Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20576
 
17 Months Til Vote, CA-52 Voters Give DeMaio Another Look: 7 months after voters in California's 52nd Congressional District selected Democrat Scott Peters over Republican Brian Bilbray as their US Representative, and 7 months after San Diego voters selected Democrat Bob Filner over Republican Carl DeMaio to be the city's non-partisan mayor, CA-52 voters, many of whom live in the city of San Diego, favor DeMaio over Peters in a hypothetical 2014 election for Congress.

In a hypothetical vote among registered voters today, 06/13/2013, with only those two candidates on the ballot, DeMaio gets 48%; Peters 39%. 13% are undecided.

Among men, DeMaio leads by 12 points; among women, DeMaio holds a narrower, 5-point advantage. The race is close among younger voters; DeMaio leads by 12 among voters age 50+. 8 in 10 Republicans and 7 in 10 Democrats vote for their party's candidate; independents favor DeMaio by 27 points.

Subtracting a candidate's unfavorability rating from his favorability rating produces net favorability. DeMaio today has a net favorability of Plus 14; Peters today has net favorablity of Plus 2.

 
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research, which was conducted 100% by telephone: SurveyUSA interviewed 500 registered voters from California's 52nd Congressional District 06/10/13 through 06/12/13, using registration based (voter list) sample from Aristotle in Washington DC. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (81% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (19% of registered voters) were called by live-operators, who hand-dialed the phone, qualified the respondent, interviewed the respondent, logged the respondent's answers, and remained on the line until the conclusion of the call.
 
1California's 52nd Congressional District will elect a United States Representative in November 2014. If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from California's 52nd Congressional District were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Carl DeMaio And Democrat Scott Peters Who would you vote for?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Carl DeMaio (R)48%49%46%36%43%51%54%41%52%50%**38%32%38%51%79%17%57%81%42%11%46%49%51%47%48%46%50%47%82%16%
Scott Peters (D)39%37%41%32%39%39%42%37%40%40%**37%30%36%40%12%72%30%10%44%80%45%38%26%34%42%29%39%45%9%69%
Undecided13%14%12%33%17%10%5%22%8%9%**25%38%27%8%9%11%14%8%14%9%9%13%23%19%9%25%11%8%9%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
2Is your opinion of Carl DeMaio ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Favorable39%41%36%17%33%44%48%28%46%42%**33%17%25%42%58%16%47%61%35%12%25%42%38%43%38%36%38%40%63%16%
Unfavorable25%27%24%33%24%25%23%27%24%25%**21%30%20%27%10%43%23%12%26%51%39%23%21%17%29%27%25%26%10%40%
Neutral24%22%27%22%30%24%21%27%23%25%**27%20%26%25%23%30%19%19%30%24%32%23%21%26%24%25%23%26%19%29%
No Opinion12%10%13%27%13%8%8%18%8%9%**19%32%29%6%8%11%11%8%9%13%4%12%20%14%9%11%14%8%8%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
3Is your opinion of Scott Peters ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Favorable29%28%30%18%25%30%37%23%33%32%**26%13%19%32%12%53%21%11%32%57%27%30%20%30%30%26%30%30%10%50%
Unfavorable27%32%23%20%25%34%24%23%30%28%**27%21%8%32%41%10%38%47%22%10%27%28%30%24%28%21%28%27%46%10%
Neutral28%28%28%31%32%24%28%32%26%27%**28%36%38%26%32%25%28%26%36%18%28%28%26%23%30%28%27%33%31%22%
No Opinion15%12%18%31%17%12%11%22%11%13%**19%30%35%10%15%13%14%16%10%15%18%14%25%23%11%26%14%10%14%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
4Who will do more to protect Medicare?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Carl DeMaio (R)28%28%27%16%17%30%40%17%34%29%**33%13%13%32%43%10%36%50%24%1%25%28%31%31%26%27%28%28%49%8%
Scott Peters (D)34%34%34%28%38%34%32%35%33%36%**20%22%32%35%14%57%30%8%41%66%44%32%39%25%37%26%33%38%10%58%
Not Sure38%38%39%56%45%35%28%48%32%34%**46%64%55%33%43%34%34%42%36%33%31%39%30%43%36%46%40%35%41%35%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
5Who will bring more jobs to the district?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Carl DeMaio (R)41%41%41%29%35%45%46%33%46%43%**43%24%31%44%68%13%48%72%33%9%37%42%51%39%41%42%37%42%71%13%
Scott Peters (D)24%23%25%26%23%21%27%24%24%24%**18%25%19%26%8%44%16%7%27%49%27%23%27%23%24%21%23%25%6%43%
Not Sure35%36%34%44%42%34%26%43%30%33%**39%52%51%30%24%42%36%21%40%42%36%35%22%38%34%37%40%33%23%44%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
6Who better reflects your positions on social issues?
500 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyUnionEducationIncome2012 Vote
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KRomney (Obama (D
Carl DeMaio (R)40%43%36%32%31%44%46%31%45%42%**36%23%30%42%67%11%44%69%34%8%34%41%55%43%37%43%39%38%69%12%
Scott Peters (D)38%35%40%42%38%35%39%39%37%38%**32%36%34%39%14%67%31%8%45%73%43%37%20%29%43%30%38%42%8%66%
Not Sure23%22%24%26%31%21%15%30%18%20%**32%41%36%19%19%22%25%23%21%19%24%22%25%27%20%27%23%20%23%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%12%26%34%28%38%62%81%2%8%10%19%81%36%38%23%32%44%20%15%84%5%26%69%16%29%55%44%47%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.