Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17137
 
Perriello's Problems Persist: Little Good News For VA-05 Incumbent Democrat: In an election for for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District today, 09/28/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to identical SurveyUSA polls released 4 weeks ago and 10 weeks ago, the contest is unchanged. In 3 SurveyUSA polls, Perriello has received 35%, Hurt has received 58% or 61%. Early voting began 11 days ago, on September 17; among the 7% of voters who have already cast ballots, the race may be tighter, with Hurt 14 points atop Perriello.

Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today is above 50% only among blacks, Democrats, liberals, those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, pro-choice voters, and those who do not own guns -- none of which are majority groups among likely voters in Virginia's 5th district. Two polls released in September by Democratic pollsters show the Democrat Perriello trailing the Republican Hurt by a smaller margin than SurveyUSA shows here.

 
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 5th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/24/10 through 09/27/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 624 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Robert Hurt? Democrat Tom Perriello? Or Independent Jeffrey Clark?
624 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?Tea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Robert Hurt (R)58%61%54%64%56%51%65%59%57%63%25%****89%15%58%83%46%14%49%58%86%10%69%51%53%61%62%54%45%77%34%66%42%57%57%
Tom Perriello (D)35%31%39%29%36%42%28%33%36%30%68%****6%82%30%9%50%79%35%35%4%87%24%36%40%31%31%38%47%17%59%27%51%34%37%
Jeffrey Clark (I)4%6%3%4%6%4%4%5%4%4%3%****3%2%8%5%2%7%12%4%6%1%2%9%4%4%3%5%7%3%5%5%2%4%4%
Undecided3%2%4%3%2%4%4%2%4%3%4%****1%1%5%3%3%1%5%3%3%2%4%5%2%4%4%3%2%3%2%2%5%4%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%14%25%34%26%39%61%83%12%2%3%38%27%33%46%34%14%7%93%39%28%23%11%46%54%62%22%16%54%42%62%35%42%58%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.