Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21396
 
In FL, Steady As She Goes: Scott 2 Atop Crist for Gov; For POTUS in 2016, FL Stays Blue if Clinton Runs; FL Turns Red if Biden Runs:

With July 4 in the rear-view mirror, Republican Rick Scott finds himself a nominal 2 points atop Democrat Charlie Crist in the contest for Florida Governor, according to the latest WFLA-TV tracking poll. Compared to an identical WFLA-TV poll released 06/24/14, Scott is up 3 points, Crist is up 2 points. Scott had led by a nominal 1 point, now 2, largely unchanged. Scott's 45% today is the highest he has polled in 7 WFLA-TV track points.

Looking ahead to the 2016 election for president in the pivotal state of Florida, hypothetical head-to-head polling by SurveyUSA for WFLA-TV shows the following:

* Hillary Clinton 46%.
* Rand Paul 42%.

* Rand Paul 47%.
* Joe Biden 39%.

* Hillary Clinton 53%.
* Marco Rubio 39%.

* Marco Rubio 46%.
* Joe Biden 43%.

* Hillary Clinton 47%.
* Jeb Bush 41%.

* Jeb Bush 47%.
* Joe Biden 38%.

As always, cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 state of Florida adults 06/30/14 through 07/02/14. Of the adults, 849 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 558 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Or some other candidate?
558 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRaceRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWhiteBlackAsian / North WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Scott (R)45%47%43%30%50%42%50%44%46%29%41%79%10%47%80%38%6%46%50%42%43%40%54%30%51%49%20%**43%64%45%50%37%
Charlie Crist (D)43%40%46%48%40%46%41%43%43%57%49%13%79%35%11%51%81%41%38%47%40%49%38%56%39%39%73%**35%23%38%44%55%
Other7%7%6%8%5%8%7%6%7%4%0%6%6%9%7%5%7%5%7%7%9%6%5%3%8%8%1%**14%10%10%4%2%
Undecided5%5%5%13%5%4%3%7%4%10%10%2%5%9%3%6%6%8%5%4%8%5%2%12%3%5%6%**7%3%7%2%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%12%24%32%32%36%64%6%10%37%38%24%33%42%21%14%33%53%27%42%30%27%73%81%14%5%8%8%32%22%30%
 
2Thinking ahead now to the 2016 election for President of the United States ... If the 2016 election for President were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?
849 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRaceRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWhiteBlackAsian / North WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rand Paul (R)42%48%38%36%40%46%44%39%45%34%29%75%11%45%78%35%11%40%45%41%43%37%48%30%47%46%23%40%53%54%48%45%30%
Hillary Clinton (D)46%40%50%53%43%43%47%47%45%53%63%15%83%34%14%52%79%48%40%49%47%47%43%52%43%41%72%45%36%36%41%44%56%
Undecided12%12%12%11%17%11%9%15%10%13%8%9%7%21%8%12%10%12%15%10%10%16%9%18%10%13%6%15%12%10%11%11%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%46%54%15%25%31%29%40%60%8%10%35%38%26%31%43%20%17%34%49%31%38%30%27%73%81%13%6%7%8%32%23%31%
 
3What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Joe Biden?
849 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRaceRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineWhiteBlackAsian / North WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rand Paul (R)47%53%41%35%48%51%47%43%49%40%35%80%11%54%80%41%15%45%49%46%44%42%55%35%51%51%22%42%52%52%50%51%37%
Joe Biden (D)39%34%44%50%38%37%36%43%37%53%50%10%77%25%13%41%73%41%34%43%40%42%37%48%36%34%70%39%32%30%34%33%53%
Undecided14%14%15%15%14%12%17%14%14%7%15%10%12%22%7%17%11%14%18%12%15%16%9%17%13%15%9%19%16%18%15%16%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%46%54%15%25%31%29%40%60%8%10%35%38%26%31%43%20%17%34%49%31%38%30%27%73%81%13%6%7%8%32%23%31%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.