|Republican Northup Closes Gap On Democrat Yarmuth in KY3 Rematch, But Reamins 10 Furlongs Back:
In an election for the US House of Representatives from Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District today, 07/21/08, 106 days from the November general election, Democratic incumbent John Yarmuth defeats former Republican representative Anne Northup in a rematch of the 2006 KY3 election, according to this exclusive WHAS-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it's Yarmuth 53%, Northup 43%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, Northup is up 3 points; Yarmuth is down 4. Yarmuth today leads by 9 points among men, by 11 points among women. Six weeks ago, Yarmuth lead by 7 among whites; today, he trails by 1. 13% of Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Yarmuth; 18% of Democrats cross over to vote for Republican Northup.
Yarmuth beat Northup by 3 points, 51% to 48%, in 2006. Since 2005, Northup has run for Governor of Kentucky and lost in the GOP primary to then incumbent Ernie Fletcher. Northup represented Kentucky's 3rd district for 5 terms, first elected in 1996. In 2004, Northup won with 60% of the vote. The district is watched nationally as a barometer of how other districts may vote. In SurveyUSA's release today, 34% of likely voters are Republican, nearly identical to the 33% who said they were Republican in SurveyUSA's final 2006 pre-election poll. The number of likely voters who say they are Democrats is also nearly identical: 54% in SurveyUSA's final 2006 pre-election poll, and 56% today.