Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16614
In KY, Rand Paul Breaks From Gate Slightly Ahead of Jack Conway in Battle for Bunning's Open Senate Seat: In an election for United States Senator from Kentucky today, 05/28/10, Republican Rand Paul edges Democrat Jack Conway, 51% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV.

9 of 10 with a favorable opinion of the Tea Party Movement vote for Paul; 9 of 10 with an unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party Movement vote for Conway. Paul leads n Western KY, North Central KY, and among gun owners, pro-life voters, college grads, and the affluent. Conway leads in Eastern KY, among Moderates, and among pro-choice voters. 16% of Republicans cross over to vote for Conway; 29% of Democrats cross over to vote for Paul.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 850 KY adults 05/25/10 through 05/27/10. Of them, 771 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 569 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November election for US Senate. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election.
[ candidate names rotated ]
If the election for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? Republican Rand Paul? Or Democrat Jack Conway?
569 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Paul (R)51%54%48%41%60%51%47%53%50%53%15%****82%29%47%76%39%21%90%3%49%35%**85%4%59%46%55%50%40%65%33%56%42%43%58%58%48%53%42%
Conway (D)45%44%46%54%37%47%47%43%47%43%80%****16%68%34%21%57%75%9%93%45%56%**14%93%38%49%40%47%58%30%65%42%52%54%39%37%49%41%56%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%17%30%33%20%47%53%92%6%1%2%40%54%5%38%44%13%36%24%25%15%3%44%24%43%57%56%28%16%57%40%65%33%42%58%22%26%35%18%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.