Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14382
 
Obama 11 Points Ahead of McCain in Iowa: In an election for President of the United States in Iowa today, 09/19/08, 46 days from the election, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KAAL-TV Mason City and WHO-TV Des Moines.

Among women, Obama leads by 20 points; among men, Obama and McCain tie.
Among voters younger than Barack Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than John McCain, Obama leads by 9. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, Obama leads by 7.
Among white voters -- 95% of Iowa's likely voters -- Obama leads by 8 points.
11% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; Independents break for Obama by 9 points.

John McCain leads among Republicans, conservatives, those who attend church regularly, pro-life voters, those focused on terrorism, among the 16% of likely voters who say they may yet change their mind, and in Southwest Iowa. Obama is slightly ahead in Northwest Iowa and leads by double digits in the northeast and southeast portions of the state.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Iowa adults 09/17/08 through 09/18/08. Interviews were conducted during a time of exceptional financial turbulence, coinciding with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the federal rescue of AIG insurance company, and immediately following the federal takeover of Fannie Mae. Of the registered voters, 840 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 702 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Iowa has 7 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Iowa by two-thirds of a point in 2004; Al Gore carried Iowa by one-third of a point in 2000.
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
702 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasSouthwesNorthwes
McCain (R)43%49%38%33%47%45%45%41%45%41%44%45%44%******87%8%44%81%35%9%46%41%51%35%32%63%25%51%42%41%**28%23%93%******37%47%38%41%50%48%
Obama (D)54%49%58%63%49%52%52%55%52%56%53%52%52%******11%89%53%16%63%88%51%56%45%63%65%34%72%38%57%56%**69%70%7%******60%50%58%55%47%50%
Other2%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%******2%1%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%0%1%2%1%4%1%1%**0%6%0%******1%1%2%2%1%0%
Undecided2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%******1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%2%7%0%2%**3%0%0%******2%2%2%1%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%23%29%27%21%52%48%46%12%42%95%1%2%2%31%39%27%29%40%14%41%59%53%25%22%46%51%16%83%60%3%9%7%7%4%3%5%42%58%41%20%19%20%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.