Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18245
 
If Democrat Inslee Vacates House Seat in WA01 to Run for Governor, Transplant Kucinich Starts at Material Disadvantage: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jay Inslee, from Washington State's 1st Congressional District, is well liked and surrenders solid Democratic footing in that district were he to run for Governor, according to this latest KING5 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Dennis Kucinich, longtime Ohio Congressman and occasional Presidential aspirant, is one Democrat who might move to Washington State specifically to seek Inslee's seat, if Inslee vacates. Today, 18 months from the next Congressional election:

* Inslee has a Plus 24 Favorability rating in the 1st District (56% Favorable, 32% Unfavorable).
* Kucinich has a Minus 25 Favorability rating in the 1st District (21% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable).
* Inslee starts with 40% entrenched support (voters who would support him no matter the opponent).
* Kucinich starts with 15% entrenched support (voters who would support him no matter the opponent).
* Kucinich starts with 38% entrenched opposition (voters who would oppose him no matter the opponent).

Given the choice between having a representative in Congress who shares one's values or who has roots in the community, shared values is 3:1 preferred to roots. Yet at the time time, voters by 6:1 tell SurveyUSA that Kucinich would do a worse job representing them in Congress than someone who has lived in the District longer, indicative of the headwinds that an outsider, transplanted into the District for the purpose of running, would encounter.

 
1Is your opinion of Jay Inslee, the Democrat who represents Washington State's 1st Congressional District in the US Congress ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Jay Inslee?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
Favorable56%52%60%59%49%62%57%53%60%59%****50%16%89%41%19%64%15%56%90%
Unfavorable32%39%25%35%33%31%26%34%29%31%****39%72%8%39%74%26%74%25%8%
Neutral9%8%11%6%12%6%17%9%9%9%****7%11%3%15%7%8%11%15%2%
No Opinion2%1%3%0%6%2%0%3%1%2%****4%1%0%5%0%2%0%4%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
2Is your opinion of Dennis Kucinich, the Democrat who represents Ohio's 10th Congressional District in the US Congress ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Dennis Kucinich?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
Favorable21%26%17%24%17%24%18%20%22%22%****16%4%32%17%3%24%3%12%46%
Unfavorable46%49%44%52%47%42%46%49%43%46%****49%70%31%53%74%42%76%47%25%
Neutral20%18%22%22%18%19%23%20%20%21%****9%10%26%19%7%22%7%26%21%
No Opinion12%8%17%2%17%15%13%11%14%11%****26%17%11%12%16%12%13%14%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
3If there were an election for US Congress today, which best describes how you feel about incumbent Democrat Jay Inslee: I would vote for Jay Inslee no matter who else is on the ballot. I would vote against Jay Inslee no matter who else is on the ballot. My vote would depend on who else is on the ballot.
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
For Jay Inslee40%38%42%39%34%44%46%36%44%41%****33%12%70%21%17%44%11%35%68%
Against Jay Inslee22%25%19%19%23%23%22%21%23%21%****27%58%3%24%64%15%57%16%3%
Would Depend38%37%39%42%42%34%31%42%33%38%****40%29%27%55%19%40%32%49%29%
Not Sure0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%****0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
4Let's say Jay Inslee runs for Governor of Washington. If there were an election for Washington State Governor today, would you ... vote for Jay Inslee no matter who else is on the ballot? vote against Jay Inslee no matter who else is on the ballot? Or would you your vote depend on who else is on the ballot?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
For Jay Inslee26%25%27%25%25%29%24%25%27%27%****19%5%48%13%9%30%7%19%51%
Against Jay Inslee26%30%22%26%26%25%24%26%25%25%****32%63%4%31%68%19%64%20%5%
Would Depend48%44%51%48%48%45%52%48%47%48%****48%32%48%56%24%51%29%62%44%
Not Sure0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%****2%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
5Now let's say Jay Inslee resigns his seat in Congress to run for Governor, and is replaced on the ballot by Democrat Dennis Kucinich. In an election for US Congress today, would you ... vote for Dennis Kucinich no matter who else is on the ballot? vote against Dennis Kucinich no matter who else is on the ballot? Or would you your vote depend on who else is on the ballot?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
For Dennis Kucinich15%17%12%22%10%14%11%16%13%15%****11%2%24%10%2%16%2%9%31%
Against Dennis Kucinich38%41%35%36%40%36%39%39%37%37%****45%73%14%46%78%31%76%36%11%
Would Depend47%41%52%41%49%49%49%46%49%48%****44%24%60%43%20%52%22%55%57%
Not Sure1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%****0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
6Which best describes how you feel: Dennis Kucinich would represent Washington's 1st district better than someone who has lived in the district longer. Dennis Kucinich would represent Washington's 1st district worse than someone who has lived in the district longer. Dennis Kucinich would represent Washington's 1st district about the same as someone who has lived in the district longer.
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
Better10%13%7%14%9%9%7%11%9%10%****11%4%16%6%4%10%1%7%19%
Worse59%60%58%64%57%57%57%60%57%60%****46%72%42%72%75%58%81%70%30%
About The Same23%21%24%19%20%25%27%20%26%22%****29%13%34%15%12%25%10%16%42%
Not Sure8%6%11%2%14%8%8%9%8%8%****14%11%8%6%9%7%8%8%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
7 In voting for Congressional candidates, is it more important to you that a candidate have roots in your community? Or that the candidate shares your values?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
Roots In Your Community22%27%17%19%21%22%28%20%24%22%****24%18%20%27%16%23%18%31%13%
Shares Your Values71%69%72%78%69%69%68%73%69%71%****72%81%72%65%81%71%78%61%78%
Not Sure7%3%10%4%10%8%4%7%7%7%****4%1%8%8%4%7%3%8%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
8Congressman Kucinich has proposed a federal Department of Peace to develop non-violent ways of avoiding domestic and international conflict. Do you support? Or do you oppose this idea?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal
Support34%33%34%36%28%40%29%31%36%34%****33%15%52%22%20%37%9%30%56%
Oppose48%54%43%53%52%44%41%52%43%47%****51%71%28%59%74%43%77%51%22%
Not Sure18%13%24%12%20%16%30%16%21%19%****16%13%20%19%7%20%14%19%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%23%30%31%15%54%46%89%2%2%6%19%42%38%10%82%25%40%31%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.