Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13267
Eve of Democratic Primary, Obama Well-Positioned for South Carolina Win: 18 Hours until polls open in South Carolina, Barack Obama is poised to defeat Hillary Clinton and John Edwards, according to SurveyUSA's 7th and final tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WCSC-TV Charleston and WSPA-TV Greenville. After increasingly divisive campaigning, the contest ends: Obama 43%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 24%. Obama gets 3 of 4 black votes. Edwards and Clinton between them split 3 of 4 white votes. In the Midlands, Obama leads by 25; Upstate and in the Low Country, he leads by 5.
Filtering: 1,800 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/23/08 and 01/24/08. Of the adults, 1,589 were registered to vote. Of them, 553 told SurveyUSA they had already voted in the Republican Primary on 01/19/08. Of the remainder, 606 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/26/08 Democratic Primary. 1 in 5 likely voters say they still may change their mind, on the eve of the Primary. It is unknowable precisely how many Independents and Republicans may turn-out to vote in the Democratic Primary. The more who do, the better John Edwards will perform relative to Hillary Clinton. Over the past seven days, Edwards is the only candidate with momentum.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
606 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyChange Your MindAge<50 / 50+RegionTop Issue For Next President
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemaleWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalCould ChMind Mad18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+UpstateMidlandsLow CounEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%41%59%55%41%1%2%8%73%15%16%39%18%19%81%16%33%31%20%49%51%26%40%34%38%3%20%14%4%6%6%6%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.