| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14430 |
| Women Given Obama The Edge in Maine:
In an election for President of the United States in Maine today, 09/24/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 49% to 44%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCSH-TV Portland and WLBZ-TV Bangor.
Obama's lead comes entirely from women. The candidates are effectively tied among men. McCain runs strong among gun owners, Pro-Life voters, those who say the United States is still a Super Power, and those who attend religious services regularly. Obama runs strong among college graduates, among lower-income voters, among Pro-Choice voters, and among voters who almost never attend religious services. Obama carries by 5 points both Southern Maine -- which corresponds to Maine's 1st congressional district -- and Northern Maine -- which corresponds to Maine's 2nd congressional district. This means that in an election today, Obama would pick-up all 4 of the state's Electoral College votes. Absentee ballots became available in Maine during the course of the field period for this poll. 7% of Maine voters say they have already voted. Obama leads both among those who have already voted, and among those who have not yet voted. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Maine adults 09/22/08 through 09/23/08. Of the adults, 820 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 675 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Maine has 4 Electoral College votes. Maine's 4 electoral votes are allocated proportionally; the winner of each congressional district receives 1 electoral vote, and the statewide winner receives the other 2 votes. Maine has has this system since 1972, but it has never been used; no candidate has ever won the state of Maine without carrying both congressional districts. John Kerry carried Maine by 9 points in 2004; Al Gore carried Maine by 5 points in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 675 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Actual V | Likely V | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | South | North | |
| McCain (R) | 44% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 45% | 43% | 46% | 49% | 40% | 44% | ** | ** | ** | 80% | 12% | 44% | 81% | 39% | 7% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 45% | 51% | 48% | 34% | 65% | 31% | 39% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 44% | 41% | 44% | 44% | 50% | 23% | 53% | 32% | 43% | 44% |
| Obama (D) | 49% | 46% | 51% | 37% | 51% | 56% | 48% | 46% | 52% | 44% | 45% | 55% | 49% | ** | ** | ** | 16% | 84% | 49% | 15% | 54% | 90% | 53% | 48% | 53% | 45% | 38% | 47% | 59% | 22% | 66% | 51% | 47% | 49% | 50% | 48% | 54% | 49% | 48% | 43% | 72% | 41% | 59% | 48% | 49% |
| Other | 4% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Undecided | 3% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 21% | 32% | 27% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 47% | 10% | 43% | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 34% | 35% | 28% | 27% | 40% | 15% | 7% | 93% | 47% | 53% | 31% | 30% | 39% | 37% | 60% | 43% | 57% | 69% | 24% | 82% | 18% | 32% | 68% | 77% | 18% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 46% |