative voters, Clinton is down from 29% to 19%. Among very liberal voters, Trump is down from 6% to 2%, Clinton is up from 84% to 92%. The number of Trump supporters who say they are not voting "for Trump," but rather "against Clinton," has increased from 36% to 43% to now 46%. At the same time, the number of Trump voters who acknowledge having reservations about Trump has not budged: 33% then, 33% now. In an election today for United States Senator from CA, to replace retiring Democrat Barbara Boxer, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Democrat Loretta Sanchez, 45% to 24%. The 21-point Harris advantage is up materially poll-on-poll; it is her largest lead to date. The number of Latinos voting for Harris has dropped from 39% to 35% to now 30%. The number of independents voting for Harris has increased from 27% to 33% to now 35%. Ballot Measures: * Prop 56, which would increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack, is favored to pass 57% to 35%. Support has eroded. * Proposition 62, which would end the death penalty in CA and replace it with life in prison, trails by 18 points today and is headed for defeat. * Proposition 63, which outlaws large-capacity magazines and requires background checks on ammo purchases, leads by more than 2:1 and will pass. * Proposition 64, which would legalize, regulate and tax recreational marijuana, is backed 51% to 40%. Unchanged from mid-and late-September. Statewide Favorability Ratings: * President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 39% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 24%. * Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 12% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 56%. Worse than before. * Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 20% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 33%. Worse than before. * Governor Jerry Brown is viewed extremely favorably by 15% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 17%. Unchanged. * Dianne Feinstein is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%. * Boxer is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 21%. Better than before. Context and Methodology: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of California adults 10/13/16 through 10/15/16. All interviews were conducted after the 2nd Presidential debate on 10/09/16, and during a time of unflattering revelations about both Trump and Clinton. Of the adults, 820 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 725 were judged by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the Presidential election or as certain to do so before polls close on 11/08/16. Of registered voters, 3% tell SurveyUSA they almost always vote in a Presidential election but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. 6% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (58% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (42% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Polling ballot measures and citizen initiatives is an inexact science. In general, having nothing to do with California specifically and having nothing to do with 2016 uniquely, opposition to a ballot measure increases as Election Day approaches. Rarely does support for a ballot measure increase over time. As a result, the outcome of Prop 64 cannot be assured at this hour. |
1 | California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 6 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I have already voted. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Three: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Four: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Five: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Six: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. |
820 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Already Voted | 64 | 41 | 24 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 19 | 31 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 12 | 20 | 13 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 19 | 20 | 26 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 39 | 11 | 23 | 14 | 36 | 28 | 21 | 41 | 15 | 28 | 13 | 51 | 4 | 59 | 23 | 39 | 14 | 50 | 32 | 32 | 13 | 50 | 23 | 41 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 43 | 15 | 47 | 39 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 6 |
Always Do / Will This Year | 615 | 296 | 319 | 135 | 200 | 158 | 123 | 335 | 281 | 296 | 36 | 189 | 95 | 0 | 615 | 61 | 101 | 63 | 59 | 68 | 177 | 79 | 163 | 190 | 256 | 81 | 123 | 197 | 120 | 81 | 190 | 420 | 58 | 244 | 313 | 106 | 226 | 283 | 202 | 335 | 64 | 139 | 463 | 357 | 170 | 277 | 131 | 371 | 234 | 136 | 450 | 189 | 280 | 66 | 539 | 46 | 553 | 168 | 411 | 83 | 515 | 271 | 326 | 49 | 546 | 203 | 394 | 167 | 211 | 165 | 423 | 80 | 469 | 245 | 370 | 121 | 240 | 128 | 126 | 80 | 37 |
Always Do / Not This Year | 21 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Not Sure Yet | 62 | 29 | 33 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 55 | 7 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 14 | - | - | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 14 | 28 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 15 | 43 | 13 | 32 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 55 | 8 | 49 | 6 | 53 | 29 | 30 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 24 | 33 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
Rarely Do / Will This Year | 46 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 35 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 22 | 13 | 26 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 36 | 11 | 29 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 21 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 25 | 9 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 |
Don't / Won't This Year | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 820 | 409 | 411 | 235 | 260 | 187 | 138 | 495 | 325 | 385 | 50 | 253 | 132 | 64 | 661 | 80 | 128 | 82 | 92 | 97 | 223 | 98 | 207 | 270 | 321 | 108 | 157 | 281 | 149 | 100 | 242 | 568 | 95 | 324 | 401 | 168 | 292 | 360 | 294 | 416 | 85 | 181 | 617 | 437 | 201 | 312 | 156 | 462 | 341 | 190 | 585 | 237 | 376 | 99 | 703 | 58 | 734 | 222 | 548 | 115 | 677 | 365 | 427 | 74 | 714 | 282 | 509 | 218 | 269 | 229 | 551 | 117 | 618 | 366 | 454 | 162 | 315 | 169 | 175 | 95 | 57 |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 17% | 60% | 40% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 27% | 12% | 25% | 33% | 39% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 30% | 69% | 12% | 40% | 49% | 21% | 36% | 44% | 36% | 51% | 10% | 22% | 75% | 59% | 27% | 44% | 22% | 58% | 42% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 92% | 28% | 69% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 36% | 64% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 45% | 55% | 20% | 38% | 21% | 21% | 12% | 7% |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Donald Trump (R) | 221 | 121 | 100 | 37 | 63 | 70 | 50 | 101 | 120 | 134 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 18 | 203 | 66 | 90 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 155 | 55 | 10 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 80 | 141 | 21 | 94 | 105 | 33 | 87 | 101 | 63 | 124 | 29 | 44 | 174 | 28 | 149 | 35 | 111 | 156 | 62 | 90 | 120 | 48 | 80 | 25 | 192 | 15 | 200 | 75 | 127 | 34 | 178 | 91 | 121 | 17 | 193 | 47 | 164 | 75 | 83 | 56 | 152 | 32 | 161 | 75 | 146 | 51 | 80 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 8 |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 409 | 185 | 224 | 106 | 133 | 93 | 77 | 239 | 170 | 176 | 35 | 139 | 59 | 41 | 368 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 33 | 65 | 184 | 92 | 19 | 111 | 277 | 20 | 47 | 129 | 119 | 85 | 110 | 294 | 46 | 143 | 220 | 90 | 132 | 186 | 155 | 203 | 38 | 108 | 290 | 341 | 14 | 247 | 20 | 225 | 176 | 61 | 331 | 141 | 198 | 53 | 347 | 34 | 360 | 92 | 300 | 52 | 345 | 185 | 212 | 34 | 362 | 163 | 235 | 100 | 126 | 108 | 286 | 59 | 313 | 169 | 240 | 64 | 167 | 65 | 113 | 52 | 31 |
Gary Johnson (L) | 30 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 27 | 8 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Jill Stein (G) | 16 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Undecided | 51 | 28 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 48 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 15 | 28 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 26 | 13 | 34 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 41 | 14 | 33 | 11 | 20 | 16 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 35 | 15 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? |
221 Trump Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 6.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
For Trump | 117 | 67 | 50 | 20 | 28 | 39 | 29 | 48 | 69 | 72 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 101 | 43 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 75 | 12 | 53 | 51 | 21 | 46 | 50 | 39 | 56 | 17 | 28 | 89 | 20 | 78 | 17 | 60 | 83 | 33 | 54 | 60 | 15 | 46 | 17 | 98 | 11 | 102 | 39 | 67 | 16 | 97 | 41 | 72 | 9 | 103 | 26 | 86 | 36 | 45 | 24 | 88 | 16 | 88 | 35 | 82 | 23 | 46 | 35 | 13 | 8 | 3 |
Against Clinton | 101 | 53 | 48 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 59 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 99 | 22 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 73 | 24 | 4 | 22 | 36 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 38 | 64 | 9 | 40 | 53 | 12 | 41 | 49 | 22 | 67 | 12 | 16 | 82 | 7 | 69 | 18 | 50 | 73 | 28 | 35 | 59 | 32 | 33 | 8 | 92 | 3 | 96 | 35 | 58 | 17 | 79 | 49 | 47 | 8 | 88 | 20 | 77 | 38 | 36 | 32 | 63 | 16 | 71 | 39 | 63 | 26 | 33 | 26 | 16 | 18 | 4 |
Not Sure | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 221 | 121 | 100 | 37 | 63 | 70 | 50 | 101 | 120 | 134 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 18 | 203 | 66 | 90 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 155 | 55 | 10 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 80 | 141 | 21 | 94 | 105 | 33 | 87 | 101 | 63 | 124 | 29 | 44 | 174 | 28 | 149 | 35 | 111 | 156 | 62 | 90 | 120 | 48 | 80 | 25 | 192 | 15 | 200 | 75 | 127 | 34 | 178 | 91 | 121 | 17 | 193 | 47 | 164 | 75 | 83 | 56 | 152 | 32 | 161 | 75 | 146 | 51 | 80 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 8 |
Composition of Trump Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 17% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 46% | 54% | 61% | 3% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 92% | 30% | 41% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 70% | 25% | 4% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 64% | 10% | 43% | 48% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 28% | 56% | 13% | 20% | 79% | 13% | 71% | 17% | 54% | 72% | 28% | 41% | 55% | 37% | 63% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 92% | 35% | 60% | 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% | 8% | 91% | 22% | 78% | 46% | 51% | 27% | 73% | 16% | 79% | 34% | 66% | 23% | 36% | 28% | 13% | 12% | 3% |
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? |
221 Trump Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 6.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Enthusiastically | 143 | 79 | 64 | 22 | 34 | 57 | 31 | 56 | 88 | 81 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 15 | 129 | 51 | 56 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 107 | 30 | 6 | 58 | 38 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 91 | 17 | 68 | 59 | 24 | 62 | 58 | 38 | 79 | 21 | 31 | 111 | 17 | 91 | 22 | 71 | 105 | 37 | 61 | 75 | 28 | 52 | 17 | 124 | 13 | 127 | 44 | 87 | 21 | 117 | 54 | 83 | 8 | 129 | 31 | 107 | 45 | 56 | 37 | 98 | 23 | 103 | 36 | 107 | 29 | 47 | 49 | 19 | 16 | 3 |
With Reservations | 73 | 39 | 34 | 14 | 29 | 12 | 18 | 43 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 70 | 14 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 48 | 4 | 24 | 45 | 8 | 24 | 42 | 23 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 10 | 55 | 13 | 37 | 49 | 23 | 28 | 42 | 18 | 26 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 71 | 29 | 38 | 13 | 57 | 36 | 34 | 9 | 61 | 16 | 54 | 29 | 26 | 19 | 51 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 36 | 21 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Not Sure | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 221 | 121 | 100 | 37 | 63 | 70 | 50 | 101 | 120 | 134 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 18 | 203 | 66 | 90 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 155 | 55 | 10 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 80 | 141 | 21 | 94 | 105 | 33 | 87 | 101 | 63 | 124 | 29 | 44 | 174 | 28 | 149 | 35 | 111 | 156 | 62 | 90 | 120 | 48 | 80 | 25 | 192 | 15 | 200 | 75 | 127 | 34 | 178 | 91 | 121 | 17 | 193 | 47 | 164 | 75 | 83 | 56 | 152 | 32 | 161 | 75 | 146 | 51 | 80 | 61 | 29 | 27 | 8 |
Composition of Trump Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 17% | 29% | 32% | 23% | 46% | 54% | 61% | 3% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 92% | 30% | 41% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 70% | 25% | 4% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 64% | 10% | 43% | 48% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 28% | 56% | 13% | 20% | 79% | 13% | 71% | 17% | 54% | 72% | 28% | 41% | 55% | 37% | 63% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 92% | 35% | 60% | 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% | 8% | 91% | 22% | 78% | 46% | 51% | 27% | 73% | 16% | 79% | 34% | 66% | 23% | 36% | 28% | 13% | 12% | 3% |
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? |
409 Clinton Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
For Clinton | 256 | 108 | 148 | 46 | 89 | 61 | 60 | 135 | 121 | 109 | 26 | 81 | 40 | 29 | 227 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 124 | 80 | 9 | 41 | 204 | 16 | 29 | 72 | 75 | 58 | 69 | 185 | 22 | 90 | 144 | 44 | 83 | 128 | 97 | 125 | 24 | 60 | 190 | 227 | 6 | 185 | 11 | 142 | 108 | 41 | 204 | 94 | 114 | 26 | 224 | 24 | 221 | 58 | 186 | 34 | 214 | 113 | 134 | 18 | 228 | 103 | 145 | 65 | 74 | 68 | 177 | 29 | 206 | 92 | 164 | 36 | 113 | 35 | 72 | 37 | 22 |
Against Trump | 147 | 75 | 72 | 58 | 43 | 29 | 16 | 101 | 46 | 64 | 8 | 55 | 19 | 12 | 135 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 57 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 69 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 43 | 25 | 41 | 104 | 24 | 51 | 72 | 44 | 47 | 56 | 56 | 73 | 14 | 47 | 95 | 111 | 7 | 58 | 9 | 79 | 66 | 19 | 122 | 43 | 82 | 27 | 118 | 10 | 135 | 34 | 109 | 17 | 126 | 69 | 74 | 16 | 128 | 58 | 86 | 34 | 49 | 39 | 104 | 30 | 103 | 75 | 72 | 25 | 50 | 30 | 41 | 13 | 10 |
Not Sure | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Total | 409 | 185 | 224 | 106 | 133 | 93 | 77 | 239 | 170 | 176 | 35 | 139 | 59 | 41 | 368 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 33 | 65 | 184 | 92 | 19 | 111 | 277 | 20 | 47 | 129 | 119 | 85 | 110 | 294 | 46 | 143 | 220 | 90 | 132 | 186 | 155 | 203 | 38 | 108 | 290 | 341 | 14 | 247 | 20 | 225 | 176 | 61 | 331 | 141 | 198 | 53 | 347 | 34 | 360 | 92 | 300 | 52 | 345 | 185 | 212 | 34 | 362 | 163 | 235 | 100 | 126 | 108 | 286 | 59 | 313 | 169 | 240 | 64 | 167 | 65 | 113 | 52 | 31 |
Composition of Clinton Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 26% | 33% | 23% | 19% | 58% | 42% | 43% | 9% | 34% | 15% | 10% | 90% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 45% | 23% | 5% | 27% | 68% | 5% | 12% | 32% | 29% | 21% | 27% | 72% | 11% | 35% | 54% | 22% | 32% | 46% | 38% | 50% | 9% | 27% | 71% | 91% | 4% | 69% | 6% | 56% | 44% | 15% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 13% | 87% | 9% | 90% | 23% | 75% | 13% | 87% | 47% | 53% | 9% | 91% | 41% | 59% | 43% | 54% | 27% | 73% | 15% | 81% | 41% | 59% | 16% | 41% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 8% |
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? |
409 Clinton Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Enthusiastically | 246 | 104 | 142 | 40 | 78 | 71 | 57 | 118 | 128 | 103 | 25 | 84 | 34 | 23 | 224 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 110 | 77 | 9 | 50 | 187 | 17 | 34 | 67 | 68 | 57 | 72 | 172 | 26 | 83 | 137 | 48 | 77 | 122 | 88 | 123 | 25 | 58 | 183 | 215 | 5 | 176 | 7 | 141 | 99 | 38 | 197 | 90 | 111 | 27 | 212 | 23 | 215 | 54 | 182 | 29 | 208 | 113 | 124 | 17 | 220 | 97 | 140 | 62 | 72 | 63 | 171 | 31 | 196 | 78 | 169 | 32 | 106 | 39 | 68 | 36 | 23 |
With Reservations | 146 | 77 | 69 | 59 | 47 | 20 | 19 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 9 | 46 | 24 | 18 | 128 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 66 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 81 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 25 | 34 | 110 | 16 | 51 | 79 | 35 | 52 | 59 | 61 | 72 | 10 | 47 | 96 | 114 | 9 | 66 | 13 | 76 | 68 | 20 | 122 | 44 | 80 | 24 | 120 | 11 | 129 | 36 | 104 | 21 | 123 | 66 | 78 | 17 | 126 | 59 | 84 | 35 | 47 | 39 | 104 | 27 | 102 | 84 | 61 | 29 | 52 | 22 | 43 | 13 | 7 |
Not Sure | 17 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Total | 409 | 185 | 224 | 106 | 133 | 93 | 77 | 239 | 170 | 176 | 35 | 139 | 59 | 41 | 368 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 33 | 65 | 184 | 92 | 19 | 111 | 277 | 20 | 47 | 129 | 119 | 85 | 110 | 294 | 46 | 143 | 220 | 90 | 132 | 186 | 155 | 203 | 38 | 108 | 290 | 341 | 14 | 247 | 20 | 225 | 176 | 61 | 331 | 141 | 198 | 53 | 347 | 34 | 360 | 92 | 300 | 52 | 345 | 185 | 212 | 34 | 362 | 163 | 235 | 100 | 126 | 108 | 286 | 59 | 313 | 169 | 240 | 64 | 167 | 65 | 113 | 52 | 31 |
Composition of Clinton Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 26% | 33% | 23% | 19% | 58% | 42% | 43% | 9% | 34% | 15% | 10% | 90% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 45% | 23% | 5% | 27% | 68% | 5% | 12% | 32% | 29% | 21% | 27% | 72% | 11% | 35% | 54% | 22% | 32% | 46% | 38% | 50% | 9% | 27% | 71% | 91% | 4% | 69% | 6% | 56% | 44% | 15% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 13% | 87% | 9% | 90% | 23% | 75% | 13% | 87% | 47% | 53% | 9% | 91% | 41% | 59% | 43% | 54% | 27% | 73% | 15% | 81% | 41% | 59% | 16% | 41% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 8% |
Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? |
30 Johnson Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 18.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
For Johnson | 14 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Against Trump | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Against Clinton | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Not Sure | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 30 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 27 | 8 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Composition of Johnson Voters | 100% | 67% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 9% | 13% | 79% | 21% | 41% | 0% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 90% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 38% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 64% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 55% | 8% | 6% | 29% | 71% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 15% | 44% | 40% | 34% | 57% | 9% | 10% | 90% | 40% | 35% | 21% | 32% | 43% | 57% | 14% | 80% | 31% | 69% | 9% | 91% | 2% | 98% | 50% | 47% | 16% | 84% | 53% | 47% | 11% | 89% | 26% | 74% | 46% | 52% | 41% | 59% | 10% | 83% | 58% | 42% | 25% | 32% | 36% | 7% | 12% | 5% |
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? |
16 Stein Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 25.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
For Stein | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Against Clinton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Against Trump | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Not Sure | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 16 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Composition of Stein Voters | 100% | 37% | 63% | 48% | 26% | 21% | 5% | 74% | 26% | 51% | 2% | 36% | 11% | 2% | 98% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 37% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 98% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 30% | 31% | 21% | 43% | 56% | 11% | 51% | 38% | 30% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 53% | 7% | 13% | 75% | 62% | 2% | 24% | 4% | 53% | 47% | 1% | 95% | 35% | 65% | 12% | 88% | 11% | 85% | 17% | 83% | 3% | 97% | 21% | 79% | 24% | 76% | 49% | 51% | 10% | 71% | 51% | 49% | 22% | 70% | 59% | 41% | 23% | 44% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 7% |
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? |
21 Protest Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 22 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Republican | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Democrat | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Split | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Not Sure | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 21 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Composition of Protest Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 28% | 34% | 31% | 6% | 62% | 38% | 55% | 0% | 14% | 32% | 3% | 14% | 37% | 18% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 17% | 73% | 10% | 4% | 36% | 37% | 8% | 15% | 33% | 67% | 7% | 37% | 56% | 22% | 33% | 46% | 29% | 64% | 5% | 18% | 82% | 35% | 36% | 25% | 15% | 57% | 43% | 21% | 67% | 35% | 65% | 9% | 91% | 4% | 94% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 73% | 37% | 63% | 11% | 89% | 36% | 64% | 59% | 37% | 18% | 82% | 30% | 70% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 32% | 25% | 19% | 12% | 3% | ||
In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Kamala Harris (D) | 324 | 165 | 158 | 69 | 85 | 95 | 75 | 153 | 171 | 169 | 29 | 67 | 59 | 34 | 289 | 21 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 43 | 114 | 66 | 50 | 93 | 179 | 25 | 55 | 107 | 80 | 53 | 97 | 226 | 32 | 105 | 187 | 48 | 110 | 166 | 119 | 168 | 31 | 86 | 234 | 239 | 47 | 181 | 42 | 183 | 132 | 55 | 255 | 86 | 174 | 51 | 264 | 22 | 292 | 93 | 213 | 46 | 267 | 135 | 177 | 30 | 281 | 110 | 202 | 77 | 118 | 89 | 216 | 49 | 243 | 104 | 219 | 56 | 124 | 53 | 91 | 33 | 17 |
Loretta Sanchez (D) | 178 | 94 | 83 | 42 | 72 | 33 | 31 | 114 | 64 | 62 | 7 | 88 | 20 | 16 | 162 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 56 | 20 | 43 | 58 | 75 | 24 | 34 | 61 | 34 | 18 | 41 | 135 | 17 | 73 | 88 | 48 | 54 | 75 | 69 | 86 | 17 | 38 | 139 | 111 | 39 | 78 | 33 | 118 | 54 | 36 | 132 | 78 | 58 | 17 | 156 | 10 | 157 | 42 | 123 | 23 | 147 | 94 | 76 | 11 | 158 | 68 | 102 | 54 | 43 | 46 | 123 | 24 | 129 | 80 | 97 | 31 | 79 | 43 | 25 | 22 | 12 |
Undecided | 224 | 99 | 125 | 73 | 75 | 48 | 27 | 149 | 76 | 116 | 8 | 70 | 30 | 14 | 210 | 37 | 63 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 36 | 8 | 100 | 73 | 44 | 53 | 50 | 70 | 23 | 21 | 87 | 134 | 27 | 106 | 92 | 44 | 97 | 84 | 68 | 119 | 28 | 42 | 171 | 57 | 100 | 44 | 74 | 126 | 97 | 79 | 131 | 48 | 96 | 20 | 203 | 20 | 199 | 66 | 143 | 35 | 183 | 94 | 125 | 22 | 196 | 61 | 157 | 65 | 84 | 66 | 152 | 27 | 177 | 121 | 104 | 53 | 80 | 51 | 41 | 32 | 19 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Yes On 56 | 417 | 212 | 205 | 118 | 135 | 81 | 83 | 253 | 164 | 190 | 27 | 140 | 60 | 45 | 372 | 32 | 52 | 28 | 36 | 52 | 144 | 69 | 84 | 116 | 213 | 48 | 72 | 137 | 92 | 64 | 120 | 292 | 42 | 151 | 224 | 64 | 157 | 197 | 155 | 218 | 31 | 97 | 311 | 281 | 69 | 214 | 54 | 237 | 171 | 88 | 308 | 132 | 187 | 32 | 375 | 27 | 376 | 103 | 295 | 60 | 343 | 195 | 207 | 45 | 356 | 160 | 243 | 108 | 125 | 107 | 290 | 56 | 326 | 201 | 216 | 69 | 171 | 74 | 102 | 49 | 34 |
No On 56 | 256 | 127 | 129 | 44 | 80 | 85 | 48 | 123 | 133 | 140 | 16 | 68 | 33 | 17 | 239 | 40 | 59 | 38 | 28 | 25 | 45 | 19 | 99 | 92 | 64 | 51 | 63 | 84 | 35 | 19 | 87 | 169 | 29 | 109 | 118 | 57 | 90 | 109 | 78 | 139 | 34 | 56 | 198 | 100 | 110 | 76 | 90 | 169 | 86 | 73 | 174 | 70 | 112 | 52 | 202 | 20 | 231 | 88 | 150 | 38 | 214 | 113 | 139 | 14 | 237 | 62 | 189 | 74 | 108 | 81 | 167 | 40 | 187 | 74 | 183 | 56 | 92 | 63 | 45 | 33 | 10 |
Undecided | 50 | 19 | 31 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 48 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 26 | 8 | 35 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 39 | 11 | 33 | 6 | 39 | 16 | 30 | 5 | 40 | 17 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 32 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 |
Will Not Vote | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
On Proposition 62, will you vote YES, to replace the death penalty in California with life in prison? Or will you vote NO, to leave the death penalty in place? |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Yes On 62 | 257 | 131 | 126 | 68 | 78 | 60 | 51 | 146 | 111 | 130 | 18 | 80 | 29 | 37 | 220 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 82 | 54 | 39 | 80 | 136 | 24 | 32 | 83 | 66 | 49 | 76 | 179 | 26 | 85 | 146 | 55 | 80 | 123 | 105 | 125 | 22 | 65 | 185 | 185 | 34 | 149 | 27 | 144 | 111 | 48 | 202 | 83 | 123 | 36 | 218 | 26 | 226 | 61 | 189 | 37 | 214 | 107 | 144 | 33 | 217 | 98 | 153 | 71 | 77 | 77 | 171 | 38 | 195 | 121 | 136 | 50 | 99 | 42 | 67 | 25 | 13 |
No On 62 | 383 | 197 | 186 | 84 | 118 | 107 | 74 | 202 | 181 | 184 | 23 | 118 | 58 | 21 | 362 | 54 | 89 | 50 | 34 | 36 | 87 | 31 | 143 | 119 | 118 | 72 | 95 | 128 | 52 | 30 | 127 | 254 | 40 | 157 | 186 | 53 | 154 | 176 | 123 | 209 | 43 | 88 | 287 | 171 | 139 | 119 | 114 | 241 | 130 | 103 | 257 | 108 | 161 | 44 | 327 | 21 | 346 | 126 | 224 | 62 | 304 | 178 | 187 | 20 | 344 | 107 | 258 | 107 | 139 | 103 | 256 | 51 | 286 | 134 | 249 | 72 | 152 | 88 | 71 | 49 | 27 |
Undecided | 77 | 29 | 48 | 29 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 16 | 33 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 56 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 29 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 46 | 13 | 32 | 6 | 36 | 41 | 17 | 54 | 21 | 40 | 7 | 70 | 5 | 70 | 14 | 60 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 44 | 10 | 67 | 29 | 48 | 17 | 29 | 19 | 57 | 9 | 64 | 45 | 32 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 6 |
Will Not Vote | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Yes On 63 | 458 | 209 | 249 | 110 | 149 | 113 | 86 | 259 | 199 | 213 | 33 | 144 | 68 | 46 | 412 | 36 | 53 | 27 | 40 | 66 | 150 | 82 | 89 | 133 | 232 | 46 | 66 | 148 | 113 | 79 | 132 | 323 | 39 | 172 | 247 | 88 | 154 | 216 | 168 | 242 | 36 | 99 | 349 | 315 | 66 | 250 | 49 | 260 | 186 | 84 | 352 | 141 | 221 | 50 | 396 | 36 | 409 | 91 | 349 | 40 | 402 | 202 | 240 | 44 | 397 | 162 | 280 | 121 | 148 | 127 | 312 | 69 | 347 | 190 | 268 | 64 | 188 | 97 | 109 | 61 | 29 |
No On 63 | 196 | 125 | 71 | 46 | 54 | 57 | 38 | 100 | 95 | 111 | 8 | 48 | 28 | 11 | 184 | 37 | 54 | 37 | 22 | 9 | 29 | 6 | 91 | 68 | 35 | 49 | 58 | 61 | 16 | 8 | 70 | 125 | 26 | 77 | 93 | 29 | 80 | 87 | 58 | 103 | 32 | 48 | 146 | 60 | 103 | 32 | 89 | 135 | 59 | 63 | 125 | 49 | 82 | 33 | 161 | 11 | 178 | 96 | 81 | 52 | 137 | 88 | 102 | 15 | 174 | 48 | 141 | 58 | 79 | 57 | 127 | 25 | 142 | 68 | 128 | 65 | 61 | 38 | 32 | 16 | 6 |
Undecided | 70 | 25 | 46 | 26 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 64 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 32 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 11 | 34 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 30 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 47 | 32 | 17 | 21 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 23 | 40 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 66 | 6 | 60 | 15 | 49 | 12 | 57 | 33 | 36 | 4 | 63 | 29 | 39 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 51 | 6 | 59 | 47 | 24 | 11 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
Will Not Vote | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
725 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Yes On 64 | 369 | 186 | 184 | 106 | 115 | 87 | 62 | 221 | 148 | 176 | 24 | 114 | 55 | 37 | 332 | 25 | 49 | 23 | 43 | 53 | 117 | 57 | 74 | 118 | 174 | 27 | 62 | 121 | 90 | 63 | 101 | 266 | 35 | 143 | 192 | 67 | 134 | 169 | 115 | 205 | 41 | 80 | 281 | 251 | 55 | 182 | 43 | 199 | 162 | 60 | 290 | 107 | 193 | 54 | 306 | 24 | 332 | 109 | 248 | 51 | 308 | 154 | 205 | 34 | 325 | 119 | 240 | 103 | 126 | 110 | 245 | 49 | 287 | 163 | 207 | 66 | 140 | 79 | 84 | 44 | 22 |
No On 64 | 292 | 150 | 142 | 48 | 92 | 87 | 66 | 139 | 153 | 150 | 19 | 85 | 38 | 20 | 272 | 47 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 27 | 60 | 27 | 112 | 92 | 86 | 69 | 68 | 94 | 36 | 22 | 104 | 186 | 29 | 116 | 147 | 53 | 105 | 135 | 113 | 146 | 28 | 66 | 220 | 120 | 122 | 101 | 100 | 195 | 91 | 95 | 183 | 84 | 107 | 23 | 263 | 23 | 260 | 83 | 181 | 41 | 238 | 133 | 145 | 20 | 256 | 82 | 195 | 86 | 102 | 71 | 200 | 42 | 212 | 97 | 195 | 57 | 121 | 61 | 53 | 35 | 16 |
Undecided | 58 | 21 | 37 | 26 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 10 | 22 | 26 | 15 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 42 | 21 | 26 | 10 | 48 | 6 | 49 | 10 | 44 | 12 | 46 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 25 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 41 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 9 |
Will Not Vote | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 725 | 359 | 366 | 184 | 232 | 176 | 134 | 416 | 310 | 346 | 44 | 225 | 109 | 64 | 661 | 74 | 119 | 68 | 71 | 84 | 206 | 94 | 194 | 224 | 299 | 102 | 139 | 239 | 137 | 92 | 224 | 496 | 76 | 283 | 366 | 139 | 260 | 326 | 257 | 373 | 76 | 165 | 543 | 407 | 186 | 303 | 149 | 427 | 284 | 170 | 518 | 213 | 328 | 87 | 623 | 53 | 648 | 201 | 480 | 104 | 598 | 323 | 378 | 64 | 635 | 239 | 461 | 197 | 245 | 201 | 491 | 100 | 549 | 305 | 420 | 139 | 283 | 147 | 157 | 87 | 47 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 51% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 7% |
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable? |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 290 | 137 | 153 | 79 | 94 | 63 | 54 | 173 | 117 | 118 | 30 | 110 | 33 | 37 | 250 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 127 | 84 | 15 | 63 | 211 | 23 | 24 | 90 | 80 | 69 | 78 | 208 | 34 | 99 | 157 | 60 | 96 | 134 | 125 | 131 | 28 | 72 | 206 | 256 | 2 | 182 | 12 | 166 | 117 | 45 | 229 | 100 | 137 | 36 | 246 | 22 | 258 | 57 | 222 | 44 | 236 | 139 | 141 | 29 | 250 | 118 | 162 | 73 | 85 | 75 | 203 | 43 | 223 | 125 | 166 | 38 | 135 | 47 | 69 | 37 | 26 |
Favorable | 187 | 94 | 94 | 65 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 126 | 62 | 82 | 6 | 55 | 43 | 10 | 173 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 28 | 41 | 68 | 8 | 23 | 82 | 76 | 2 | 42 | 71 | 45 | 21 | 51 | 136 | 17 | 82 | 89 | 40 | 70 | 77 | 66 | 99 | 14 | 48 | 137 | 130 | 11 | 84 | 11 | 84 | 99 | 33 | 147 | 56 | 94 | 23 | 160 | 17 | 164 | 53 | 126 | 19 | 163 | 74 | 108 | 16 | 166 | 67 | 115 | 51 | 57 | 62 | 119 | 25 | 140 | 98 | 89 | 40 | 60 | 33 | 55 | 15 | 12 |
Unfavorable | 76 | 38 | 38 | 18 | 28 | 17 | 13 | 47 | 30 | 49 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 25 | 51 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 16 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 44 | 10 | 12 | 62 | 15 | 40 | 19 | 25 | 49 | 27 | 19 | 52 | 21 | 36 | 12 | 65 | 0 | 75 | 37 | 37 | 16 | 59 | 36 | 40 | 7 | 68 | 25 | 51 | 19 | 29 | 14 | 61 | 14 | 56 | 38 | 39 | 16 | 30 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 3 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 183 | 99 | 84 | 25 | 50 | 65 | 43 | 75 | 108 | 103 | 6 | 44 | 30 | 12 | 165 | 61 | 61 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 122 | 54 | 5 | 71 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 73 | 109 | 19 | 72 | 92 | 24 | 73 | 85 | 45 | 110 | 23 | 36 | 147 | 10 | 136 | 20 | 102 | 136 | 45 | 74 | 99 | 41 | 66 | 18 | 162 | 14 | 163 | 64 | 100 | 29 | 146 | 77 | 98 | 13 | 161 | 33 | 142 | 61 | 75 | 52 | 117 | 23 | 135 | 49 | 134 | 46 | 61 | 55 | 22 | 28 | 6 |
Not Sure | 9 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ... |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 93 | 57 | 36 | 17 | 24 | 31 | 21 | 41 | 52 | 53 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 82 | 41 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 70 | 18 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 60 | 14 | 42 | 37 | 17 | 40 | 36 | 31 | 46 | 13 | 27 | 64 | 18 | 56 | 14 | 47 | 62 | 29 | 44 | 46 | 13 | 35 | 14 | 77 | 12 | 76 | 32 | 53 | 15 | 75 | 32 | 59 | 6 | 84 | 23 | 67 | 28 | 34 | 22 | 66 | 12 | 69 | 27 | 66 | 18 | 35 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3 |
Favorable | 123 | 67 | 56 | 27 | 36 | 36 | 24 | 63 | 60 | 73 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 106 | 23 | 57 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 79 | 31 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 78 | 7 | 51 | 66 | 17 | 46 | 60 | 39 | 69 | 13 | 15 | 108 | 17 | 76 | 22 | 55 | 90 | 32 | 43 | 74 | 32 | 48 | 14 | 108 | 4 | 117 | 46 | 69 | 23 | 96 | 64 | 54 | 14 | 104 | 24 | 94 | 46 | 45 | 40 | 78 | 20 | 92 | 48 | 75 | 27 | 43 | 33 | 20 | 22 | 6 |
Unfavorable | 83 | 42 | 41 | 26 | 30 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 26 | 38 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 73 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 23 | 58 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 18 | 32 | 32 | 23 | 47 | 9 | 22 | 57 | 38 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 48 | 35 | 27 | 51 | 27 | 28 | 10 | 73 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 48 | 14 | 66 | 39 | 42 | 11 | 70 | 27 | 54 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 52 | 18 | 55 | 45 | 38 | 21 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 5 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 419 | 183 | 236 | 108 | 142 | 99 | 71 | 250 | 169 | 189 | 32 | 140 | 59 | 28 | 375 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 47 | 74 | 161 | 86 | 24 | 143 | 247 | 20 | 53 | 132 | 119 | 87 | 123 | 292 | 38 | 152 | 229 | 84 | 139 | 196 | 151 | 221 | 37 | 98 | 310 | 329 | 26 | 240 | 23 | 224 | 187 | 58 | 342 | 137 | 215 | 44 | 366 | 32 | 378 | 101 | 304 | 46 | 362 | 184 | 224 | 29 | 379 | 156 | 252 | 110 | 132 | 108 | 296 | 51 | 332 | 181 | 238 | 68 | 168 | 71 | 112 | 55 | 35 |
Not Sure | 28 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton... |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 150 | 68 | 83 | 20 | 53 | 43 | 34 | 73 | 77 | 52 | 14 | 65 | 19 | 23 | 126 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 52 | 4 | 23 | 123 | 19 | 15 | 42 | 30 | 40 | 46 | 102 | 21 | 54 | 76 | 36 | 45 | 69 | 61 | 65 | 16 | 37 | 109 | 136 | 2 | 116 | 8 | 90 | 58 | 33 | 112 | 63 | 52 | 16 | 132 | 9 | 136 | 27 | 119 | 22 | 126 | 78 | 68 | 6 | 140 | 70 | 77 | 40 | 36 | 29 | 117 | 21 | 119 | 47 | 103 | 21 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 21 | 17 |
Favorable | 221 | 101 | 119 | 71 | 68 | 42 | 40 | 139 | 82 | 102 | 19 | 62 | 38 | 17 | 201 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 97 | 37 | 16 | 68 | 134 | 6 | 30 | 70 | 77 | 35 | 53 | 167 | 20 | 74 | 127 | 45 | 76 | 100 | 88 | 110 | 20 | 59 | 156 | 180 | 6 | 112 | 8 | 123 | 92 | 26 | 184 | 68 | 121 | 30 | 185 | 22 | 192 | 57 | 154 | 31 | 182 | 95 | 119 | 28 | 185 | 85 | 129 | 49 | 74 | 69 | 141 | 36 | 165 | 100 | 120 | 32 | 92 | 37 | 60 | 25 | 10 |
Unfavorable | 103 | 60 | 43 | 44 | 35 | 14 | 10 | 79 | 24 | 54 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 89 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 48 | 17 | 12 | 30 | 72 | 8 | 47 | 47 | 19 | 42 | 41 | 30 | 63 | 9 | 23 | 77 | 52 | 22 | 40 | 15 | 47 | 56 | 18 | 80 | 30 | 54 | 16 | 86 | 5 | 96 | 31 | 69 | 11 | 91 | 45 | 57 | 14 | 88 | 31 | 71 | 31 | 36 | 29 | 73 | 14 | 82 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 37 | 19 | 22 | 11 | 5 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 245 | 127 | 119 | 44 | 75 | 77 | 50 | 119 | 127 | 141 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 13 | 220 | 63 | 86 | 51 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 149 | 82 | 11 | 74 | 79 | 75 | 11 | 5 | 94 | 150 | 25 | 105 | 115 | 37 | 97 | 112 | 70 | 142 | 29 | 46 | 195 | 33 | 161 | 31 | 118 | 171 | 71 | 93 | 138 | 55 | 94 | 24 | 218 | 15 | 224 | 92 | 129 | 44 | 192 | 105 | 131 | 17 | 217 | 48 | 187 | 80 | 99 | 71 | 158 | 35 | 178 | 87 | 159 | 61 | 85 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 13 |
Not Sure | 27 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Is your opinion of Jerry Brown... |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 110 | 56 | 54 | 13 | 35 | 29 | 32 | 49 | 61 | 53 | 9 | 32 | 16 | 12 | 98 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 30 | 67 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 29 | 21 | 40 | 69 | 11 | 38 | 61 | 27 | 29 | 53 | 30 | 56 | 17 | 27 | 81 | 99 | 4 | 84 | 5 | 71 | 37 | 18 | 86 | 35 | 55 | 7 | 100 | 11 | 96 | 29 | 75 | 12 | 93 | 44 | 62 | 3 | 103 | 34 | 72 | 40 | 29 | 26 | 80 | 14 | 85 | 29 | 81 | 24 | 32 | 25 | 29 | 7 | 5 |
Favorable | 281 | 138 | 142 | 70 | 94 | 68 | 49 | 163 | 117 | 123 | 20 | 93 | 44 | 23 | 251 | 11 | 28 | 14 | 28 | 40 | 109 | 48 | 39 | 82 | 157 | 14 | 53 | 89 | 74 | 46 | 71 | 208 | 26 | 103 | 151 | 52 | 102 | 127 | 114 | 143 | 20 | 64 | 212 | 212 | 34 | 168 | 25 | 159 | 115 | 45 | 224 | 96 | 132 | 38 | 236 | 18 | 254 | 77 | 195 | 35 | 238 | 126 | 147 | 26 | 247 | 105 | 168 | 59 | 98 | 72 | 197 | 36 | 223 | 127 | 154 | 42 | 126 | 38 | 75 | 36 | 17 |
Unfavorable | 133 | 71 | 62 | 48 | 39 | 27 | 19 | 87 | 46 | 70 | 6 | 41 | 16 | 13 | 113 | 18 | 30 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 47 | 47 | 37 | 18 | 40 | 53 | 14 | 6 | 37 | 94 | 17 | 55 | 61 | 22 | 49 | 62 | 43 | 76 | 13 | 32 | 95 | 47 | 52 | 23 | 43 | 75 | 57 | 37 | 89 | 39 | 56 | 19 | 113 | 7 | 123 | 45 | 81 | 25 | 106 | 70 | 61 | 19 | 112 | 50 | 80 | 39 | 41 | 45 | 85 | 24 | 93 | 68 | 65 | 35 | 43 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 14 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 127 | 73 | 54 | 23 | 41 | 35 | 29 | 63 | 63 | 73 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 113 | 39 | 40 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 79 | 39 | 8 | 57 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 80 | 14 | 48 | 65 | 23 | 54 | 50 | 37 | 69 | 17 | 29 | 96 | 20 | 88 | 13 | 69 | 85 | 40 | 57 | 63 | 20 | 47 | 17 | 108 | 11 | 112 | 44 | 69 | 23 | 97 | 45 | 75 | 10 | 109 | 23 | 97 | 38 | 55 | 30 | 89 | 14 | 96 | 43 | 83 | 33 | 45 | 35 | 14 | 13 | 6 |
Not Sure | 96 | 31 | 65 | 36 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 67 | 29 | 40 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 8 | 86 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 32 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 59 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 20 | 34 | 42 | 38 | 42 | 10 | 16 | 76 | 35 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 49 | 44 | 16 | 70 | 28 | 48 | 8 | 84 | 7 | 83 | 16 | 70 | 14 | 79 | 46 | 47 | 9 | 83 | 34 | 58 | 28 | 27 | 32 | 56 | 18 | 66 | 49 | 47 | 11 | 43 | 26 | 16 | 20 | 5 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Is your opinion of Dianne Feinstein ... |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 131 | 60 | 70 | 11 | 36 | 42 | 41 | 47 | 83 | 61 | 9 | 42 | 18 | 13 | 117 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 52 | 37 | 9 | 32 | 89 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 34 | 26 | 49 | 81 | 14 | 49 | 67 | 29 | 40 | 61 | 40 | 67 | 19 | 35 | 96 | 118 | 5 | 102 | 4 | 77 | 46 | 20 | 98 | 45 | 57 | 11 | 111 | 9 | 112 | 37 | 84 | 13 | 108 | 55 | 66 | 6 | 116 | 42 | 80 | 45 | 34 | 30 | 91 | 15 | 103 | 30 | 100 | 25 | 46 | 24 | 37 | 16 | 6 |
Favorable | 240 | 114 | 126 | 60 | 83 | 53 | 43 | 143 | 97 | 110 | 18 | 69 | 43 | 23 | 212 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 24 | 33 | 89 | 44 | 32 | 72 | 132 | 14 | 40 | 74 | 68 | 42 | 58 | 180 | 17 | 89 | 134 | 43 | 77 | 120 | 83 | 136 | 17 | 53 | 180 | 177 | 26 | 147 | 22 | 131 | 106 | 43 | 187 | 74 | 119 | 25 | 212 | 21 | 213 | 56 | 177 | 30 | 206 | 102 | 134 | 14 | 222 | 86 | 150 | 61 | 83 | 63 | 170 | 38 | 182 | 99 | 141 | 34 | 107 | 35 | 64 | 28 | 13 |
Unfavorable | 141 | 82 | 60 | 43 | 49 | 29 | 21 | 92 | 50 | 73 | 6 | 44 | 17 | 11 | 120 | 18 | 30 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 34 | 7 | 48 | 52 | 41 | 21 | 42 | 55 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 92 | 18 | 53 | 71 | 29 | 59 | 53 | 63 | 66 | 11 | 38 | 98 | 57 | 54 | 32 | 43 | 85 | 56 | 44 | 92 | 42 | 55 | 24 | 117 | 4 | 133 | 45 | 85 | 32 | 104 | 72 | 64 | 18 | 117 | 53 | 83 | 36 | 45 | 43 | 89 | 22 | 97 | 79 | 62 | 30 | 53 | 27 | 31 | 13 | 16 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 137 | 85 | 52 | 29 | 41 | 41 | 25 | 70 | 66 | 76 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 10 | 121 | 46 | 41 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 88 | 41 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 90 | 17 | 54 | 66 | 22 | 51 | 63 | 40 | 72 | 21 | 29 | 107 | 20 | 94 | 9 | 76 | 93 | 41 | 54 | 75 | 26 | 54 | 15 | 119 | 11 | 122 | 56 | 66 | 24 | 107 | 52 | 79 | 14 | 116 | 23 | 107 | 44 | 60 | 34 | 96 | 15 | 104 | 46 | 91 | 42 | 46 | 37 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Not Sure | 98 | 29 | 68 | 46 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 76 | 22 | 37 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 6 | 91 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 28 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 31 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 19 | 12 | 31 | 67 | 12 | 46 | 40 | 21 | 39 | 38 | 36 | 46 | 9 | 14 | 79 | 42 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 53 | 45 | 13 | 79 | 32 | 53 | 14 | 84 | 8 | 87 | 16 | 79 | 10 | 88 | 50 | 48 | 14 | 82 | 43 | 55 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 62 | 15 | 77 | 61 | 36 | 13 | 37 | 28 | 19 | 23 | 7 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Is your opinion of Barbara Boxer ... |
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Favorable | 125 | 56 | 69 | 15 | 36 | 39 | 35 | 51 | 74 | 60 | 8 | 44 | 13 | 9 | 115 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 42 | 12 | 22 | 91 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 31 | 35 | 48 | 75 | 15 | 51 | 60 | 26 | 41 | 58 | 38 | 65 | 19 | 39 | 86 | 117 | 3 | 103 | 3 | 84 | 39 | 21 | 100 | 42 | 59 | 12 | 110 | 7 | 115 | 28 | 93 | 19 | 102 | 54 | 67 | 9 | 112 | 45 | 75 | 39 | 34 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 94 | 33 | 92 | 29 | 46 | 23 | 27 | 15 | 5 |
Favorable | 240 | 120 | 120 | 63 | 87 | 48 | 42 | 150 | 90 | 94 | 19 | 78 | 49 | 27 | 205 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 22 | 37 | 98 | 43 | 24 | 71 | 141 | 11 | 44 | 73 | 72 | 36 | 56 | 182 | 17 | 84 | 139 | 44 | 87 | 109 | 100 | 119 | 16 | 58 | 176 | 181 | 18 | 155 | 9 | 119 | 112 | 40 | 182 | 80 | 111 | 29 | 202 | 19 | 208 | 64 | 164 | 40 | 190 | 110 | 120 | 18 | 212 | 92 | 138 | 63 | 70 | 78 | 149 | 38 | 174 | 110 | 130 | 30 | 103 | 41 | 66 | 28 | 21 |
Unfavorable | 117 | 60 | 56 | 34 | 36 | 31 | 16 | 69 | 47 | 68 | 6 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 99 | 18 | 25 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 42 | 46 | 28 | 16 | 31 | 53 | 12 | 4 | 32 | 84 | 12 | 41 | 65 | 22 | 35 | 60 | 43 | 62 | 10 | 24 | 90 | 48 | 45 | 24 | 37 | 66 | 49 | 28 | 84 | 37 | 50 | 18 | 97 | 5 | 109 | 40 | 70 | 15 | 97 | 54 | 59 | 10 | 102 | 32 | 80 | 31 | 46 | 32 | 81 | 13 | 90 | 59 | 57 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 30 | 9 | 10 |
Extremely Unfavorable | 154 | 98 | 56 | 26 | 45 | 45 | 37 | 72 | 82 | 90 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 140 | 46 | 47 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 94 | 52 | 8 | 64 | 42 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 95 | 21 | 57 | 76 | 26 | 61 | 67 | 45 | 84 | 21 | 30 | 123 | 20 | 111 | 9 | 97 | 111 | 41 | 63 | 83 | 27 | 62 | 17 | 135 | 13 | 138 | 59 | 76 | 25 | 123 | 63 | 85 | 12 | 135 | 35 | 113 | 45 | 64 | 37 | 107 | 13 | 121 | 46 | 108 | 44 | 58 | 37 | 15 | 12 | 7 |
Not Sure | 111 | 35 | 75 | 51 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 87 | 24 | 44 | 6 | 43 | 18 | 8 | 102 | 4 | 22 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 31 | 2 | 25 | 48 | 34 | 5 | 17 | 47 | 21 | 13 | 37 | 73 | 14 | 58 | 39 | 25 | 44 | 41 | 36 | 56 | 11 | 18 | 85 | 48 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 59 | 52 | 22 | 83 | 33 | 56 | 12 | 98 | 10 | 97 | 20 | 87 | 10 | 100 | 50 | 61 | 19 | 91 | 42 | 69 | 26 | 36 | 35 | 74 | 20 | 84 | 68 | 43 | 17 | 45 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 5 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 337 | 174 | 163 | 77 | 92 | 99 | 69 | 169 | 168 | 148 | 25 | 117 | 46 | 38 | 292 | 55 | 69 | 36 | 21 | 33 | 77 | 45 | 124 | 90 | 121 | 75 | 67 | 109 | 42 | 39 | 116 | 220 | 41 | 137 | 159 | 68 | 120 | 150 | 118 | 174 | 38 | 78 | 255 | 165 | 112 | 124 | 97 | 211 | 122 | 102 | 217 | 97 | 132 | 47 | 284 | 26 | 302 | 101 | 215 | 59 | 266 | 146 | 179 | 30 | 294 | 115 | 210 | 91 | 106 | 85 | 234 | 49 | 256 | 120 | 217 | 60 | 135 | 84 | 59 | 42 | 24 |
Important | 315 | 147 | 168 | 86 | 105 | 65 | 59 | 191 | 124 | 160 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 17 | 288 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 41 | 47 | 99 | 40 | 53 | 118 | 139 | 20 | 62 | 106 | 77 | 42 | 88 | 223 | 31 | 117 | 167 | 54 | 119 | 142 | 105 | 169 | 32 | 65 | 240 | 192 | 62 | 145 | 40 | 174 | 133 | 56 | 242 | 94 | 157 | 36 | 271 | 22 | 282 | 89 | 209 | 37 | 268 | 140 | 165 | 25 | 279 | 107 | 198 | 81 | 109 | 96 | 205 | 40 | 244 | 149 | 166 | 62 | 123 | 52 | 78 | 39 | 19 |
Unimportant | 61 | 33 | 28 | 17 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 14 | 35 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 25 | 32 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 40 | 11 | 31 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 51 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 58 | 3 | 56 | 16 | 44 | 9 | 52 | 28 | 33 | 7 | 52 | 15 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 11 | 50 | 12 | 42 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 3 |
Extremely Unimportant | 18 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Not Sure | 15 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Next, terrorism. In deciding who you support for President, if terrorism is ... |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 478 | 233 | 245 | 95 | 145 | 142 | 95 | 241 | 237 | 224 | 31 | 151 | 72 | 39 | 427 | 64 | 92 | 56 | 41 | 46 | 119 | 55 | 156 | 143 | 174 | 87 | 119 | 162 | 59 | 43 | 167 | 307 | 55 | 193 | 229 | 88 | 171 | 219 | 163 | 249 | 52 | 107 | 362 | 241 | 157 | 174 | 123 | 304 | 161 | 139 | 306 | 145 | 182 | 63 | 402 | 33 | 428 | 148 | 295 | 77 | 382 | 226 | 233 | 32 | 425 | 142 | 316 | 138 | 163 | 134 | 316 | 69 | 361 | 174 | 303 | 89 | 196 | 105 | 87 | 61 | 34 |
Important | 209 | 102 | 107 | 69 | 70 | 33 | 36 | 139 | 69 | 112 | 11 | 55 | 31 | 17 | 184 | 9 | 25 | 15 | 25 | 35 | 66 | 31 | 33 | 76 | 97 | 11 | 20 | 71 | 64 | 39 | 44 | 163 | 17 | 69 | 123 | 42 | 72 | 95 | 73 | 112 | 21 | 44 | 159 | 138 | 27 | 107 | 22 | 108 | 98 | 25 | 178 | 62 | 118 | 19 | 187 | 14 | 188 | 43 | 157 | 19 | 185 | 80 | 124 | 25 | 179 | 82 | 122 | 49 | 70 | 52 | 152 | 27 | 160 | 104 | 104 | 39 | 79 | 35 | 56 | 24 | 11 |
Unimportant | 34 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 5 | 29 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 25 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
Extremely Unimportant | 15 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
Not Sure | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Next, Supreme Court appointments. In deciding who you support for President, if Supreme Court appointments are... |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 418 | 206 | 212 | 78 | 111 | 122 | 107 | 189 | 229 | 232 | 30 | 95 | 61 | 37 | 372 | 59 | 70 | 40 | 28 | 50 | 90 | 78 | 129 | 118 | 169 | 85 | 76 | 103 | 80 | 69 | 134 | 281 | 39 | 148 | 230 | 74 | 143 | 202 | 140 | 214 | 53 | 97 | 318 | 239 | 128 | 187 | 101 | 252 | 154 | 108 | 285 | 98 | 199 | 47 | 358 | 33 | 370 | 122 | 262 | 52 | 347 | 150 | 248 | 29 | 367 | 115 | 282 | 116 | 153 | 97 | 294 | 56 | 313 | 111 | 307 | 85 | 161 | 82 | 89 | 45 | 22 |
Important | 236 | 117 | 120 | 68 | 99 | 45 | 24 | 168 | 69 | 93 | 10 | 90 | 43 | 17 | 212 | 12 | 31 | 27 | 35 | 27 | 86 | 15 | 43 | 88 | 100 | 14 | 52 | 100 | 43 | 19 | 70 | 165 | 23 | 98 | 116 | 47 | 86 | 104 | 85 | 130 | 17 | 53 | 174 | 130 | 49 | 94 | 36 | 135 | 100 | 48 | 178 | 84 | 102 | 25 | 210 | 14 | 216 | 67 | 161 | 37 | 196 | 124 | 110 | 23 | 210 | 92 | 142 | 62 | 75 | 61 | 169 | 29 | 186 | 147 | 90 | 36 | 101 | 45 | 55 | 27 | 19 |
Unimportant | 55 | 34 | 21 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 11 | 21 | 23 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 13 | 41 | 4 | 49 | 14 | 39 | 16 | 38 | 36 | 18 | 11 | 42 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 30 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 |
Extremely Unimportant | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Not Sure | 27 | 6 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
The environment. If the environment is... |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 342 | 153 | 188 | 100 | 96 | 84 | 62 | 196 | 146 | 161 | 22 | 111 | 48 | 32 | 300 | 18 | 32 | 18 | 37 | 59 | 104 | 68 | 50 | 114 | 172 | 28 | 53 | 105 | 73 | 75 | 108 | 229 | 34 | 142 | 166 | 78 | 120 | 144 | 131 | 165 | 38 | 81 | 249 | 245 | 31 | 184 | 23 | 184 | 149 | 62 | 260 | 98 | 172 | 42 | 290 | 29 | 300 | 94 | 230 | 48 | 281 | 141 | 187 | 26 | 303 | 119 | 209 | 87 | 112 | 98 | 227 | 53 | 258 | 140 | 202 | 57 | 148 | 58 | 78 | 34 | 29 |
Important | 297 | 145 | 152 | 63 | 108 | 73 | 53 | 171 | 126 | 138 | 17 | 92 | 50 | 25 | 263 | 33 | 65 | 32 | 30 | 25 | 86 | 24 | 98 | 87 | 110 | 43 | 68 | 108 | 58 | 15 | 93 | 203 | 27 | 107 | 163 | 49 | 108 | 140 | 89 | 173 | 27 | 64 | 228 | 143 | 102 | 111 | 76 | 189 | 103 | 73 | 210 | 97 | 121 | 26 | 265 | 17 | 269 | 80 | 200 | 40 | 249 | 143 | 145 | 25 | 262 | 92 | 196 | 87 | 102 | 71 | 216 | 38 | 226 | 130 | 166 | 58 | 101 | 72 | 66 | 49 | 16 |
Unimportant | 72 | 49 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 30 | 40 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 65 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 34 | 26 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 13 | 26 | 34 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 29 | 36 | 7 | 18 | 54 | 20 | 39 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 19 | 30 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 67 | 22 | 41 | 17 | 53 | 37 | 32 | 13 | 55 | 29 | 41 | 17 | 22 | 24 | 42 | 12 | 51 | 33 | 39 | 20 | 30 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
Extremely Unimportant | 26 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Not Sure | 9 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Treatment of racial minorities. If the treatment of racial minorities is... ? |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 337 | 142 | 195 | 100 | 103 | 76 | 58 | 203 | 134 | 148 | 35 | 101 | 53 | 38 | 294 | 17 | 27 | 17 | 29 | 52 | 120 | 73 | 43 | 98 | 193 | 29 | 39 | 99 | 85 | 75 | 100 | 234 | 39 | 134 | 164 | 76 | 101 | 160 | 134 | 163 | 31 | 86 | 241 | 247 | 27 | 181 | 23 | 187 | 141 | 60 | 257 | 99 | 169 | 50 | 278 | 29 | 298 | 84 | 238 | 44 | 281 | 145 | 180 | 31 | 294 | 122 | 203 | 82 | 110 | 87 | 233 | 56 | 249 | 149 | 188 | 59 | 139 | 64 | 75 | 41 | 24 |
Important | 293 | 157 | 136 | 63 | 99 | 76 | 56 | 162 | 131 | 149 | 6 | 96 | 43 | 16 | 266 | 36 | 65 | 28 | 35 | 28 | 75 | 21 | 102 | 91 | 96 | 48 | 73 | 105 | 45 | 18 | 97 | 195 | 31 | 113 | 149 | 52 | 123 | 117 | 87 | 165 | 33 | 62 | 223 | 139 | 101 | 106 | 77 | 183 | 106 | 82 | 198 | 91 | 116 | 28 | 261 | 17 | 266 | 88 | 183 | 49 | 235 | 139 | 144 | 24 | 258 | 89 | 195 | 86 | 100 | 90 | 194 | 39 | 225 | 123 | 170 | 53 | 111 | 64 | 64 | 38 | 20 |
Unimportant | 73 | 46 | 27 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 37 | 36 | 40 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 61 | 14 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 31 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 52 | 6 | 26 | 41 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 24 | 41 | 7 | 11 | 62 | 17 | 42 | 16 | 34 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 50 | 21 | 30 | 8 | 64 | 4 | 64 | 23 | 46 | 9 | 62 | 28 | 42 | 6 | 63 | 21 | 49 | 22 | 26 | 15 | 55 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 46 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 2 |
Extremely Unimportant | 32 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 25 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 28 | 8 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 21 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
Not Sure | 12 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
Treatment of gays, lesbians, and transgender persons. If the treatment of the GLBT community is ... ? |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Extremely Important | 252 | 103 | 149 | 79 | 81 | 55 | 38 | 160 | 92 | 121 | 16 | 80 | 36 | 27 | 221 | 9 | 16 | 12 | 21 | 39 | 90 | 62 | 26 | 72 | 152 | 17 | 31 | 67 | 59 | 72 | 77 | 173 | 28 | 105 | 120 | 55 | 82 | 115 | 90 | 132 | 27 | 64 | 182 | 191 | 16 | 146 | 11 | 137 | 111 | 37 | 202 | 78 | 132 | 33 | 214 | 27 | 219 | 56 | 187 | 37 | 208 | 101 | 144 | 24 | 221 | 86 | 158 | 68 | 79 | 67 | 173 | 44 | 188 | 110 | 142 | 41 | 111 | 41 | 59 | 34 | 16 |
Important | 270 | 134 | 137 | 58 | 91 | 61 | 60 | 149 | 121 | 134 | 16 | 77 | 44 | 21 | 242 | 18 | 41 | 27 | 35 | 32 | 86 | 26 | 59 | 95 | 112 | 31 | 53 | 101 | 61 | 17 | 81 | 188 | 24 | 96 | 150 | 51 | 98 | 121 | 91 | 144 | 27 | 63 | 201 | 155 | 67 | 111 | 55 | 160 | 105 | 63 | 196 | 76 | 127 | 30 | 236 | 13 | 248 | 82 | 173 | 42 | 218 | 128 | 133 | 23 | 237 | 88 | 173 | 73 | 92 | 74 | 187 | 28 | 216 | 119 | 152 | 53 | 94 | 52 | 72 | 29 | 21 |
Unimportant | 132 | 73 | 59 | 31 | 36 | 42 | 23 | 67 | 65 | 59 | 8 | 51 | 14 | 10 | 115 | 21 | 48 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 69 | 39 | 24 | 32 | 32 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 47 | 84 | 14 | 58 | 60 | 24 | 56 | 52 | 43 | 72 | 15 | 23 | 105 | 48 | 60 | 39 | 49 | 83 | 48 | 42 | 84 | 46 | 43 | 15 | 115 | 8 | 117 | 42 | 82 | 18 | 111 | 67 | 62 | 8 | 119 | 43 | 86 | 43 | 42 | 34 | 94 | 20 | 99 | 50 | 82 | 28 | 52 | 36 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
Extremely Unimportant | 66 | 49 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 39 | 27 | 33 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 8 | 22 | 36 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 27 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 13 | 40 | 8 | 31 | 49 | 17 | 22 | 41 | 15 | 28 | 8 | 58 | 5 | 60 | 23 | 35 | 10 | 55 | 25 | 40 | 7 | 58 | 20 | 45 | 17 | 27 | 22 | 39 | 9 | 44 | 27 | 38 | 16 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Not Sure | 26 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |
In the community where you live, do the police treat everyone the same? Or, are the police tougher on some groups than others? |
746 Likely And Early Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Military Househo | Education | Income | Urbanity | Union | 2012 Vote | 2010 Vote | Married? | Evangelical | Catholic | Smoke? | Vegetarian? | Own a Gun? | Own a Motorcycle | Kids Under 18 | Live in CA | 1st Generation | 2nd Generation | Tattoos | Parental Violenc | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Suburban | Single M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Republic | Independ | Democrat | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Yes | No | Obama | Romney | Boxer | Fiorina | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | <10 Yrs | 10 + Yrs | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Yes | Yes | |
Treat Everyone The Same | 405 | 229 | 177 | 94 | 129 | 98 | 84 | 224 | 182 | 193 | 22 | 121 | 70 | 36 | 359 | 60 | 76 | 54 | 37 | 33 | 105 | 36 | 136 | 124 | 140 | 84 | 95 | 144 | 48 | 25 | 135 | 268 | 47 | 150 | 209 | 68 | 154 | 183 | 135 | 204 | 54 | 85 | 318 | 201 | 146 | 140 | 117 | 255 | 142 | 117 | 265 | 119 | 160 | 55 | 341 | 25 | 366 | 135 | 245 | 72 | 318 | 191 | 199 | 38 | 349 | 129 | 261 | 114 | 135 | 116 | 268 | 54 | 315 | 169 | 237 | 88 | 142 | 96 | 80 | 43 | 27 |
Tougher On Some Groups | 215 | 96 | 119 | 64 | 64 | 58 | 29 | 129 | 86 | 96 | 19 | 73 | 27 | 20 | 187 | 12 | 22 | 16 | 23 | 30 | 67 | 43 | 34 | 70 | 110 | 12 | 38 | 56 | 59 | 48 | 59 | 154 | 20 | 91 | 104 | 51 | 69 | 95 | 90 | 108 | 14 | 66 | 141 | 151 | 25 | 109 | 21 | 116 | 95 | 38 | 166 | 66 | 106 | 23 | 187 | 18 | 189 | 59 | 145 | 27 | 183 | 87 | 123 | 14 | 196 | 67 | 143 | 61 | 76 | 52 | 154 | 34 | 151 | 89 | 126 | 33 | 105 | 29 | 48 | 22 | 13 |
Not Sure | 126 | 45 | 81 | 31 | 46 | 27 | 22 | 76 | 50 | 69 | 4 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 115 | 3 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 35 | 15 | 27 | 45 | 51 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 32 | 23 | 36 | 88 | 11 | 50 | 65 | 25 | 44 | 57 | 37 | 74 | 9 | 17 | 100 | 63 | 22 | 58 | 13 | 69 | 55 | 19 | 101 | 33 | 72 | 10 | 114 | 11 | 112 | 17 | 101 | 10 | 112 | 53 | 69 | 14 | 108 | 51 | 71 | 30 | 39 | 36 | 85 | 18 | 97 | 57 | 68 | 23 | 42 | 27 | 34 | 25 | 7 |
Total | 746 | 370 | 376 | 189 | 239 | 182 | 135 | 429 | 318 | 358 | 44 | 228 | 116 | 64 | 661 | 75 | 122 | 76 | 75 | 88 | 207 | 94 | 197 | 239 | 301 | 103 | 146 | 246 | 138 | 95 | 231 | 509 | 78 | 291 | 378 | 144 | 267 | 335 | 263 | 387 | 77 | 169 | 560 | 414 | 193 | 307 | 151 | 439 | 293 | 174 | 531 | 219 | 338 | 89 | 642 | 54 | 667 | 211 | 490 | 109 | 613 | 331 | 391 | 66 | 653 | 247 | 475 | 205 | 250 | 204 | 508 | 106 | 563 | 316 | 431 | 144 | 290 | 152 | 161 | 90 | 48 |
Composition of Likely And Early Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 91% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 14% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 13% | 31% | 68% | 10% | 39% | 51% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 35% | 52% | 10% | 23% | 75% | 60% | 28% | 47% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 24% | 73% | 39% | 61% | 12% | 88% | 7% | 91% | 29% | 68% | 15% | 85% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 90% | 34% | 66% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 71% | 15% | 81% | 42% | 58% | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 6% |