Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22863 |
Top 3 CA Primary Contests Not Close At This Hour --- Democrats Harris, Sanchez Likely to Advance to Runoff In Fight for Boxer's Senate Seat; Clinton Now 3:2 Atop Sanders; Cruz and Kasich No Longer Competitive, Though Congressional-District Delegate-Math Does Matter to Trump: 5 weeks till votes are counted in the 06/07/16 California primary, a majority of Republicans are resigned to vote for unpopular Donald Trump, a majority of Democrats are resigned to vote for unpopular Hillary Clinton, and 2 Democrats are poised to advance to the 11/08/16 U.S. Senate general election, which gives Republicans little chance to pick up Barbara Boxer's seat, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV in San Francisco, KGTV-TV in San Diego and KFSN-TV in Fresno. Today, it's Trump 54%, Ted Cruz 20%, John Kasich 16%. One month ago, at the height of what some saw as Trump's inevitable self-destruction, a Los Angeles Times Poll found Trump just 1 point ahead of Cruz. Since then, polls have shown Trump's lead expanding to 7 points, then 8, then 18, then 27 points and now, today 05/02/16, 34 points. Whatever chance Cruz or Kasich may once have had to cramp Trump is gone. The only suspense that remains is whether Trump will collect all 172 of the Golden State's Republican National Convention delegates, which Trump would do if he wins each of California's 53 U.S. Congressional Districts. Each convention delegate is precious at this hour, as Trump tries to secure a 1st-ballot nomination and avoid the chaos that would come with a Cleveland floor-fight. Should Cruz and Kasich supporters see the California primary outcome as a foregone conclusion, and fail to turn out, Trump may succeed at capturing all 172. Or, if confident Trump backers sense they have the contest in hand and fail to turn out on 06/07/16, Trump and his delegate man Paul Manafort may allow the deal to go unsealed. Today, it's Clinton 57%, Bernie Sanders 38%. No recent poll has shown Clinton with this large of a lead in California, but this is the first California poll to be conducted after Sanders laid off 225 paid campaign workers and after 4 losses on 04/26/16, the day before interviewing began for this study. Clinton's 1st-ballot nomination is much more secure than is Trump's, and when the East Coast wakes up on Wednesday 06/08/16 to see how much Sanders lost by in California, Clinton will have just 46 days to turn Bernie backers from "November-stay-at-homes" into enthusiastic Clinton supporters before Democrats gather in Philadelphia. Of significance: * 51% of registered voters and 88% of "Strong Democrats" have an "extremely negative" view of Trump. 14% of registered voters and 45% of "Strong Republicans" have an "extremely positive" view of Trump * 28% of registered voters and 69% of "Strong Republicans" have an "extremely negative" view of Clinton. 16% of registered voters and 51% of "Strong Democrats" have an "extremely positive" view of Clinton. * By contrast, just 9% of registered voters have an "extremely negative" view of Kasich; 28% of registered voters have an "extremely negative" view of Cruz. In the open, non-partisan, Top-2 primary for United States Senator, Republicans Tom Del Beccaro, Ron Unz and Duf Sundheim split conservative voters, paving the way for Democrats Kamala Harris and Loretta Sanchez to finish 1 and 2, and advance to an 11/08/16 runoff. Harris gets 29% today, Sanchez 18%. Harris gets 32% of the white vote, 58% of the black vote, 19% of the Latino vote and 29% of the Asian vote. Sanchez gets 11% of the white vote, 18% of the black vote, 36% of the Latino vote and 9% of the Asian vote. Del Beccaro at 10%, Unz at 8% or Sundheim at 7% could overtake Sanchez if Latinos vote in smaller numbers than here shown. A best-case scenario for the 3 Republican Senate candidates had been that the outcome of the Democratic presidential primary was a foregone conclusion (suppressing Democratic turnout statewide), but that the Republican presidential primary would be white hot (boosting Republican turnout statewide). But that seems unlikely, even with Cruz picking Californian Carly Fiorina to be his running mate and even with Kasich continuing to be the least polarizing option. Harris' support is older, which in a primary often translates to be "more reliable." Sanchez' support is younger. Harris runs 1st in all 4 regions of the state; she leads Sanchez and Del Beccaro by 35 points in the Bay Area, leads Sanchez by 9 points in the Central Valley, leads Sanchez by 3 points in greater Los Angeles, and leads Sanchez by a nominal 1 point in the Inland Empire. Among very conservative voters, Del Beccaro leads with 21%, followed by Sundheim at 17% and Unz at 14%. Among very liberal voters, Harris leads with 57% to Sanchez' 24%. Harris runs ever-so-slightly stronger among women than men, and Unz's support is twice as strong among men as women, but otherwise, there are no gender gaps to note. In hypothetical head-to-head match-ups today for the 11/08/16 general election for President: * Clinton defeats Donald Trump 56% to 34%. * Clinton defeats Cruz 57% to 29%. * Clinton defeats Kasich 53% to 34%. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 state of California adults 04/27/16 through 04/30/16. All interviews were conducted after results of the 04/26/16 primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island were known. Of the adults, 2,011 were registered to vote in the state of California. Of the CA registered voters, 529 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Republican Presidential primary, 826 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Democratic Presidential primary, 1,502 were determined to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 open, non-partisan U.S. Senate primary, and 1,683 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (61% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (39% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried CA by 24 points in 2008 and by 23 points in 2012. |
1502 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Del Beccaro (R) | 145 | 84 | 60 | 35 | 38 | 46 | 26 | 73 | 72 | 85 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 42 | 52 | 30 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 42 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 107 | 27 | 10 | 90 | 28 | 5 | 131 | 35 | 103 | 43 | 92 | 54 | 88 | 32 | 51 | 54 | 21 | 45 | 70 | 27 | 39 | 67 | 42 | 103 | 39 | 49 | 29 | 28 | 98 | 36 | 11 |
Sundheim (R) | 98 | 55 | 43 | 23 | 21 | 29 | 25 | 44 | 54 | 60 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 35 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 39 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 68 | 25 | 1 | 62 | 24 | 8 | 81 | 27 | 66 | 31 | 58 | 23 | 71 | 25 | 35 | 35 | 20 | 32 | 42 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 17 | 81 | 20 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 54 | 27 | 15 |
Unz (R) | 122 | 85 | 36 | 36 | 21 | 46 | 19 | 58 | 64 | 55 | 3 | 43 | 21 | 28 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 31 | 44 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 93 | 25 | 4 | 75 | 37 | 15 | 98 | 41 | 77 | 35 | 84 | 39 | 82 | 42 | 45 | 35 | 13 | 45 | 63 | 21 | 36 | 63 | 36 | 85 | 29 | 53 | 24 | 16 | 83 | 28 | 11 |
Harris (D) | 442 | 206 | 236 | 59 | 127 | 151 | 105 | 186 | 256 | 240 | 54 | 82 | 65 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 85 | 132 | 147 | 24 | 42 | 122 | 121 | 119 | 287 | 128 | 14 | 41 | 378 | 314 | 70 | 98 | 328 | 168 | 230 | 108 | 317 | 215 | 114 | 94 | 43 | 149 | 228 | 95 | 125 | 193 | 123 | 319 | 69 | 168 | 66 | 139 | 290 | 104 | 43 |
Sanchez (D | 278 | 133 | 144 | 81 | 88 | 62 | 46 | 169 | 108 | 84 | 17 | 158 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 52 | 97 | 79 | 17 | 33 | 106 | 60 | 50 | 167 | 90 | 18 | 26 | 226 | 205 | 35 | 73 | 198 | 116 | 144 | 119 | 154 | 106 | 103 | 60 | 30 | 133 | 107 | 77 | 90 | 101 | 93 | 185 | 40 | 146 | 64 | 28 | 172 | 78 | 26 |
Other | 93 | 40 | 53 | 30 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 41 | 52 | 54 | 6 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 27 | 11 | 18 | 50 | 38 | 4 | 28 | 57 | 28 | 48 | 15 | 71 | 45 | 38 | 21 | 71 | 39 | 18 | 33 | 12 | 47 | 32 | 36 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 69 | 30 | 33 | 10 | 20 | 66 | 15 | 12 |
Undecided | 325 | 136 | 189 | 91 | 91 | 94 | 49 | 182 | 143 | 173 | 9 | 65 | 79 | 47 | 70 | 62 | 31 | 35 | 47 | 19 | 55 | 81 | 108 | 43 | 18 | 166 | 133 | 15 | 91 | 173 | 86 | 167 | 74 | 237 | 107 | 190 | 109 | 209 | 108 | 98 | 115 | 59 | 112 | 147 | 100 | 92 | 120 | 171 | 154 | 89 | 88 | 78 | 71 | 208 | 71 | 45 |
Total | 1502 | 741 | 762 | 355 | 399 | 455 | 294 | 754 | 749 | 752 | 93 | 432 | 226 | 164 | 224 | 193 | 122 | 195 | 302 | 262 | 225 | 286 | 480 | 248 | 208 | 939 | 466 | 64 | 412 | 924 | 660 | 630 | 363 | 1080 | 546 | 835 | 474 | 991 | 567 | 465 | 425 | 198 | 563 | 688 | 368 | 429 | 632 | 506 | 997 | 316 | 573 | 300 | 313 | 970 | 358 | 162 |
Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 6% | 29% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 32% | 17% | 14% | 63% | 31% | 4% | 27% | 62% | 44% | 42% | 24% | 73% | 37% | 57% | 32% | 67% | 39% | 32% | 29% | 14% | 39% | 47% | 26% | 30% | 44% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 65% | 24% | 11% |
529 Likely GOP Presidential Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Donald Trump | 285 | 174 | 111 | 52 | 64 | 98 | 71 | 116 | 170 | 179 | 5 | 67 | 35 | 89 | 123 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 106 | 79 | 8 | 0 | 221 | 56 | 5 | 262 | 5 | 10 | 260 | 63 | 213 | 89 | 176 | 76 | 203 | 77 | 109 | 90 | 49 | 102 | 125 | 52 | 72 | 147 | 66 | 219 | 68 | 110 | 75 | 33 | 187 | 71 | 27 |
Ted Cruz | 108 | 52 | 56 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 14 | 58 | 50 | 54 | 2 | 35 | 17 | 33 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 39 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 66 | 37 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 14 | 87 | 28 | 77 | 40 | 65 | 53 | 55 | 18 | 32 | 54 | 12 | 46 | 47 | 28 | 31 | 44 | 48 | 60 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 78 | 22 | 8 |
John Kasich | 82 | 38 | 44 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 26 | 23 | 60 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 26 | 35 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 49 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 29 | 44 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 57 | 20 | 59 | 39 | 15 | 23 | 6 | 21 | 51 | 12 | 14 | 49 | 27 | 55 | 12 | 27 | 17 | 26 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Undecided | 53 | 25 | 28 | 6 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 22 | 28 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 12 | 30 | 14 | 36 | 13 | 34 | 18 | 35 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 7 | 6 |
Total | 529 | 289 | 240 | 92 | 136 | 178 | 123 | 228 | 301 | 313 | 10 | 126 | 80 | 139 | 216 | 126 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 156 | 186 | 148 | 19 | 3 | 359 | 139 | 20 | 292 | 167 | 65 | 420 | 120 | 391 | 159 | 332 | 167 | 351 | 143 | 173 | 195 | 70 | 194 | 246 | 114 | 132 | 255 | 170 | 359 | 141 | 182 | 122 | 84 | 373 | 114 | 41 |
Composition of Likely GOP Presidential Primary Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 17% | 26% | 34% | 23% | 43% | 57% | 59% | 2% | 24% | 15% | 26% | 41% | 24% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 30% | 35% | 28% | 4% | 0% | 69% | 27% | 4% | 55% | 32% | 12% | 79% | 23% | 75% | 31% | 64% | 32% | 68% | 28% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 38% | 48% | 23% | 26% | 51% | 32% | 68% | 27% | 34% | 23% | 16% | 71% | 22% | 8% |
826 Likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Hillary Clinton | 468 | 206 | 262 | 73 | 127 | 156 | 112 | 200 | 268 | 228 | 44 | 158 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 69 | 185 | 190 | 30 | 40 | 149 | 134 | 96 | 305 | 128 | 28 | 21 | 419 | 442 | 10 | 107 | 345 | 202 | 229 | 120 | 340 | 183 | 154 | 118 | 56 | 173 | 223 | 116 | 132 | 202 | 124 | 344 | 70 | 189 | 83 | 126 | 312 | 117 | 32 |
Bernie Sanders | 312 | 165 | 147 | 122 | 85 | 75 | 29 | 207 | 105 | 133 | 25 | 94 | 60 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 80 | 103 | 62 | 11 | 32 | 99 | 65 | 96 | 173 | 121 | 7 | 35 | 250 | 97 | 116 | 81 | 210 | 121 | 164 | 103 | 192 | 164 | 76 | 59 | 35 | 122 | 138 | 79 | 103 | 110 | 129 | 183 | 67 | 122 | 65 | 58 | 162 | 71 | 77 |
Undecided | 46 | 10 | 37 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 15 | 21 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 1 | 21 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 36 | 15 | 28 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 26 | 8 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Total | 826 | 381 | 445 | 203 | 235 | 238 | 150 | 438 | 388 | 381 | 72 | 272 | 101 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 51 | 164 | 296 | 254 | 43 | 78 | 270 | 208 | 199 | 503 | 269 | 36 | 78 | 686 | 561 | 144 | 198 | 590 | 338 | 420 | 251 | 551 | 368 | 247 | 185 | 105 | 310 | 379 | 204 | 252 | 333 | 274 | 552 | 145 | 337 | 154 | 191 | 502 | 206 | 110 |
Composition of Likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 18% | 53% | 47% | 46% | 9% | 33% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 36% | 31% | 5% | 10% | 33% | 25% | 24% | 61% | 33% | 4% | 9% | 83% | 68% | 17% | 24% | 73% | 42% | 52% | 31% | 68% | 46% | 31% | 23% | 13% | 39% | 48% | 26% | 32% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 18% | 41% | 19% | 23% | 61% | 25% | 13% |
1683 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Donald Trump (R) | 573 | 336 | 236 | 98 | 151 | 199 | 125 | 249 | 324 | 351 | 10 | 121 | 91 | 129 | 181 | 144 | 52 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 147 | 185 | 189 | 30 | 12 | 390 | 161 | 16 | 428 | 49 | 38 | 496 | 122 | 433 | 172 | 362 | 180 | 383 | 192 | 185 | 181 | 89 | 192 | 276 | 97 | 179 | 269 | 175 | 397 | 134 | 209 | 139 | 90 | 356 | 158 | 58 |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 936 | 377 | 560 | 235 | 281 | 262 | 159 | 516 | 420 | 391 | 87 | 321 | 138 | 9 | 48 | 55 | 70 | 181 | 285 | 266 | 53 | 108 | 294 | 239 | 197 | 529 | 344 | 46 | 29 | 860 | 737 | 58 | 222 | 675 | 403 | 457 | 314 | 603 | 405 | 300 | 204 | 104 | 349 | 454 | 243 | 254 | 397 | 359 | 577 | 155 | 376 | 166 | 239 | 518 | 299 | 107 |
Undecided | 174 | 99 | 74 | 56 | 51 | 40 | 26 | 108 | 66 | 95 | 7 | 49 | 22 | 14 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 63 | 23 | 22 | 75 | 79 | 7 | 3 | 144 | 4 | 126 | 26 | 137 | 72 | 82 | 57 | 108 | 57 | 49 | 58 | 16 | 85 | 63 | 57 | 58 | 46 | 79 | 95 | 49 | 60 | 36 | 28 | 106 | 35 | 30 |
Total | 1683 | 812 | 870 | 389 | 483 | 500 | 310 | 872 | 810 | 836 | 104 | 491 | 251 | 152 | 255 | 225 | 151 | 235 | 337 | 277 | 219 | 326 | 546 | 291 | 231 | 994 | 584 | 69 | 460 | 1052 | 779 | 680 | 371 | 1245 | 647 | 901 | 551 | 1094 | 654 | 534 | 443 | 208 | 626 | 792 | 397 | 492 | 712 | 613 | 1070 | 339 | 645 | 341 | 357 | 979 | 492 | 196 |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 23% | 29% | 30% | 18% | 52% | 48% | 50% | 6% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 60% | 35% | 4% | 27% | 63% | 46% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 39% | 54% | 33% | 66% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 38% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 44% | 36% | 64% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 58% | 29% | 12% |
What if the only two candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton ... who would you vote for? |
1683 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Ted Cruz (R) | 482 | 275 | 208 | 116 | 122 | 146 | 99 | 238 | 244 | 285 | 11 | 136 | 51 | 115 | 167 | 103 | 47 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 144 | 160 | 135 | 29 | 7 | 310 | 156 | 14 | 240 | 166 | 29 | 413 | 115 | 357 | 160 | 292 | 170 | 305 | 114 | 168 | 185 | 66 | 189 | 210 | 94 | 148 | 210 | 173 | 309 | 141 | 140 | 127 | 74 | 305 | 130 | 47 |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 962 | 419 | 543 | 206 | 305 | 280 | 172 | 510 | 452 | 434 | 85 | 297 | 146 | 13 | 41 | 65 | 75 | 189 | 288 | 273 | 47 | 114 | 322 | 231 | 200 | 559 | 335 | 46 | 101 | 792 | 740 | 85 | 217 | 698 | 386 | 497 | 315 | 623 | 430 | 301 | 202 | 114 | 328 | 488 | 225 | 263 | 430 | 335 | 627 | 149 | 400 | 172 | 241 | 545 | 298 | 107 |
Undecided | 238 | 118 | 120 | 67 | 57 | 75 | 39 | 124 | 114 | 118 | 8 | 59 | 54 | 24 | 47 | 58 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 28 | 52 | 88 | 31 | 23 | 125 | 93 | 9 | 118 | 94 | 10 | 182 | 39 | 190 | 102 | 113 | 66 | 167 | 109 | 65 | 57 | 28 | 109 | 95 | 78 | 80 | 71 | 105 | 134 | 48 | 105 | 42 | 42 | 129 | 64 | 43 |
Total | 1683 | 812 | 870 | 389 | 483 | 500 | 310 | 872 | 810 | 836 | 104 | 491 | 251 | 152 | 255 | 225 | 151 | 235 | 337 | 277 | 219 | 326 | 546 | 291 | 231 | 994 | 584 | 69 | 460 | 1052 | 779 | 680 | 371 | 1245 | 647 | 901 | 551 | 1094 | 654 | 534 | 443 | 208 | 626 | 792 | 397 | 492 | 712 | 613 | 1070 | 339 | 645 | 341 | 357 | 979 | 492 | 196 |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 23% | 29% | 30% | 18% | 52% | 48% | 50% | 6% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 60% | 35% | 4% | 27% | 63% | 46% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 39% | 54% | 33% | 66% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 38% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 44% | 36% | 64% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 58% | 29% | 12% |
And what if the only two candidates were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
1683 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
John Kasich (R) | 575 | 332 | 242 | 121 | 150 | 170 | 133 | 272 | 303 | 367 | 13 | 125 | 71 | 124 | 185 | 128 | 61 | 28 | 34 | 3 | 145 | 184 | 187 | 32 | 16 | 363 | 188 | 17 | 289 | 193 | 46 | 477 | 124 | 433 | 180 | 354 | 175 | 387 | 164 | 184 | 207 | 84 | 195 | 275 | 110 | 169 | 263 | 177 | 398 | 160 | 181 | 148 | 85 | 358 | 157 | 58 |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 893 | 370 | 523 | 192 | 287 | 263 | 151 | 479 | 414 | 365 | 85 | 303 | 141 | 6 | 36 | 55 | 58 | 170 | 279 | 269 | 47 | 100 | 284 | 227 | 191 | 521 | 309 | 45 | 83 | 758 | 724 | 47 | 211 | 640 | 376 | 443 | 303 | 573 | 397 | 284 | 186 | 107 | 326 | 432 | 225 | 253 | 376 | 337 | 556 | 133 | 371 | 153 | 236 | 504 | 280 | 98 |
Undecided | 215 | 110 | 105 | 76 | 46 | 68 | 25 | 122 | 93 | 105 | 7 | 63 | 40 | 22 | 35 | 43 | 31 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 75 | 32 | 24 | 110 | 87 | 7 | 88 | 101 | 9 | 156 | 36 | 171 | 92 | 104 | 73 | 134 | 93 | 66 | 50 | 17 | 105 | 86 | 63 | 70 | 73 | 99 | 116 | 46 | 93 | 40 | 36 | 117 | 55 | 40 |
Total | 1683 | 812 | 870 | 389 | 483 | 500 | 310 | 872 | 810 | 836 | 104 | 491 | 251 | 152 | 255 | 225 | 151 | 235 | 337 | 277 | 219 | 326 | 546 | 291 | 231 | 994 | 584 | 69 | 460 | 1052 | 779 | 680 | 371 | 1245 | 647 | 901 | 551 | 1094 | 654 | 534 | 443 | 208 | 626 | 792 | 397 | 492 | 712 | 613 | 1070 | 339 | 645 | 341 | 357 | 979 | 492 | 196 |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 23% | 29% | 30% | 18% | 52% | 48% | 50% | 6% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 60% | 35% | 4% | 27% | 63% | 46% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 39% | 54% | 33% | 66% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 38% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 44% | 36% | 64% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 58% | 29% | 12% |
7 | Now, regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of Ted Cruz ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative? |
2011 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Extremely Positive | 97 | 57 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 51 | 47 | 48 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 31 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 71 | 24 | 2 | 36 | 39 | 33 | 56 | 28 | 65 | 25 | 66 | 44 | 49 | 17 | 34 | 42 | 18 | 25 | 49 | 25 | 27 | 37 | 32 | 65 | 33 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 66 | 16 | 14 |
Positive | 286 | 156 | 129 | 97 | 67 | 77 | 45 | 164 | 122 | 129 | 8 | 118 | 30 | 46 | 74 | 60 | 29 | 24 | 28 | 16 | 61 | 86 | 104 | 23 | 4 | 149 | 123 | 12 | 87 | 159 | 81 | 169 | 66 | 214 | 96 | 169 | 115 | 166 | 74 | 114 | 88 | 48 | 90 | 137 | 54 | 77 | 139 | 142 | 144 | 80 | 86 | 59 | 60 | 146 | 107 | 29 |
Neutral | 582 | 276 | 306 | 156 | 217 | 132 | 77 | 373 | 209 | 277 | 25 | 204 | 76 | 40 | 106 | 85 | 64 | 70 | 127 | 50 | 71 | 127 | 246 | 63 | 37 | 227 | 288 | 54 | 159 | 336 | 242 | 212 | 121 | 427 | 256 | 285 | 231 | 344 | 167 | 235 | 171 | 113 | 285 | 173 | 174 | 209 | 177 | 224 | 358 | 129 | 208 | 143 | 103 | 267 | 218 | 83 |
Negative | 403 | 182 | 221 | 98 | 106 | 136 | 64 | 204 | 199 | 162 | 29 | 122 | 90 | 23 | 48 | 81 | 39 | 41 | 88 | 61 | 29 | 80 | 139 | 98 | 41 | 210 | 180 | 7 | 104 | 272 | 183 | 167 | 83 | 299 | 162 | 208 | 114 | 279 | 172 | 126 | 93 | 41 | 145 | 205 | 102 | 113 | 173 | 189 | 214 | 54 | 195 | 68 | 86 | 209 | 141 | 51 |
Extremely Negative | 559 | 292 | 268 | 138 | 121 | 188 | 113 | 258 | 301 | 319 | 42 | 124 | 74 | 23 | 40 | 47 | 59 | 122 | 118 | 145 | 27 | 53 | 166 | 139 | 150 | 371 | 139 | 30 | 117 | 403 | 297 | 186 | 121 | 419 | 222 | 285 | 137 | 404 | 321 | 126 | 87 | 58 | 170 | 302 | 120 | 126 | 281 | 155 | 405 | 98 | 226 | 103 | 133 | 309 | 150 | 95 |
No Opinion | 83 | 20 | 64 | 39 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 22 | 23 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 21 | 11 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 11 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 10 | 25 | 52 | 20 | 53 | 35 | 45 | 29 | 15 | 38 | 20 | 42 | 20 | 40 | 31 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 16 | 29 | 8 | 30 | 47 | 27 | 3 |
Total | 2011 | 983 | 1028 | 553 | 557 | 569 | 331 | 1111 | 900 | 959 | 121 | 620 | 311 | 179 | 290 | 285 | 208 | 274 | 394 | 294 | 259 | 385 | 685 | 348 | 239 | 1052 | 795 | 116 | 506 | 1260 | 865 | 801 | 445 | 1476 | 781 | 1067 | 676 | 1286 | 780 | 650 | 519 | 298 | 758 | 886 | 514 | 583 | 813 | 784 | 1227 | 410 | 769 | 400 | 432 | 1045 | 659 | 275 |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 16% | 55% | 45% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 53% | 40% | 6% | 25% | 63% | 43% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 40% | 54% | 34% | 65% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 27% | 31% | 43% | 39% | 61% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 52% | 33% | 14% |
8 | Regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of John Kasich ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative? |
2011 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Extremely Positive | 117 | 84 | 33 | 34 | 30 | 19 | 34 | 64 | 54 | 58 | 4 | 47 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 40 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 30 | 38 | 42 | 2 | 4 | 67 | 44 | 3 | 34 | 61 | 39 | 72 | 22 | 91 | 26 | 77 | 32 | 78 | 45 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 32 | 66 | 24 | 27 | 57 | 39 | 78 | 23 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 69 | 36 | 6 |
Positive | 359 | 188 | 171 | 97 | 91 | 99 | 72 | 188 | 171 | 207 | 17 | 83 | 52 | 38 | 73 | 61 | 41 | 47 | 65 | 26 | 49 | 76 | 148 | 53 | 27 | 220 | 126 | 11 | 102 | 217 | 126 | 184 | 72 | 276 | 120 | 219 | 124 | 231 | 118 | 114 | 122 | 34 | 117 | 202 | 79 | 91 | 177 | 123 | 236 | 86 | 114 | 87 | 71 | 199 | 114 | 42 |
Neutral | 864 | 399 | 465 | 211 | 273 | 255 | 126 | 484 | 380 | 401 | 44 | 284 | 135 | 64 | 150 | 104 | 87 | 129 | 192 | 103 | 89 | 196 | 303 | 146 | 82 | 408 | 373 | 62 | 228 | 535 | 385 | 318 | 192 | 629 | 355 | 443 | 324 | 520 | 319 | 280 | 238 | 147 | 364 | 322 | 228 | 270 | 324 | 340 | 524 | 175 | 348 | 191 | 150 | 413 | 303 | 138 |
Negative | 358 | 182 | 177 | 86 | 84 | 126 | 63 | 170 | 189 | 169 | 24 | 114 | 51 | 28 | 24 | 49 | 29 | 50 | 63 | 96 | 40 | 40 | 116 | 70 | 80 | 220 | 124 | 12 | 84 | 237 | 199 | 130 | 73 | 279 | 162 | 173 | 99 | 255 | 150 | 131 | 69 | 55 | 121 | 175 | 97 | 99 | 149 | 135 | 223 | 64 | 136 | 61 | 98 | 205 | 113 | 38 |
Extremely Negative | 184 | 101 | 83 | 56 | 48 | 54 | 26 | 104 | 80 | 85 | 14 | 52 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 30 | 20 | 33 | 45 | 27 | 24 | 43 | 33 | 41 | 105 | 53 | 13 | 54 | 118 | 74 | 79 | 57 | 113 | 77 | 82 | 53 | 121 | 97 | 53 | 20 | 24 | 60 | 84 | 40 | 51 | 75 | 64 | 120 | 34 | 79 | 26 | 45 | 103 | 41 | 38 |
No Opinion | 129 | 30 | 99 | 71 | 32 | 17 | 10 | 102 | 27 | 39 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 24 | 12 | 33 | 43 | 6 | 32 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 91 | 43 | 17 | 28 | 87 | 42 | 72 | 44 | 81 | 51 | 34 | 43 | 27 | 64 | 37 | 46 | 45 | 31 | 83 | 45 | 28 | 46 | 14 | 40 | 56 | 52 | 13 |
Total | 2011 | 983 | 1028 | 553 | 557 | 569 | 331 | 1111 | 900 | 959 | 121 | 620 | 311 | 179 | 290 | 285 | 208 | 274 | 394 | 294 | 259 | 385 | 685 | 348 | 239 | 1052 | 795 | 116 | 506 | 1260 | 865 | 801 | 445 | 1476 | 781 | 1067 | 676 | 1286 | 780 | 650 | 519 | 298 | 758 | 886 | 514 | 583 | 813 | 784 | 1227 | 410 | 769 | 400 | 432 | 1045 | 659 | 275 |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 16% | 55% | 45% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 53% | 40% | 6% | 25% | 63% | 43% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 40% | 54% | 34% | 65% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 27% | 31% | 43% | 39% | 61% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 52% | 33% | 14% |
Regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of Donald Trump ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative? |
2011 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Extremely Positive | 285 | 184 | 101 | 69 | 57 | 102 | 57 | 127 | 159 | 159 | 4 | 71 | 51 | 80 | 76 | 73 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 87 | 79 | 83 | 21 | 7 | 204 | 69 | 7 | 285 | 0 | 38 | 235 | 60 | 216 | 114 | 153 | 74 | 206 | 101 | 100 | 76 | 58 | 89 | 130 | 70 | 85 | 120 | 81 | 205 | 66 | 113 | 61 | 46 | 172 | 80 | 32 |
Positive | 221 | 109 | 111 | 28 | 68 | 67 | 58 | 96 | 125 | 142 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 32 | 68 | 50 | 21 | 16 | 21 | 5 | 35 | 76 | 87 | 13 | 4 | 129 | 76 | 11 | 221 | 0 | 46 | 148 | 42 | 167 | 56 | 145 | 75 | 143 | 82 | 72 | 63 | 31 | 87 | 95 | 39 | 62 | 101 | 76 | 145 | 46 | 90 | 50 | 35 | 123 | 72 | 24 |
Neutral | 207 | 112 | 95 | 51 | 75 | 58 | 23 | 126 | 81 | 107 | 15 | 59 | 27 | 19 | 45 | 35 | 30 | 21 | 32 | 7 | 28 | 51 | 82 | 24 | 8 | 84 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 120 | 40 | 163 | 81 | 112 | 86 | 117 | 62 | 67 | 73 | 37 | 92 | 72 | 52 | 70 | 77 | 84 | 123 | 46 | 75 | 44 | 42 | 96 | 82 | 24 |
Negative | 227 | 124 | 103 | 64 | 70 | 58 | 34 | 134 | 93 | 110 | 12 | 77 | 28 | 9 | 27 | 46 | 30 | 30 | 51 | 18 | 27 | 57 | 104 | 24 | 8 | 76 | 136 | 7 | 0 | 227 | 81 | 94 | 53 | 162 | 79 | 128 | 77 | 146 | 88 | 65 | 67 | 41 | 69 | 108 | 54 | 73 | 88 | 106 | 121 | 36 | 82 | 62 | 47 | 85 | 96 | 37 |
Extremely Negative | 1033 | 439 | 594 | 320 | 283 | 274 | 155 | 603 | 430 | 433 | 82 | 359 | 159 | 25 | 67 | 79 | 103 | 196 | 269 | 257 | 66 | 117 | 319 | 262 | 212 | 540 | 405 | 68 | 0 | 1033 | 650 | 202 | 229 | 753 | 447 | 501 | 339 | 662 | 444 | 338 | 215 | 113 | 411 | 472 | 279 | 284 | 418 | 423 | 610 | 210 | 396 | 183 | 244 | 545 | 317 | 157 |
No Opinion | 38 | 15 | 23 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Total | 2011 | 983 | 1028 | 553 | 557 | 569 | 331 | 1111 | 900 | 959 | 121 | 620 | 311 | 179 | 290 | 285 | 208 | 274 | 394 | 294 | 259 | 385 | 685 | 348 | 239 | 1052 | 795 | 116 | 506 | 1260 | 865 | 801 | 445 | 1476 | 781 | 1067 | 676 | 1286 | 780 | 650 | 519 | 298 | 758 | 886 | 514 | 583 | 813 | 784 | 1227 | 410 | 769 | 400 | 432 | 1045 | 659 | 275 |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 16% | 55% | 45% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 53% | 40% | 6% | 25% | 63% | 43% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 40% | 54% | 34% | 65% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 27% | 31% | 43% | 39% | 61% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 52% | 33% | 14% |
Regardless of who you may vote for, is your opinion of Hillary Clinton ... extremely positive? Positive? Neutral? Negative? Or extremely negative? |
2011 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attention | Trump Opinion | Clinton Opinion | Union HH | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Attend Church | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | Vote in CA Primary | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | A Lot | A Little | Not Very | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Yes | No | Single | Married | Yes | No | Never | Occasion | Regularl | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | Always | Sometime | 1st Time | |
Extremely Positive | 330 | 135 | 195 | 83 | 78 | 95 | 74 | 161 | 169 | 149 | 42 | 105 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 32 | 100 | 149 | 36 | 40 | 92 | 68 | 63 | 211 | 85 | 28 | 27 | 282 | 330 | 0 | 78 | 233 | 142 | 155 | 107 | 208 | 114 | 116 | 83 | 41 | 130 | 142 | 94 | 89 | 120 | 79 | 251 | 54 | 139 | 54 | 84 | 188 | 96 | 37 |
Positive | 535 | 235 | 300 | 135 | 162 | 166 | 74 | 296 | 239 | 208 | 34 | 201 | 92 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 120 | 175 | 102 | 18 | 62 | 198 | 147 | 97 | 269 | 240 | 22 | 57 | 449 | 535 | 0 | 107 | 406 | 229 | 266 | 185 | 344 | 231 | 188 | 105 | 79 | 164 | 278 | 142 | 146 | 231 | 247 | 288 | 88 | 235 | 91 | 121 | 291 | 192 | 45 |
Neutral | 311 | 133 | 178 | 129 | 89 | 62 | 32 | 218 | 93 | 130 | 24 | 109 | 49 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 56 | 73 | 56 | 29 | 12 | 42 | 145 | 58 | 37 | 98 | 168 | 27 | 35 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 221 | 137 | 153 | 108 | 200 | 130 | 111 | 63 | 38 | 144 | 119 | 81 | 112 | 107 | 173 | 138 | 51 | 121 | 73 | 67 | 99 | 131 | 76 |
Negative | 241 | 142 | 99 | 84 | 76 | 48 | 33 | 160 | 81 | 130 | 8 | 75 | 28 | 22 | 66 | 45 | 32 | 18 | 33 | 9 | 23 | 78 | 72 | 36 | 22 | 102 | 113 | 15 | 66 | 142 | 0 | 241 | 42 | 183 | 80 | 135 | 95 | 131 | 100 | 68 | 58 | 24 | 104 | 99 | 53 | 69 | 98 | 110 | 130 | 63 | 69 | 50 | 59 | 131 | 68 | 38 |
Extremely Negative | 560 | 329 | 231 | 103 | 148 | 193 | 116 | 252 | 308 | 335 | 13 | 121 | 91 | 123 | 148 | 153 | 69 | 29 | 26 | 4 | 153 | 160 | 174 | 33 | 20 | 357 | 177 | 22 | 317 | 154 | 0 | 560 | 124 | 421 | 191 | 332 | 164 | 389 | 197 | 161 | 189 | 99 | 205 | 243 | 122 | 158 | 255 | 165 | 395 | 151 | 192 | 130 | 87 | 315 | 162 | 78 |
No Opinion | 34 | 8 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 10 | 1 |
Total | 2011 | 983 | 1028 | 553 | 557 | 569 | 331 | 1111 | 900 | 959 | 121 | 620 | 311 | 179 | 290 | 285 | 208 | 274 | 394 | 294 | 259 | 385 | 685 | 348 | 239 | 1052 | 795 | 116 | 506 | 1260 | 865 | 801 | 445 | 1476 | 781 | 1067 | 676 | 1286 | 780 | 650 | 519 | 298 | 758 | 886 | 514 | 583 | 813 | 784 | 1227 | 410 | 769 | 400 | 432 | 1045 | 659 | 275 |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 16% | 55% | 45% | 48% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 53% | 40% | 6% | 25% | 63% | 43% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 40% | 54% | 34% | 65% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 15% | 39% | 46% | 27% | 31% | 43% | 39% | 61% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 21% | 52% | 33% | 14% |