| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15874 |
| Movement Toward Moran in Kansas GOP Primary for Brownback's Open US Senate Seat: In a Republican Primary for US Senate in Kansas today, 10/05/09, Jerry Moran defeats Todd Tiahrt for the nomination, 43% to 27%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. The primary is in 10 months.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, Moran is up 5 points; Tiahrt is down 5 points. Tiahrt, US Representative for Kansas' 4th Congressional District, located toward the Southeastern part of the state, leads by 21 points in Southeastern Kansas. Moran, who represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District, which takes up most of the Western two-thirds of the state, leads by 56 points in Western KS. In Northeastern KS, home to half the state's population, 45% of likely voters are today undecided. Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; SurveyUSA includes unaffiliated voters here. They break 3:1 for Moran. Republicans break 4:3 for Moran. Incumbent Republican US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Kansas Governor, and is not seeking reelection to his Senate seat. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 Kansas adults 10/02/09 through 10/04/09. Of them, 1,302 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 475 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the August 2010 Republican Primary. |
 | If the Republican Primary for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Jerry Moran? Or Todd Tiahrt? |
| 475 Likely GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Northeas | Southeas | Western | |
| Moran | 43% | 45% | 41% | 57% | 43% | 33% | 45% | 48% | 38% | 41% | ** | 94% | ** | 42% | 52% | 35% | 54% | 68% | 40% | 45% | 41% | 46% | 48% | 40% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 47% | 41% | 39% | 32% | 70% |
| Tiahrt | 27% | 25% | 29% | 17% | 21% | 35% | 33% | 19% | 34% | 27% | ** | 6% | ** | 28% | 16% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 26% | 28% | 30% | 23% | 19% | 30% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 16% | 53% | 14% |
| Undecided | 30% | 30% | 30% | 25% | 37% | 32% | 23% | 33% | 28% | 32% | ** | 1% | ** | 30% | 32% | 33% | 23% | 27% | 34% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 33% | 30% | 29% | 28% | 33% | 26% | 31% | 45% | 15% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 56% | 44% | 16% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 50% | 50% | 90% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 86% | 14% | 60% | 29% | 7% | 48% | 52% | 66% | 15% | 19% | 63% | 34% | 58% | 39% | 36% | 64% | 50% | 30% | 20% |