Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20826
 
Kansas Republican Governor Brownback in Trouble; Challenger Davis Narrowly Ahead, One Year till Election Day:

Sam Brownback, who has served in Kansas as a Congressman, U.S. Senator, and now Governor, is in danger of being unseated after one term, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KWCH-TV in Wichita. Today, the Democratic ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking edges the Republican ticket of Brownback and Jeff Colyer, 43% to 39%.

Of those who voted for Brownback when he ran for Governor in 2010, just 59% stick with him in 2014, and 25% defect to the Democrats. Though today Brownback leads 2:1 among Republicans, he trails 11:1 among Democrats. Independents split. Northeast and Southeast Kansas both favor the Democratic ticket; Western Kansas favors the Republican ticket.

Of those voting for Brownback today, 65% say their mind is made up, compared to 29% who say they may change their mind. Of those voting for Davis today, 69% say their mind is made up, compared to 26% who say they may change their mind.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of Kansas adults 10/23/13 and 10/24/14. Of the adults, 511 were registered to vote and were asked the questions in the survey. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (76% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
1Kansas will elect a Governor in November 2014. If the election for Kansas Governor were today, which ticket would you vote for? The Republican ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer? The Democratic ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking? Or a third party ticket?
511 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyTop Issue2014 Vote2010 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalEconomy EducatioCrimeOtherBrownbacDavis/DoThird PaBrownbacHolland/High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Brownback/Colyer (R)39%40%38%43%35%34%45%39%38%40%21%24%**42%38%59%8%36%62%28%10%46%14%46%43%100%0%0%59%4%43%42%35%37%36%41%39%31%53%
Davis/Docking (D)43%41%46%38%42%50%45%40%48%41%65%71%**39%45%24%87%33%18%58%81%37%75%33%29%0%100%0%25%89%33%44%47%45%43%46%44%49%30%
Third Party Ticket12%14%10%11%16%12%9%13%10%13%13%0%**8%13%12%4%20%14%10%4%9%9%18%26%0%0%100%11%5%13%8%13%11%15%8%11%13%13%
Undecided6%6%6%9%7%5%2%8%4%6%0%6%**11%4%5%2%11%6%5%5%7%2%4%1%0%0%0%6%1%11%5%4%7%6%5%6%7%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%27%26%27%20%53%47%84%5%6%4%24%76%47%28%24%41%42%13%58%21%8%10%39%43%12%52%24%19%35%45%28%38%34%53%31%15%
 
 
2Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind?
481 Who Vote For a TicketAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyTop Issue2014 Vote2010 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalEconomy EducatioCrimeOtherBrownbacDavis/DoThird PaBrownbacHolland/High SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Mind Is Made Up62%63%61%56%60%67%65%58%66%59%72%94%**49%66%62%73%49%64%57%77%61%66%65%59%65%69%28%61%75%66%62%60%62%56%69%61%63%66%
Might Change Your Mind33%34%32%43%30%30%27%37%29%37%5%3%**44%29%33%22%46%31%36%21%34%34%26%29%29%26%69%35%20%32%31%35%29%39%29%32%35%33%
Not Sure5%3%7%1%9%4%7%5%5%4%24%2%**8%4%5%6%5%5%7%2%5%1%9%11%6%5%3%4%4%2%7%5%9%5%3%8%3%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Who Vote For a Ticket100%49%51%26%25%28%21%51%49%84%6%6%4%23%77%48%29%23%41%43%13%57%21%9%11%41%46%13%52%25%18%36%46%28%38%34%53%31%16%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.