Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14557

Obama Begins to Run Up the Score in Washington State with Women and Voters Older than John McCain: In an election for President of the United States in Washington State today, 10/14/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain, 56% to 40%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle and KATU-TV in Portland Oregon. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released three weeks ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 3.

Among men, the contest is static; Obama led by 13 points three weeks ago, leads by 12 points today. But among women, Obama has more than doubled his lead in three weeks, from 8 points then to 20 points now. This is consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other battleground states: for every woman who is attracted to a Republican ticket with a female running mate, there may be two or more women who are not attracted.
There is little movement among voters younger than Barack Obama, but significant movement among older voters: among those older than John McCain, Obama's lead has tripled; among voters between the two candidates' ages, Obama's lead has doubled.
Obama today wins white voters by 12 points; three weeks ago, Obama led by 8; five weeks ago, in polling completed immediately following the Republican National Convention, McCain and Obama tied among whites.

13% of Republicans today cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats vote for McCain; Independents favor Obama 5:4. Obama leads by 33 points in Metro Seattle, by 8 points in the remainder of Western Washington. McCain leads by 13 points in Eastern Washington.

The movement seen here in Washington is almost identical to movement SurveyUSA finds in neighboring Oregon. Three weeks ago, Obama led by 11 points in Oregon. Today Obama leads by 17. Three weeks ago, Obama led by 11 in Washington, today he leads by 16.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults 10/12/08 and 10/13/08; of the adults, 631 identified themselves as being registered to vote in Washington state. Of the registered voters, 544 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. 37 of Washington's 39 counties vote exclusively by mail; ballots begin being mailed to voters this week, and must be postmarked no later than Election Day, 11/04/08. Washington has 11 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried Washington by 7 points in 2004; Al Gore carried Washington by 6 points in 2000.

If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?

544 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Age			Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Top Issue For Next President								Income		Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	< Obama	> McCain	> In Bet	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Social S	Educatio	Immigrat	< $50K	> $50K	Western	Eastern	Metro Se
McCain (R)	40%	42%	38%	38%	41%	39%	39%	40%	39%	40%	33%	42%	42%	**	**	28%	85%	8%	39%	88%	31%	8%	40%	40%	55%	37%	28%	69%	23%	35%	**	23%	22%	90%	**	**	71%	39%	40%	44%	55%	31%
Obama (D)	56%	54%	58%	56%	55%	57%	56%	55%	56%	57%	60%	54%	54%	**	**	69%	13%	90%	52%	10%	65%	89%	57%	55%	44%	56%	67%	28%	73%	61%	**	74%	76%	8%	**	**	29%	57%	56%	52%	42%	64%
Other	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	**	**	1%	1%	1%	6%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	5%	3%	2%	3%	3%	**	2%	0%	2%	**	**	0%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%
Undecided	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	**	**	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	**	1%	1%	0%	**	**	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	48%	52%	20%	34%	26%	19%	55%	45%	48%	10%	42%	86%	2%	4%	8%	29%	40%	28%	25%	42%	19%	51%	49%	36%	24%	41%	35%	63%	58%	3%	10%	6%	8%	3%	4%	6%	35%	65%	27%	21%	52%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.