Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18884
 
Washington State Political Landscape 01/16/12:

For Governor: Rob McKenna (R) 3 points atop Jay Inslee (D), a tight-fight as each previous SurveyUSA poll has shown. McKenna today is seen as stronger on managing the state budget and on education. Inslee is seen as stronger on the environment and slightly stronger on social issues. 1 in 3 voters, disproportionately Independents and Moderates, say they may change their mind. Contest likely to be fiercely fought through 2012.

For U.S. Senator: Maria Cantwell (D) 9 points atop Michael Baumgartner (R). Incumbent well positioned.

For Attorney General: Bob Ferguson (D) and Reagan Dunn (R) effectively even in the fight to fill the seat being vacated by Rob McKenna. The Republican leads among men; the Democrat leads among women.

On Washington state's numerous ballot measures:
* Same-sex marriage: WA split.
* Half cent increase in sales tax: 3:2 supported.
* Legalizing marijuana: 5:4 supported.
* Removal of automatic ticketing cameras: 2:1 supported.
* Adding new state income tax on the wealthy: 5:3 supported.
* Banning plastic bags: 5:3 opposed.

WA Republicans say Mitt Romney has the best chance to beat Barack Obama in November.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults 01/12/12 through 01/16/12. Of them, 617 were registered to vote. This research was conducted multi-mode, using blended sample. Respondents who use a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home phone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents unreachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet or other electronic device.

 
In November, Washington state will elect a Governor. If the vote for Governor were today, and the two candidates were ... Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party, and Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna (R)46%53%40%46%49%42%47%48%44%47%**65%34%43%47%52%52%94%96%80%38%18%79%44%91%9%44%44%51%45%
Inslee (D)43%39%46%31%37%52%48%35%50%43%**29%43%31%46%48%48%4%1%14%46%77%15%45%3%83%38%44%39%44%
Undecided11%8%14%23%14%6%5%17%6%10%**6%23%26%7%--2%3%6%16%4%6%11%6%7%18%12%10%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
2Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind?
548 Voters Who Are Not UndecidedAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Mind Is Made Up65%67%63%56%61%68%73%59%71%63%**73%84%52%68%100%0%90%75%74%57%68%88%65%77%70%52%63%65%67%
Might Change Your Mind31%30%32%39%34%28%24%36%26%32%**27%16%41%28%0%100%6%22%24%40%25%12%32%19%25%46%31%33%29%
Not Sure4%3%5%5%5%3%3%5%3%4%**0%1%7%3%0%0%4%3%2%3%7%0%4%4%5%2%6%2%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Voters Who Are Not Undecided100%51%49%16%31%29%25%46%54%85%2%6%8%18%82%65%31%47%53%31%42%21%6%91%29%34%34%27%21%52%
 
 
3Who would do a better job managing the state budget?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna (R)44%52%36%46%47%39%45%46%42%45%**51%37%40%45%52%44%85%91%77%37%16%79%42%81%10%45%40%46%45%
Inslee (D)35%33%37%24%27%45%41%26%43%35%**24%37%21%38%45%27%8%1%13%34%67%14%37%4%72%26%35%31%36%
Not Sure21%15%27%30%26%16%15%28%15%20%**25%26%39%16%4%29%7%7%10%29%17%7%21%15%18%29%25%24%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
4Who better reflects your positions on social issues?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna (R)40%46%35%43%40%37%43%41%40%41%**53%33%37%41%51%33%87%93%76%30%13%79%38%85%7%34%35%51%39%
Inslee (D)43%40%45%32%41%49%44%38%47%43%**26%46%36%44%47%43%7%4%13%49%74%8%45%5%81%39%44%32%46%
Not Sure17%14%20%24%19%14%13%21%14%16%**20%21%27%15%2%24%7%3%11%21%13%13%17%10%12%27%21%18%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
5Who is stronger on education?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna (R)40%43%37%35%43%38%42%40%40%40%**60%35%36%41%51%33%79%79%69%33%18%83%37%70%12%41%37%46%39%
Inslee (D)35%35%34%28%30%42%37%29%40%36%**16%29%25%37%42%32%7%10%13%38%63%10%37%9%63%30%34%28%37%
Not Sure25%22%29%37%28%20%20%31%20%24%**24%36%39%22%8%35%14%11%18%30%19%7%26%21%25%30%29%25%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
6Who is stronger on the environment?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna (R)30%35%25%31%26%26%37%28%31%30%**38%25%20%32%41%17%81%58%61%17%13%55%28%61%8%25%29%30%30%
Inslee (D)45%45%46%32%44%54%48%39%51%46%**33%45%39%47%50%48%7%25%21%52%70%28%47%17%72%45%43%37%50%
Not Sure25%20%30%37%30%20%15%32%18%24%**29%30%41%21%9%34%12%17%17%31%16%16%25%22%20%30%28%33%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
In November, Washington state will elect a U.S. Senator. If the vote for Senate were today, and the two candidates were ... Michael Baumgartner, who prefers the Republican party, and Maria Cantwell, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Baumgartner (R)41%46%37%42%46%38%39%44%39%42%**48%35%36%43%49%36%93%87%76%34%9%83%38%86%5%39%40%51%38%
Cantwell (D)50%45%55%37%44%57%60%42%58%50%**43%51%44%52%49%55%7%10%19%56%83%12%53%10%88%47%52%38%54%
Undecided8%9%8%21%10%5%1%14%3%8%**9%14%20%5%2%8%0%4%6%10%8%5%9%4%6%13%8%11%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
In November, Washington state will elect a new attorney general. If the vote for Attorney General were today, and the two candidates were ... Reagan Dunn, who prefers the Republican party, and Bob Ferguson, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Dunn (R)37%42%32%36%42%30%39%40%34%37%**45%31%32%38%47%31%87%85%70%27%11%80%34%81%4%33%31%42%38%
Ferguson (D)38%35%41%34%28%47%45%30%46%38%**42%36%32%40%44%36%7%3%15%41%74%14%40%5%77%31%45%34%36%
Undecided25%22%27%30%30%23%17%30%20%25%**13%34%37%22%9%33%6%12%15%32%15%6%26%14%19%37%24%24%26%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
9The state legislature is considering a law that would allow gay couples to marry. If the legislature were to approve marriage for same-sex couples, and you were asked to approve or reject the law, how would you vote?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Approve47%43%52%50%53%47%39%52%43%48%**36%42%48%47%46%53%18%20%19%52%81%38%49%22%67%49%50%38%50%
Reject46%52%41%40%39%50%55%39%53%47%**47%40%40%48%50%43%80%77%76%41%16%58%44%74%24%44%47%54%43%
Not Sure7%6%8%10%9%3%6%9%4%5%**16%18%12%5%4%5%2%3%5%7%3%4%7%3%8%7%3%8%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
10The state legislature is considering a one-half cent increase in the state sales tax for the next two years. This would raise $494 million that would be used to reduce cuts to education and social service programs. Would you support? ... Or oppose? ... this half cent increase in the state sales tax?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Support58%49%67%48%55%64%62%53%63%60%**34%56%49%60%57%63%38%31%39%62%77%34%59%36%80%55%59%53%59%
Oppose37%45%28%41%37%34%36%38%35%36%**42%36%37%36%40%33%58%62%56%30%20%64%35%58%15%39%37%39%36%
Not Sure6%6%6%11%8%2%3%9%2%4%**24%8%14%3%3%4%4%7%4%8%3%2%6%6%6%6%4%8%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
11Under current Washington law, if the state wants to raise taxes, it is required to get a two-thirds vote of the legislature ... or ... with a simple majority vote of the legislature, the state can send a proposed tax increase to a public vote. Do you support? ... Or oppose? ... the current law?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Support54%56%53%52%57%51%57%55%53%55%**41%57%52%55%59%53%70%56%62%52%46%69%54%61%51%53%48%52%59%
Oppose30%33%28%24%28%34%34%27%34%31%**18%29%26%32%33%28%22%31%27%31%39%21%31%24%35%31%38%32%26%
Not Sure15%11%20%24%15%16%9%18%12%14%**41%14%22%13%9%19%8%13%10%17%15%10%15%15%14%16%14%16%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
12In Washington state, there is a proposal to legalize possession of up to one ounce of marijuana, to regulate distribution and sale of marijuana, and subject the purchase to a 25-percent tax. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Support51%57%44%56%48%51%50%51%51%53%**22%45%48%51%51%52%32%34%37%52%72%36%52%29%67%54%52%47%51%
Oppose41%36%45%31%42%44%43%38%43%40%**60%35%37%42%44%35%60%66%58%39%20%60%39%64%24%38%38%48%39%
Not Sure8%6%10%13%10%5%7%11%6%7%**17%20%15%7%4%13%8%0%5%9%8%4%9%6%9%8%10%5%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
13A proposed initiative would require that the use of any automatic ticketing cameras, such as red-light and speed cameras, be approved by voters, or the cameras must be removed. Do you support or oppose this initiative?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Support62%68%55%66%69%55%56%68%55%61%**57%73%62%61%61%64%70%57%66%61%58%67%61%62%59%63%65%55%62%
Oppose30%26%34%24%26%38%31%26%35%32%**27%19%31%30%32%28%27%37%27%32%34%24%31%32%32%28%27%32%31%
Not Sure8%6%11%10%5%7%13%6%10%8%**15%8%7%9%7%8%3%6%7%7%8%8%8%6%9%9%8%13%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
14Washington state may add a new state income tax on individuals with adjusted gross income over $200,000, or joint filers with adjusted gross income over $400,000. The money would go toward education and health, and reducing certain business and property taxes. Would you support, or oppose this new state income tax?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Support56%51%60%56%56%60%50%56%55%55%**52%59%62%54%51%64%26%23%32%60%81%20%57%27%79%57%61%51%54%
Oppose37%44%30%28%36%37%44%33%40%37%**32%34%24%40%45%27%67%68%61%30%13%80%34%63%16%35%35%38%37%
Not Sure8%5%10%17%8%3%6%11%4%7%**16%7%14%6%4%9%8%9%7%9%7%0%8%10%5%8%4%11%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
15Washington state lawmakers are considering a ban on plastic grocery and retail bags. Should plastic grocery and retail bags be legal? Or illegal? In Washington state?
617 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Legal55%61%49%63%58%49%52%60%50%54%**66%56%56%55%60%50%72%75%73%50%40%65%55%69%45%54%53%64%52%
Illegal33%30%36%24%29%39%38%27%39%35%**20%22%24%35%31%36%21%21%20%38%42%29%33%25%40%31%31%24%37%
Not Sure12%9%15%12%14%13%9%13%11%11%**14%21%20%10%9%14%7%4%8%12%18%6%12%5%15%15%16%12%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%18%31%27%24%49%51%84%2%5%9%22%78%65%31%45%52%30%45%20%5%92%28%32%37%27%21%52%
 
 
16If the Republican caucus for President of the United States were today, which candidate would get your support? (candidate names rotated) Mitt Romney? Rick Santorum? Ron Paul? Newt Gingrich? Rick Perry? Or Jon Huntsman?
169 RepublicansAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 7.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Romney26%31%22%25%24%29%28%24%29%28%**0%**16%30%28%26%40%27%31%13%**25%27%26%****30%21%27%
Santorum19%18%20%11%28%26%10%22%16%18%**48%**21%18%22%14%14%33%19%25%**9%20%19%****22%24%15%
Paul7%9%5%10%7%10%3%8%6%7%**9%**4%8%4%5%13%3%5%14%**5%5%7%****11%6%5%
Gingrich22%25%19%0%18%20%44%11%35%23%**0%**14%25%27%10%27%25%26%13%**52%19%22%****12%23%27%
Perry5%2%8%15%4%2%1%8%2%4%**26%**8%4%4%9%5%8%5%2%**0%6%5%****9%7%2%
Huntsman2%2%3%1%1%10%1%1%4%2%**5%**2%3%3%2%1%5%1%8%**4%2%2%****2%1%3%
Undecided18%12%23%38%17%3%12%26%9%18%**12%**35%12%11%35%--13%25%**4%20%18%****14%18%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%
Composition of Republicans100%50%50%21%33%17%29%54%46%90%1%5%4%24%76%77%19%45%52%71%23%3%10%86%100%0%0%26%25%49%
 
 
17Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind?
139 Voters Who Are Not UndecidedAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 8.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Mind Is Made Up45%54%35%56%37%44%49%43%47%45%**36%**21%51%51%21%100%0%50%31%**54%43%45%****50%32%50%
Might Change Your Mind52%45%60%44%60%56%46%55%50%52%**64%**74%47%49%79%0%100%50%57%**38%56%52%****49%68%46%
Not Sure2%1%4%0%3%0%5%2%3%3%**0%**5%2%0%0%0%0%0%12%**9%0%2%****1%0%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%
Composition of Voters Who Are Not Undecided100%54%46%16%33%20%31%49%51%91%1%5%3%19%81%82%14%45%52%75%21%2%12%84%100%0%0%27%25%48%
 
 
18Which Republican has the best chance to beat Barack Obama in the 2012 general election? (candidate names rotated)
165 RepublicansAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanGov: Mind Made UCaucus: Mind MadIdeologyTea Party MemberParty AffiliationRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 7.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineMade UpMight ChMade UpMight ChConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependWestern Eastern Metro Se
Romney39%42%36%37%35%40%45%36%43%41%**0%**34%41%41%45%44%42%45%21%**39%40%39%****42%22%46%
Santorum10%10%9%4%15%16%4%11%8%10%**8%**2%12%8%20%8%14%8%14%**11%10%10%****14%12%6%
Paul5%9%1%14%7%1%0%10%0%5%**9%**8%5%4%4%10%3%6%5%**2%6%5%****6%7%4%
Gingrich14%18%8%8%1%22%25%4%24%14%**18%**2%17%15%13%16%13%16%3%**15%13%14%****11%10%16%
Perry3%0%5%1%6%0%1%4%1%3%**0%**0%3%4%0%4%2%2%0%**0%3%3%****6%0%2%
Huntsman3%3%4%3%1%8%3%2%5%2%**5%**2%4%4%0%5%3%3%6%**13%2%3%****1%5%4%
Not Sure27%17%37%32%35%13%22%34%19%25%**60%**52%19%24%18%13%24%20%51%**21%26%27%****20%45%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%
Composition of Republicans100%51%49%22%31%17%29%53%47%91%1%5%4%25%75%77%19%46%52%70%23%3%10%86%100%0%0%27%25%49%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.