|Obama Begins to Run Up the Score in Washington State with Women and Voters Older than John McCain:
In an election for President of the United States in Washington State today, 10/14/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain, 56% to 40%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle and KATU-TV in Portland Oregon. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released three weeks ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 3.
Among men, the contest is static; Obama led by 13 points three weeks ago, leads by 12 points today. But among women, Obama has more than doubled his lead in three weeks, from 8 points then to 20 points now. This is consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other battleground states: for every woman who is attracted to a Republican ticket with a female running mate, there may be two or more women who are not attracted.
There is little movement among voters younger than Barack Obama, but significant movement among older voters: among those older than John McCain, Obama's lead has tripled; among voters between the two candidates' ages, Obama's lead has doubled.
Obama today wins white voters by 12 points; three weeks ago, Obama led by 8; five weeks ago, in polling completed immediately following the Republican National Convention, McCain and Obama tied among whites.
13% of Republicans today cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats vote for McCain; Independents favor Obama 5:4. Obama leads by 33 points in Metro Seattle, by 8 points in the remainder of Western Washington. McCain leads by 13 points in Eastern Washington.
The movement seen here in Washington is almost identical to movement SurveyUSA finds in neighboring Oregon. Three weeks ago, Obama led by 11 points in Oregon. Today Obama leads by 17. Three weeks ago, Obama led by 11 in Washington, today he leads by 16.