Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20108
 
Election Eve, Ohio: Obama in Strongest Position Yet To Capture Buckeye State's 18 Critical Electoral Votes:

When all is said and done, and 24 hours remain until votes are counted in Ohio, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 49% to 44%, according to SurveyUSA's 5th and final pre-election tracking poll, conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. In 5 tracking polls, Obama has never trailed; today's poll is the first time Obama has polled as high as 49%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Obama is up 1 point, Romney is down 1 point. Obama had led by 3, now leads, at the wire, by 5. Men are moving to Obama on the final weekend. 6 out of 7 Ohio voters has been personally contacted by one or both presidential campaigns.

* As they have in all 5 SurveyUSA polls, voters say Romney would do better at balancing the federal budget.
* As they have in all 5 SurveyUSA polls, voters say Obama would do better at keeping America safe.
* As they have in all 5 SurveyUSA polls, voters say Obama is more in touch with the average working person.

In the election for United States Senator from Ohio, incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown narrowly edges Republican challenger Josh Mandel 44% to 41%, in a contest with national implications. Brown has never trailed in 5 tracking polls, but his lead has been as small as 1 point. Today's lead of 3 points is down from last week's lead of 5 points. The contest is slightly more volatile than is the President's. Among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Brown has a 21-point lead "banked." For Mandel to have a chance, he must overpower Brown with the larger group of voters who tell SurveyUSA they will vote on Election Day. Brown currently has a 10-point lead among Election Day voters. Brown has made steady inroads among Ohio's Independent voters, and at the finish line, out polls Mandel among this group - though just bareley. Two weeks ago, Brown had led by 13 points among Independents, but on Election Eve, trails by 1.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 910 adults from the state of Ohio 11/01/12 through 11/04/12. Of the adults, 822 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 803 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
In the election for President of the United States, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? One of the other candidates? Or are you undecided?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney (R)44%47%42%35%51%42%52%43%46%49%12%34%48%38%28%50%92%7%41%81%36%8%28%54%33%42%42%46%61%36%18%57%74%40%43%49%48%33%48%48%52%43%38%62%100%0%20%58%73%90%10%43%55%52%44%39%**
Barack Obama (D)49%46%52%55%43%51%46%49%49%44%84%55%46%58%67%41%7%89%42%16%56%86%61%41%56%54%50%48%34%58%74%38%22%54%51%42%48%58%47%47%41%52%57%31%0%100%76%34%15%6%86%54%40%41%50%52%**
Other3%5%2%6%3%3%1%5%2%3%3%5%2%3%1%4%1%1%10%1%4%4%6%2%5%0%4%3%2%4%5%2%1%3%3%4%2%5%1%2%4%3%1%4%0%0%2%3%6%2%1%1%3%2%2%5%**
Undecided4%3%5%4%4%5%1%4%4%4%1%6%3%1%3%5%0%3%7%3%4%2%5%3%6%3%4%3%3%3%2%3%3%4%4%4%2%4%3%3%3%3%4%3%0%0%2%5%6%2%3%2%2%4%4%4%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
In the election for United States Senator, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Josh Mandel? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Are you undecided? Or will you not vote in this contest?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Josh Mandel (R)41%46%37%34%47%39%47%40%42%44%18%30%46%36%24%46%82%10%37%76%33%10%26%50%33%42%38%43%58%33%18%54%66%35%42%47%41%30%46%45%48%41%35%59%85%5%21%53%67%80%12%37%51%48%41%37%**
Sherrod Brown (D)44%40%47%38%40%52%46%39%50%41%74%41%45%57%50%36%8%81%38%14%54%79%46%41%50%49%49%42%31%53%68%33%21%47%43%39%49%50%40%43%42%45%57%29%6%82%68%33%17%10%76%45%41%41%43%47%**
Scott Rupert (I)4%4%4%6%4%4%2%5%3%5%1%6%4%3%3%5%2%2%10%3%5%5%6%3%7%0%4%4%2%5%6%3%2%5%3%7%3%5%3%3%5%4%3%2%2%3%3%4%9%3%4%4%0%2%7%5%**
Undecided9%9%9%18%8%4%4%13%4%9%6%19%5%2%17%11%6%6%13%6%8%6%18%5%10%9%6%9%7%8%8%8%9%12%10%5%5%12%10%6%4%8%5%7%5%8%8%9%6%6%6%13%5%7%9%9%**
Will Not Vote2%1%2%4%1%0%1%3%0%1%1%4%0%2%5%1%2%1%2%2%1%0%4%1%1%0%2%1%2%1%0%3%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%0%3%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%0%2%1%0%2%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
There are a lot of issues in the news - locally, nationally and abroad. Which of the following best characterizes your personal outlook? Optimistic and hopeful? Worried and concerned? Or Frustrated and angry?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Optimistic And Hopeful41%39%43%42%31%43%49%37%46%37%64%32%44%51%45%35%21%66%32%26%43%64%43%38%39%58%42%40%34%45%57%33%25%40%42%38%43%46%37%37%41%44%44%29%18%64%100%0%0%21%61%44%44%35%38%43%**
Worried And Concerned37%36%38%39%42%34%34%40%34%40%23%49%33%30%44%40%48%25%39%44%37%25%36%40%32%33%35%38%43%35%27%43%46%37%37%41%32%35%41%42%33%37%41%45%49%26%0%100%0%47%26%43%33%43%40%34%**
Frustrated And Angry18%22%15%13%22%21%15%18%18%19%7%13%20%16%8%21%27%7%24%27%16%8%15%19%26%8%21%18%20%18%13%21%24%16%18%18%21%15%18%20%22%18%12%22%30%6%0%0%100%30%9%11%19%19%17%18%**
Not Sure4%3%4%7%4%2%2%5%2%4%6%6%3%3%3%4%4%3%5%3%4%2%7%3%3%1%3%4%3%3%3%3%6%7%3%2%4%5%3%1%3%2%4%5%3%4%0%0%0%2%4%2%4%2%5%4%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support48%46%50%45%44%55%49%44%53%46%72%45%50%57%59%43%15%82%43%20%56%85%47%46%59%54%53%47%38%56%73%37%25%51%48%45%52%53%51%44%46%55%54%30%12%82%73%36%18%16%76%55%39%47%48%51%**
Oppose38%42%33%30%45%34%43%37%38%40%19%27%42%34%20%42%68%10%41%66%30%10%29%42%35%35%36%38%47%32%17%48%58%31%37%41%39%30%37%37%47%34%29%54%73%7%16%45%72%69%14%36%46%39%37%35%**
Not Sure14%12%16%25%12%10%8%18%9%14%9%28%9%9%21%15%17%8%17%14%14%5%24%12%5%11%11%14%15%13%10%16%17%18%15%14%8%17%11%20%8%11%17%16%15%12%10%18%9%15%10%9%14%15%16%15%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Which one issue do you want the President to focus on ahead of all others? Jobs? Healthcare? Balancing the federal budget? Taxes? Keeping America safe? Education? Abortion? Social security? Medicare? Or something else?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Jobs40%42%39%38%40%42%42%39%42%38%51%38%41%46%49%37%35%47%37%37%42%39%40%39%47%40%42%41%40%41%42%45%27%43%45%38%33%41%45%40%37%100%0%0%39%43%43%40%40%38%45%48%34%42%40%40%**
Healthcare13%10%15%11%13%15%13%12%14%14%13%10%14%15%12%12%11%15%12%12%13%18%12%13%14%15%9%14%15%11%13%14%10%13%10%16%14%14%10%19%9%0%100%0%11%15%14%14%9%11%15%16%16%11%11%14%**
Balancing The Budget22%22%22%19%29%20%20%24%20%24%11%24%21%19%19%24%30%13%26%28%21%16%21%24%15%21%21%22%20%23%18%22%30%14%21%29%26%13%26%20%30%0%0%100%31%14%15%26%26%29%16%14%28%23%21%22%**
Taxes4%5%3%7%3%3%1%5%2%4%3%8%2%3%5%4%4%3%2%3%4%3%4%4%1%0%3%4%4%4%3%4%4%3%4%5%4%2%5%5%5%0%0%0%3%4%5%3%2%4%3%6%5%3%4%3%**
Keeping America Safe6%6%6%8%6%6%5%7%6%6%8%6%6%5%4%8%6%6%8%8%6%6%6%7%7%5%8%6%6%7%6%6%5%6%7%3%8%7%3%8%8%0%0%0%6%6%7%6%8%8%5%4%3%6%7%7%**
Education3%3%3%6%2%2%2%4%2%3%3%5%2%2%6%3%2%3%5%1%4%3%6%2%2%1%3%3%2%3%6%2%2%1%3%4%6%3%1%5%4%0%0%0%1%5%4%2%1%1%4%1%2%2%5%3%**
Abortion2%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%0%3%1%1%0%2%5%0%0%4%0%1%2%2%0%0%2%2%4%1%1%1%10%2%1%2%3%2%3%1%1%0%0%0%4%1%1%2%2%3%0%1%2%1%3%2%**
Social Security6%6%7%5%6%6%10%5%8%6%8%5%7%7%3%7%4%9%5%5%6%9%6%6%9%10%8%5%6%6%7%4%10%13%6%3%3%12%4%2%4%0%0%0%4%8%8%5%7%4%8%6%5%8%6%7%**
Medicare2%1%2%1%0%2%3%1%3%1%3%0%2%1%0%2%1%3%0%1%1%3%1%1%3%7%2%1%2%2%2%2%0%2%2%0%1%3%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%3%1%0%0%2%1%3%3%1%1%**
Something Else2%2%1%2%1%2%3%1%2%2%0%0%2%1%1%2%1%1%4%1%2%3%1%2%1%1%3%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%1%1%4%1%1%3%3%1%1%1%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney46%49%44%37%53%45%52%45%48%51%15%38%50%39%29%53%92%8%46%82%39%8%33%55%36%46%45%48%63%38%20%59%75%40%45%53%49%36%49%51%53%45%40%65%98%3%21%60%77%90%13%42%55%52%46%42%**
Barack Obama43%42%44%48%34%46%43%41%45%38%76%42%43%52%57%36%5%84%31%14%48%82%53%36%51%43%45%42%31%49%67%32%17%47%43%38%44%51%40%39%38%45%53%26%0%86%73%26%10%4%76%47%37%34%43%48%**
Not Sure11%9%13%15%13%9%5%14%8%11%8%20%7%9%13%12%3%8%23%4%13%10%14%9%13%11%11%10%6%13%14%9%8%13%13%9%6%13%11%10%9%10%7%10%2%11%6%14%12%5%11%11%8%14%10%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Who is more in touch with the average person?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney36%40%32%24%39%37%48%32%41%40%11%22%42%31%23%41%76%6%33%71%26%4%21%45%28%39%34%38%53%28%12%49%67%36%34%39%39%30%42%38%37%35%35%50%80%0%16%46%64%76%8%36%48%41%37%31%**
Barack Obama54%50%58%65%48%55%47%56%52%49%88%66%49%63%73%46%12%92%49%19%63%92%68%46%63%56%57%53%36%64%79%43%26%56%57%50%52%64%49%54%48%57%61%37%6%98%79%42%21%12%90%56%46%48%57%58%**
Not Sure10%9%10%12%13%8%5%12%7%10%1%13%8%7%3%12%12%2%17%10%11%4%11%9%9%6%9%10%11%8%9%8%7%8%9%11%9%7%9%8%15%8%4%13%14%1%4%12%16%13%3%9%7%11%7%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney42%45%40%34%47%40%50%41%44%47%12%31%47%35%31%48%88%6%41%78%34%7%27%51%33%44%40%44%60%34%16%55%72%36%41%48%45%34%45%45%48%40%37%61%92%1%19%55%72%86%10%39%53%51%41%37%**
Barack Obama48%45%51%54%40%53%45%47%50%43%82%52%47%57%62%41%7%88%41%16%54%87%60%41%57%49%51%47%34%57%74%37%20%53%48%42%50%58%43%45%44%51%56%29%2%93%77%32%16%5%84%49%40%40%49%53%**
Not Sure10%10%9%13%12%7%4%13%6%10%6%17%7%7%7%11%6%5%18%6%11%6%13%8%10%7%9%10%6%10%9%8%8%11%11%10%5%8%12%10%9%8%6%10%6%6%5%13%12%9%7%12%7%9%10%10%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Voter Fraud45%48%42%40%46%48%46%43%47%46%36%39%48%40%33%50%63%28%46%65%38%29%38%49%45%37%49%44%57%39%29%55%56%47%45%44%46%43%50%46%43%42%42%56%67%26%32%50%65%66%30%44%51%53%40%44%**
Voter Suppression37%39%36%42%37%39%30%40%35%35%54%42%36%45%46%32%20%55%33%19%45%57%44%34%38%36%36%38%25%46%53%30%29%33%37%41%41%38%33%38%44%41%42%28%19%55%51%33%19%21%52%37%31%34%42%39%**
Not Sure17%13%22%18%17%14%24%17%18%18%11%19%17%15%20%18%17%16%21%16%17%13%17%16%17%27%15%17%18%15%18%15%15%20%18%15%13%19%17%16%13%16%16%16%14%19%16%17%16%13%18%18%18%13%18%17%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support38%37%39%43%29%43%38%36%41%33%70%38%38%50%48%30%6%69%34%13%44%75%45%34%42%39%40%37%28%45%62%28%16%35%37%38%45%40%36%40%38%41%49%24%4%72%64%24%11%5%65%41%31%32%41%41%**
Oppose50%52%47%40%58%49%50%50%49%54%18%41%53%42%32%56%86%17%51%79%44%12%36%57%47%44%48%51%62%42%26%61%75%46%49%53%49%42%51%49%56%49%42%64%91%12%23%64%81%87%20%46%58%54%49%45%**
Not Sure12%11%14%17%13%8%12%15%10%13%12%20%9%9%19%14%8%13%15%8%12%12%19%9%11%17%12%12%10%13%12%11%9%19%14%9%6%17%13%12%5%10%9%12%6%16%13%12%8%7%15%13%11%14%10%14%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
Have you been contacted ... in person, by mail, or by phone ... by the Romney campaign? By the Obama campaign? By both campaigns? Or have you not been contacted by either campaign?
803 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanWhen Will You Vote?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineAlready Before EON ElectRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinRomneyObamaOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Romney Campaign16%15%18%11%14%16%28%12%21%18%6%9%19%15%8%19%36%6%8%32%9%9%12%18%11%28%12%18%24%14%10%18%32%15%16%17%19%14%16%18%18%16%15%22%30%6%11%22%19%31%7%17%28%19%16%13%**
Obama Campaign13%11%14%19%8%11%14%13%12%9%35%18%11%17%22%9%4%23%9%4%14%21%18%8%23%13%14%12%11%13%17%10%4%15%14%11%10%17%12%11%8%14%13%8%3%23%18%9%5%2%21%10%8%11%14%14%**
Both Campaigns56%59%54%47%60%64%50%54%58%57%44%47%60%56%40%59%47%58%67%50%62%59%49%62%45%46%64%55%55%56%58%57%47%48%55%63%60%51%58%58%60%56%58%57%53%56%59%54%61%54%60%59%57%51%52%59%**
Neither Campaign14%15%13%21%17%9%8%19%9%14%14%25%9%12%30%13%13%12%15%14%14%10%20%10%20%11%10%14%9%17%12%15%16%22%14%8%11%17%14%12%12%14%12%13%13%14%11%14%16%13%11%15%7%19%17%12%**
Not Sure1%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%2%0%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%2%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%2%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%25%27%28%20%52%48%83%12%28%72%33%7%59%34%39%25%32%42%17%25%58%11%6%22%76%34%60%37%44%13%22%39%21%18%36%24%17%23%40%13%22%44%49%41%37%18%39%47%9%10%15%22%40%4%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.