| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17020 |
| In WA-02, Independents Give Early Slight Advantage to Republican Koster Over Larsen: In an election for US House of Representatives in Washington's 2nd Congressional District today, 09/03/10, Republican challenger John Koster is in a tight fight with incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, according to this latest exclusive KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. 2 months until votes are counted, it's Koster 50%, Larsen 46%, with partisan voters canceling each other out and Independents, who break 4:3 Republican, accounting for all of Koster's narrow advantage. Older, more reliable voters split. Younger voters break Republican. |
| Filtering: 800 registered voters from Washington's 2nd Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/02/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 612 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If you were filling out your ballot in the election for U.S. House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? Republican John Koster? Or Democrat Rick Larsen? |
| 612 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| John Koster (R) | 50% | 54% | 46% | 59% | 54% | 46% | 47% | 56% | 46% | 49% | ** | ** | 54% | 90% | 10% | 53% | 86% | 35% | 11% | 89% | 9% | 51% | 27% | 50% | 49% | 65% | 46% | 36% | 74% | 30% | 55% | 41% | 45% | 52% |
| Rick Larsen (D) | 46% | 43% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 50% | 49% | 40% | 50% | 47% | ** | ** | 35% | 10% | 87% | 41% | 12% | 61% | 88% | 9% | 89% | 44% | 56% | 46% | 47% | 33% | 49% | 59% | 23% | 66% | 41% | 56% | 51% | 45% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 12% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 13% | 25% | 38% | 24% | 37% | 63% | 89% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 31% | 32% | 34% | 38% | 39% | 18% | 37% | 32% | 22% | 8% | 51% | 49% | 38% | 24% | 38% | 44% | 53% | 53% | 43% | 35% | 65% |