Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22817

In CA, 47% of Registered Voters and 15% of Likely GOP Primary Voters Have 'Extremely Negative' View of Trump; Still He Leads Cruz Narrowly; Clinton Atop Sanders in Democrat Primary; Harris & Sanchez Likely To Advance for Boxer's Seat; CA's Vital 55 Electoral Votes Stay Blue in 2016: Extremely unscripted Donald Trump is viewed extremely unfavorably by half of California's registered voters and by 15% of Republicans most likely to vote in the state's 06/07/16 GOP Primary, according to research just completed by SurveyUSA for television stations KABC in Los Angeles, KPIX in San Francisco, KGTV in San Diego, and KFSN in Fresno. 71% of CA women and 75% of CA Latinos view Trump negatively today. But even with this anchor tied to his foot, Trump at this hour continues to lead Ted Cruz, though narrowly, among likely Republican primary voters. Today, it's Trump 40%, Cruz 32%, John Kasich 17%. Trump still leads among women, though his comments about women, and his staff's treatment of women, were in the news during the field period for this survey. Among moderates, Kasich and Trump run effectively even in the GOP Primary, 35% for Trump to 34% for Kasich, with Cruz at 10%. Among those who say they are "somewhat conservative," Cruz leads Trump 44% to 38%. But among those who are "very conservative," Trump leads Cruz 45% to 38%. Among primary voters with an "extremely positive" view of Trump, Trump defeats Cruz 8:1. Among those who are "neutral" on Trump, Cruz leads Trump 4:3. And among those who have an "extremely negative" view of Trump, Cruz defeats Trump 10:1. The contest is fluid; much could change between now and 06/07/16. To win all 172 of California's delegates to the Republican National Convention, Trump, Cruz, or Kasich would need to carry every one of CA's 53 Congressional Districts. In the Democratic presidential primary today, it's Hillary Clinton 53%, Bernie Sanders 39%. Clinton wins the white vote by 6 points, 48% to 42%, and wins the African American vote 3:1. Sanders edges Clinton among single Democratic primary voters; Clinton leads decisively among married voters. In the open, non-partisan, "Top 2" primary for United States Senator, to fill the seat that will become open when Democrat Barbara Boxer retires at year-end, Democrat Kamala Harris, the Attorney General of the State of California, and Democrat Loretta Sanchez, a Congresswoman from California's 46th Congressional District, top 3 other challengers and are likely to advance to the 11/08/16 general election. Republican Phil Wyman and Republican Tom Del Beccaro today tie for 3rd place at 8%, and Republican Duf Sundheim trails at 5%. Among voters who tell SurveyUSA they "always" vote in "every" California primary, and who therefore are the most reliable voters, Harris leads Sanchez today by 11 points, 30% to 19%. A smaller turnout might increase the size of Harris' primary margin and a larger turnout might narrow the gap between the Top 2 primary finishers, but in any turnout scenario, at this hour, 2 Democrats advance to the general, and Boxer's seat stays Blue. In hypothetical November head-to-head presidential match-ups today: * Hillary Clinton defeats Donald Trump by 34 points, 60% to 26%. * Hillary Clinton defeats Ted Cruz by 25 points, 57% to 32%. * Hillary Clinton defeats John Kasich 23 points, 56% to 33%. * Bernie Sanders defeats Donald Trump by 39 points, 63% to 24%. * Bernie Sanders defeats Ted Cruz by 35 points, 61% to 26%. * Bernie Sanders defeats John Kasich by 29 points, 57% to 28%. Registered voters from all parties were asked, regardless for whom they may vote, which candidate for President would they want sitting in the Oval Office if there were a major terrorist attack on the United States today: 37% say Clinton, 21% say Sanders, 15% say Trump, 9% say Cruz, 5% say Kasich. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 state of California adults 03/30/16 through 04/03/16. Of the adults, 1,991 were registered to vote in the state of California. Of the CA registered voters, 356 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Republican Presidential primary, 767 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Democratic Presidential primary, 1,269 were determined to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 open, non-partisan U.S. Senate primary, and 1,507 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (58% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (42% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried CA by 24 points in 2008 and by 23 points in 2012.

Primary voters will be asked to vote for a candidate for United States Senator. If you were filling out your ballot in the United States Senate primary now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Tom Del Beccaro? Republican Duf Sundheim? Republican Phil Wyman? Democrat Kamala Harris? Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Or one of the other candidates?

1269 Likely Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Del Beccaro (R)	99	53	46	19	30	27	23	48	51	56	1	35	7	22	42	19	5	7	4	0	22	45	22	5	4	20	38	19	18	6	29	68	23	61	37	61	27	40	31	12	38	47	22	45	32	42	57	27	51	14	8	59	32	8
Sundheim (R)	62	38	23	16	5	11	29	21	40	44	0	16	1	12	21	14	13	0	1	0	9	34	17	1	0	17	16	10	6	13	7	54	11	29	18	44	9	19	34	8	26	27	25	18	17	13	48	15	20	25	2	52	8	1
Wyman (R)	102	64	38	27	21	37	17	48	54	61	0	36	5	19	31	40	7	0	3	1	19	33	47	0	0	11	25	19	27	16	16	85	25	73	45	56	23	46	32	6	41	53	11	26	64	24	78	12	45	22	22	60	31	11
Harris (D)	324	144	180	47	84	119	74	131	193	186	48	52	37	3	7	16	26	36	153	79	22	30	104	84	75	18	22	25	36	222	80	239	135	170	71	247	171	81	67	36	100	183	76	107	132	117	207	51	104	43	125	228	71	25
Sanchez (D	282	131	151	71	91	79	41	162	120	84	12	143	43	3	2	17	19	32	128	73	10	29	119	55	58	4	3	8	36	228	65	209	106	144	90	184	89	129	58	71	102	103	95	81	100	103	179	34	140	62	45	141	118	22
Other	92	53	38	23	11	25	33	34	57	54	3	25	10	5	18	11	13	22	13	5	17	15	28	18	7	15	13	10	11	37	10	74	45	32	17	70	24	34	33	20	31	39	35	26	28	22	70	44	19	13	16	38	26	25
Undecided	309	170	139	116	74	65	54	191	118	179	17	77	35	11	72	53	49	56	41	15	17	77	141	40	16	16	37	69	71	111	61	233	132	146	88	214	104	116	82	55	134	109	75	110	109	149	159	111	75	69	54	178	92	38
Total	1269	654	615	319	316	363	270	635	634	664	81	384	139	75	193	170	133	153	343	173	117	262	479	204	161	101	154	159	206	633	269	962	477	654	366	876	447	464	337	209	472	562	338	413	482	470	798	295	454	248	272	757	378	131
Composition of Likely Primary Voters	100%	52%	48%	25%	25%	29%	21%	50%	50%	52%	6%	30%	11%	6%	15%	13%	11%	12%	27%	14%	9%	21%	38%	16%	13%	8%	12%	13%	16%	50%	21%	77%	38%	52%	29%	70%	36%	37%	27%	17%	38%	45%	27%	33%	39%	37%	63%	23%	36%	20%	21%	60%	30%	10%

If you were filling out your Republican primary ballot for President of the United States right now, who would you vote for in the Republican primary? (candidate names rotated) Donald Trump? Ted Cruz? or John Kasich?

356 Likely GOP Presidential Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Donald Trump	141	76	65	15	32	57	38	46	95	107	5	18	12	33	58	39	7	2	0	0	30	65	38	3	3	50	67	19	2	3	31	109	42	87	41	98	50	57	32	21	54	63	37	38	61	30	111	37	58	29	17	89	43	9
Ted Cruz	113	59	54	29	25	24	35	53	59	77	3	28	5	23	56	27	5	2	0	0	26	75	11	1	0	6	25	26	26	28	23	89	27	66	27	85	21	26	65	6	62	44	25	45	41	39	74	24	40	41	7	68	28	16
John Kasich	61	27	34	27	15	9	10	42	19	38	1	17	4	7	17	34	1	1	1	0	6	18	36	1	0	0	6	9	30	13	6	54	11	45	26	34	5	31	23	3	14	44	2	9	48	27	34	17	16	8	21	44	17	1
Undecided	41	21	20	9	9	19	5	18	23	38	0	3	1	1	27	13	1	0	0	0	6	13	22	0	1	0	2	10	17	10	18	20	5	31	13	29	15	8	18	6	16	19	7	13	22	21	20	17	5	17	3	41	1	0
Total	356	184	173	79	81	109	87	160	197	260	9	65	22	63	158	114	14	5	1	1	67	171	106	5	4	57	101	64	75	53	78	272	85	228	107	246	92	122	139	36	146	170	71	105	173	118	239	95	119	95	48	242	89	26
Composition of Likely GOP Presidential Primary Voters	100%	51%	49%	22%	23%	31%	25%	45%	55%	73%	3%	18%	6%	18%	44%	32%	4%	2%	0%	0%	19%	48%	30%	1%	1%	16%	28%	18%	21%	15%	22%	77%	24%	65%	30%	70%	26%	35%	39%	10%	42%	48%	20%	30%	49%	33%	67%	27%	33%	27%	13%	68%	25%	7%

If you were filling out your Democratic Primary ballot for President of the United States right now, who would you vote for in the Democratic Primary? (candidate names rotated) Hillary Clinton? or Bernie Sanders?

767 Likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Hillary Clinton	405	194	211	74	86	148	96	161	245	166	40	142	58	4	0	2	22	43	218	114	21	53	167	68	86	6	15	29	59	293	94	304	153	219	90	310	146	162	88	90	135	170	108	146	140	109	297	86	141	83	95	262	110	33
Bernie Sanders	298	163	134	104	100	53	41	204	94	145	13	114	26	4	12	20	20	74	105	47	8	18	109	101	54	23	18	20	33	203	74	217	160	119	102	188	129	119	47	46	104	144	91	84	117	157	141	42	144	34	78	128	113	56
Undecided	64	24	40	6	12	28	18	18	46	35	10	14	5	1	1	4	19	11	18	7	8	1	35	4	7	2	6	17	17	22	15	45	22	31	12	48	28	14	19	16	33	12	25	15	20	25	39	23	8	10	23	42	21	0
Total	767	382	385	184	198	229	155	382	384	346	63	269	88	9	13	26	60	128	341	168	37	72	311	173	146	31	38	66	109	518	184	566	335	369	204	546	303	295	154	153	272	325	224	245	277	290	476	151	293	128	195	432	244	90
Composition of Likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	26%	30%	20%	50%	50%	45%	8%	35%	12%	1%	2%	3%	8%	17%	45%	22%	5%	9%	41%	23%	19%	4%	5%	9%	14%	68%	24%	75%	44%	49%	27%	72%	40%	39%	20%	20%	36%	43%	30%	33%	37%	38%	62%	20%	38%	17%	26%	56%	32%	12%

If the November general election for President of the United States were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Donald Trump (R)	390	226	163	62	112	110	106	174	216	262	9	88	31	59	149	121	24	12	15	3	59	169	132	16	3	91	138	95	42	20	80	297	111	223	135	247	90	146	148	65	157	158	90	123	160	108	282	105	173	79	33	217	127	45
Hillary Clinton (D)	907	392	515	227	249	283	149	475	431	388	67	330	122	9	22	49	104	147	376	167	50	90	386	194	157	6	24	46	180	635	210	680	343	478	299	597	375	315	205	179	288	426	245	281	364	337	570	163	285	209	251	462	316	118
Undecided	210	122	88	60	52	60	38	112	98	111	10	53	35	9	57	31	33	30	22	10	27	43	76	27	18	0	14	71	64	54	24	173	79	101	53	152	78	51	78	45	98	64	51	98	58	105	105	42	91	32	45	103	75	22
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

What if the only two candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton ... who would you vote for?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Ted Cruz (R)	479	254	225	116	115	129	119	231	247	295	14	128	42	67	161	145	30	21	35	3	83	188	167	20	2	55	115	102	105	96	104	355	136	291	163	309	103	155	216	75	197	198	107	152	207	167	311	130	182	112	55	267	157	48
Hillary Clinton (D)	866	389	477	203	248	275	139	451	415	378	66	306	115	6	22	33	100	144	358	172	41	78	361	195	162	29	41	58	144	577	195	654	335	440	278	577	373	301	179	178	270	403	233	290	327	310	556	143	302	182	240	442	300	114
Undecided	163	98	64	30	50	48	35	79	83	87	6	38	31	4	45	23	30	24	20	6	11	36	66	22	15	13	20	53	37	36	15	139	62	72	46	110	66	57	36	35	76	47	46	60	48	72	91	36	66	26	34	74	63	23
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

And what if the only two candidates were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
John Kasich (R)	492	261	231	106	116	146	124	222	270	311	13	122	45	64	158	145	35	31	42	5	75	182	182	35	4	53	111	112	104	108	98	379	147	289	154	333	110	159	217	66	196	221	99	163	217	166	326	115	205	102	69	261	181	42
Hillary Clinton (D)	843	368	476	202	246	256	139	448	395	357	62	311	113	10	29	29	93	127	352	171	47	91	328	186	161	36	42	52	130	564	178	645	326	428	277	554	367	298	167	186	268	376	247	278	303	309	534	154	288	193	208	428	284	121
Undecided	172	112	60	41	50	50	31	91	81	93	10	38	30	4	41	27	32	31	19	5	13	29	84	16	13	7	23	49	54	37	38	124	60	86	56	109	65	55	47	37	79	51	40	61	62	74	98	40	56	25	52	93	54	22
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

7	Now, what if the only two names on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Donald Trump (R)	356	192	164	72	93	105	86	165	191	257	6	67	26	59	141	110	21	2	13	8	54	150	126	14	6	86	131	81	54	4	77	272	83	217	124	224	101	125	124	59	132	155	73	111	161	124	232	95	140	73	49	211	111	33
Bernie Sanders (D)	948	428	521	252	252	278	167	504	445	389	67	352	141	9	55	59	105	154	363	157	56	94	394	215	147	11	26	72	179	642	214	714	391	462	298	637	377	337	220	187	348	399	253	330	342	337	611	171	342	207	228	459	331	146
Undecided	202	121	81	25	67	69	41	92	110	114	14	52	22	9	32	31	35	33	37	15	25	58	75	8	25	0	19	60	53	63	23	163	59	123	65	134	64	50	87	43	64	94	60	61	79	87	115	43	67	40	52	112	78	6
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

8	What if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Ted Cruz (R)	392	201	191	92	97	105	98	189	202	255	9	97	31	65	140	129	19	5	20	4	79	157	142	4	2	58	95	75	86	76	63	315	102	239	121	265	96	114	179	61	155	169	86	117	180	143	249	103	152	86	51	230	128	27
Bernie Sanders (D)	921	439	482	246	251	267	158	496	425	390	70	327	134	7	42	43	107	173	355	159	48	98	353	222	164	20	54	78	176	587	227	678	373	449	314	594	386	335	187	181	323	402	245	306	348	346	575	148	344	201	228	430	337	143
Undecided	194	101	93	12	64	80	38	76	118	116	7	48	24	4	46	29	35	12	39	18	9	47	100	11	13	19	27	59	24	46	24	156	58	115	52	137	60	64	65	47	66	77	54	79	54	60	133	58	53	33	50	122	54	15
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

9	And what if it were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1507 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
John Kasich (R)	416	229	187	83	96	113	124	178	237	290	13	77	37	66	136	122	31	19	26	8	73	160	158	10	9	51	99	73	85	108	72	337	105	263	121	292	107	133	173	58	145	206	75	123	207	136	280	101	161	84	69	240	143	33
Bernie Sanders (D)	861	389	473	234	248	251	128	483	379	350	63	335	114	7	40	43	88	155	338	155	52	83	312	216	160	27	43	77	154	550	198	642	352	409	302	543	352	314	181	179	308	358	245	287	309	332	530	154	326	197	184	405	311	133
Undecided	229	123	107	32	68	88	42	100	129	121	10	60	38	5	52	35	42	15	50	17	10	59	124	11	10	20	34	63	48	51	44	169	76	131	64	161	83	66	78	51	91	84	65	92	67	82	148	53	63	38	75	137	66	19
Total	1507	741	766	349	412	452	293	761	745	761	86	471	189	77	228	201	161	189	414	180	135	302	594	237	178	97	176	213	287	709	314	1149	533	803	487	996	542	513	431	289	544	648	386	502	582	549	958	309	550	320	329	782	519	185
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	49%	51%	23%	27%	30%	19%	51%	49%	51%	6%	31%	13%	5%	15%	13%	11%	13%	28%	12%	9%	20%	40%	16%	12%	6%	12%	14%	19%	47%	21%	77%	36%	54%	33%	67%	36%	35%	29%	20%	37%	44%	26%	34%	40%	36%	64%	20%	36%	21%	22%	52%	34%	12%

Now, regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of Donald Trump ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative?

1991 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Extremely Positive	119	68	51	19	46	21	34	65	54	84	4	17	14	35	24	26	16	4	8	5	35	35	35	7	4	119	0	0	0	0	23	89	33	69	53	61	46	42	30	19	33	65	31	32	54	49	70	27	43	29	21	84	26	9
Positive	228	151	77	27	71	60	71	98	130	169	10	27	23	23	78	51	16	25	20	12	18	89	74	17	23	0	228	0	0	0	32	188	67	139	74	150	76	92	55	36	101	84	59	59	96	82	146	41	89	54	44	109	105	12
Neutral	295	159	135	67	78	110	41	144	150	163	14	75	43	13	73	75	42	13	58	6	19	93	127	30	4	0	0	295	0	0	59	228	87	162	87	200	87	111	93	70	120	96	86	122	76	111	184	71	115	43	65	132	129	31
Negative	385	193	192	145	98	90	52	243	142	181	29	106	70	6	66	74	52	40	115	22	41	69	186	59	16	0	0	0	385	0	88	283	170	182	138	245	145	123	112	71	148	160	112	114	151	188	197	76	115	104	89	140	162	69
Extremely Negative	927	402	524	301	253	235	137	554	373	339	53	388	146	14	38	63	118	176	312	165	34	95	346	215	185	0	0	0	0	927	171	734	429	418	263	642	377	318	210	146	319	439	286	306	310	392	535	185	349	178	215	399	319	166
No Opinion	37	15	22	10	5	15	7	15	22	9	7	13	8	1	8	0	5	0	4	0	3	0	13	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	29	19	11	4	32	6	19	12	24	8	4	17	12	7	6	31	5	14	6	12	8	17	2
Total	1991	989	1001	569	550	530	342	1119	871	945	116	626	303	92	287	289	250	258	518	210	151	383	780	334	233	119	228	295	385	927	376	1550	805	982	620	1330	737	706	511	366	730	849	592	646	694	827	1164	405	725	414	447	871	757	290
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	29%	28%	27%	17%	56%	44%	47%	6%	31%	15%	5%	14%	15%	13%	13%	26%	11%	8%	19%	39%	17%	12%	6%	11%	15%	19%	47%	19%	79%	41%	50%	32%	68%	38%	36%	26%	19%	38%	44%	31%	33%	36%	42%	58%	20%	36%	21%	22%	44%	38%	15%

Regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of Hillary Clinton ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative?

1991 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Extremely Positive	266	124	142	56	56	83	72	112	155	90	29	112	35	6	7	10	13	32	83	102	37	30	91	36	53	15	12	25	36	176	61	199	103	134	70	191	73	103	81	75	95	87	103	85	69	58	209	52	124	52	37	163	66	34
Positive	545	259	286	121	176	174	74	297	249	276	31	179	60	1	31	38	63	95	233	67	10	74	235	111	95	24	51	51	77	334	126	407	182	293	194	340	257	188	88	103	159	265	133	186	208	213	333	107	160	130	149	249	220	66
Neutral	472	205	267	200	150	70	51	350	122	161	31	170	110	7	63	68	89	67	125	23	20	46	231	98	49	17	38	97	115	195	79	379	226	216	150	313	175	215	79	62	209	198	154	160	152	267	205	80	147	80	165	161	211	89
Negative	304	160	144	89	78	90	48	167	138	143	5	100	56	13	60	62	39	51	55	16	21	69	109	72	17	6	29	56	76	137	49	238	126	139	91	206	105	87	105	56	118	123	94	103	94	144	160	57	127	83	37	121	95	58
Extremely Negative	366	227	139	92	83	97	93	176	190	263	10	62	31	64	120	111	30	13	16	2	59	163	110	13	7	57	98	66	76	67	59	299	143	196	111	251	109	104	150	57	144	158	90	111	155	120	246	101	158	67	40	168	147	44
No Opinion	36	13	23	11	7	15	3	18	18	11	10	3	12	0	5	1	15	0	6	0	4	0	4	5	12	0	0	0	4	17	1	29	25	3	5	30	19	8	8	12	6	17	18	1	16	25	11	7	8	3	18	9	17	0
Total	1991	989	1001	569	550	530	342	1119	871	945	116	626	303	92	287	289	250	258	518	210	151	383	780	334	233	119	228	295	385	927	376	1550	805	982	620	1330	737	706	511	366	730	849	592	646	694	827	1164	405	725	414	447	871	757	290
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	29%	28%	27%	17%	56%	44%	47%	6%	31%	15%	5%	14%	15%	13%	13%	26%	11%	8%	19%	39%	17%	12%	6%	11%	15%	19%	47%	19%	79%	41%	50%	32%	68%	38%	36%	26%	19%	38%	44%	31%	33%	36%	42%	58%	20%	36%	21%	22%	44%	38%	15%

12	Regardless of who you may vote for, if there were a major terrorist attack on United States soil today, which of these 5 candidates for President would you want sitting in the Oval office? Hillary Clinton? Ted Cruz? John Kasich? Bernie Sanders? Or Donald Trump?

1991 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation							Ideology					Trump Opinion					Union HH		Marital Status		Child < 18		Attend Church			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region				Vote in CA Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Extremel	Positive	Neutral	Negative	Extremel	Yes	No	Single	Married	Yes	No	Never	Occasion	Regularl	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area	Always	Sometime	1st Time
Clinton	743	353	390	180	208	218	137	388	355	320	63	248	112	7	35	45	62	116	307	142	38	95	298	147	121	12	40	75	120	480	180	548	244	434	237	487	311	275	137	141	241	334	202	226	287	253	489	109	266	163	204	345	295	90
Cruz	187	101	86	40	50	51	46	90	97	93	17	63	14	29	60	59	13	6	10	6	39	92	43	5	3	9	40	26	55	57	19	165	58	111	48	135	30	52	103	31	79	75	64	48	71	47	140	25	88	54	20	86	83	9
Kasich	92	63	29	21	18	29	23	39	52	74	1	10	7	5	18	37	9	12	10	0	1	26	48	11	3	4	10	21	22	35	12	78	32	53	20	71	29	27	34	2	30	56	11	29	47	31	60	29	33	12	18	35	47	10
Sanders	421	185	236	204	108	70	38	312	109	141	17	188	75	4	21	15	83	100	122	50	17	20	167	119	69	8	6	13	98	291	71	338	273	109	127	288	177	148	89	80	153	182	168	139	104	252	169	95	155	77	94	167	102	125
Trump	302	187	115	46	78	98	79	124	178	208	5	53	36	47	105	96	34	6	10	2	46	106	119	23	0	86	125	75	10	3	64	225	85	165	95	201	88	129	80	56	121	119	79	94	118	88	214	83	114	57	48	157	108	35
Not Sure	247	101	145	79	87	64	17	166	81	109	13	65	61	0	48	38	49	17	59	11	10	43	106	29	35	0	7	85	82	61	31	197	112	111	93	149	103	75	68	57	107	83	69	109	67	156	91	62	69	52	64	81	122	22
Total	1991	989	1001	569	550	530	342	1119	871	945	116	626	303	92	287	289	250	258	518	210	151	383	780	334	233	119	228	295	385	927	376	1550	805	982	620	1330	737	706	511	366	730	849	592	646	694	827	1164	405	725	414	447	871	757	290
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	29%	28%	27%	17%	56%	44%	47%	6%	31%	15%	5%	14%	15%	13%	13%	26%	11%	8%	19%	39%	17%	12%	6%	11%	15%	19%	47%	19%	79%	41%	50%	32%	68%	38%	36%	26%	19%	38%	44%	31%	33%	36%	42%	58%	20%	36%	21%	22%	44%	38%	15%