|Moran Still Atop Tiahrt in Kansas GOP US Senate Primary:
In a Republican Primary for US Senate in Kansas today, 03/29/10, Jerry Moran defeats Todd Tiahrt, according to SurveyUSA's 7th pre-primary tracking poll, conducted for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. The primary is in 4 months.
Today it's Moran 42%, Tiahrt 32%. Robert Londerholm, a third Republican in the race, gets 5%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, which did not include Londerholm, Moran is up 2 points; Tiahrt is down 1. In 7 tracking polls, Moran has never trailed. Click on the "Triangle T" to reveal SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, which permit a time-series analysis of each demographic sub-population.
Tiahrt, who represents Kansas' 4th US Congressional District, in Southeastern Kansas, leads by 2:1 in that part of the state. Moran, who represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District, which takes up most of the Western two-thirds of the state, leads by 3:1 in Western KS. In Northeastern KS, home to half the state's population, Moran today leads by 19. In 5 previous polls, Moran has led in this neutral ground by margins ranging between 8 and 23 points with between 1/3 to 1/2 of voters undecided; today, the number undecided in Northeast KS falls to 27%.
Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; SurveyUSA includes unaffiliated voters here, where they make up 14% of the electorate. Moran today leads by 12 points among Republicans, up from 7 points 2 months ago; among unaffiliated voters, Tiahrt today holds a lead.
Incumbent Republican US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Kansas Governor, and is not seeking reelection to his Senate seat.