Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19415
 
With Voting Underway In WA01 Open Primary, Koster Certain To Advance to General; DelBene Battling Burner for 2nd Runoff Spot:

Two weeks until votes are counted in the Primary in Washington state's newly redrawn 1st congressional district, Republican John Koster is certain to advance to a November general election, but it is unclear which of 2 Democrats he will oppose, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle. Suzan DelBene has 17% and momentum today, which may or may not be enough for her to overtake Darcy Burner, who has 13% today.

Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 2 months ago, Koster is down 8 points, Burner is down 6 points, DelBene is up 13 points. 80% of Republicans and 39% of Independents vote for Koster. Democrats split, 32% today vote for DelBene, 25% vote for Burner. Among Democrats, compared to 2 months ago, DelBene is up 21 points, Burner is down 20 points. Among women, compared to 2 months ago, DelBene is up 16 points, Burner is down 2. Among liberals, Burner had led DelBene by 34 points; the two are now tied.

* Koster has a Plus 14 Net Favorability rating. (28 favorable; 14 unfavorable).
* DelBene has a Minus 2 Net Favorability rating (23 favorable; 25 unfavorable).
* Burner has a Minus 10 Net Favorability (19 favorable, 29 unfavorable).

Looking ahead to a November general election, Koster would face a fierce fight from either Democrat:

* Koster gets 44% today to Burner's 42%.
* Koster gets 42% today to DelBene's 42%.
* Those findings noted, there is movement on the question of whether a Democrat or a Republican would do a better job of representing the district. 2 months ago, voters said by 50% to 39% that a Republican would do a better job. Today, voters by 43% to 40% say a Democrat would do a better job.

Upticket, the district is split. Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican Mitt Romney 50% to 40% in WA01 today, but Republican Rob McKenna narrowly edges Democrat Jay Inslee 46% to 44% in the contest for WA Governor.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 registered voters from Washington state's newly drawn 1st congressional district, using registration based (voter-list) sample from Aritstotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 563 were determined by SurveyUSA to have either already returned a ballot or to be likely to do so before the 08/07/12 deadline. This survey was conducted 100% by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (80% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (20% of likely voters) were contacted by live operators, who hand-dialed cell phones, interviewed the respondents, asked the questions, recorded the answers, and remained on the line until the interview was complete. The U.S. House seat is vacant; Democrat Jay Inslee has resigned to run for Governor of Washington.

 
If the primary election in Washington's 1st congressional district were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? John Koster, who prefers the Republican party? Darcy Burner, who prefers the Democratic party? Darshan Rauniyar , who prefers the Democratic party? Laura Ruderman, who prefers the Democratic party? Suzan DelBene , who prefers the Democratic party? Steve Hobbs, who prefers the Democratic party? Or Larry Ishmael, who prefers the Independent party?
563 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)38%44%32%28%38%34%47%36%39%38%****33%30%40%80%4%39%90%33%77%25%4%41%37%74%17%48%40%34%35%42%35%
Darcy Burner (D)13%11%16%8%13%14%14%12%14%13%****15%11%14%0%25%12%0%14%2%14%27%15%13%2%20%10%8%17%18%10%15%
Darshan Rauniyar (D)2%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%****4%0%2%0%1%5%4%2%1%3%3%0%2%2%2%2%1%2%6%2%1%
Laura Ruderman (D)6%5%7%7%4%8%5%5%7%6%****8%5%6%2%12%3%5%6%1%7%11%9%5%1%9%7%6%5%6%3%8%
Suzan DelBene (D)17%13%21%14%13%21%19%13%20%17%****21%7%20%4%32%14%0%19%3%24%27%18%17%5%26%14%21%16%18%17%17%
Steve Hobbs (D)5%6%3%9%2%4%6%4%5%5%****3%4%5%1%8%4%1%5%3%6%5%5%4%3%6%3%8%3%3%5%5%
Larry Ishmael2%3%1%4%2%3%1%2%2%2%****3%3%2%1%1%3%0%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%3%2%0%3%4%1%2%
Undecided17%16%18%29%26%14%6%26%11%17%****15%41%11%11%16%20%0%18%10%19%20%10%19%11%18%14%15%19%10%20%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%50%50%9%28%38%25%37%63%87%3%3%8%20%80%30%36%31%6%91%35%38%24%20%80%35%61%11%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
Have you personally met ...
563 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
None77%72%83%77%73%79%81%74%80%79%****68%74%78%77%79%74%40%80%72%82%77%73%78%72%80%77%81%76%72%80%78%
One14%18%10%12%16%13%13%15%13%13%****16%14%14%15%12%16%41%12%17%14%11%16%13%17%12%11%14%15%15%15%12%
More Than One7%7%6%7%10%5%5%9%5%7%****7%9%6%6%8%6%15%6%9%3%10%8%6%8%6%5%4%9%9%3%9%
Not Sure2%3%1%4%2%2%2%2%2%1%****9%3%2%1%1%4%4%2%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%7%2%1%4%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%9%28%38%25%37%63%87%3%3%8%20%80%30%36%31%6%91%35%38%24%20%80%35%61%11%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
When deciding who to elect to Congress, which of these issues is most important to you? Economic issues, such as jobs, taxes, and the federal budget? Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage? Health care? Education? The environment? Foreign affairs? Or something else?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Economic Issues55%62%48%45%55%56%57%52%57%55%****50%55%55%72%38%58%75%54%75%54%30%57%56%69%47%60%52%55%48%56%57%
Social Issues16%15%17%18%18%14%14%18%14%15%****21%12%17%18%17%13%7%16%15%11%23%17%16%19%14%17%15%15%9%19%15%
Health Care12%8%15%5%9%12%18%8%14%11%****12%12%12%4%19%10%12%12%5%13%17%14%12%5%16%13%15%9%25%10%8%
Education7%4%11%14%8%6%4%10%5%8%****8%7%8%3%15%5%1%8%1%9%14%2%8%2%10%3%5%9%6%5%10%
The Environment2%1%3%3%2%3%1%2%2%2%****1%1%2%0%3%3%2%2%0%3%4%2%2%1%3%0%2%3%2%3%2%
Foreign Affairs1%1%1%3%1%1%0%1%1%1%****0%1%1%0%2%1%0%1%0%1%2%2%1%0%2%0%0%2%2%1%1%
Something Else4%5%2%6%4%3%3%5%3%4%****6%6%3%1%2%7%0%4%1%4%5%5%3%1%4%2%6%3%5%3%4%
Not Sure4%4%4%5%3%5%3%3%4%4%****2%7%3%2%4%4%3%4%3%4%4%1%3%2%4%5%5%3%4%5%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
4Is your opinion of John Koster ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable28%33%23%13%27%26%41%22%32%28%****25%16%32%59%6%27%82%24%57%20%4%39%32%56%13%28%29%27%29%29%26%
Unfavorable14%16%12%9%12%19%11%11%16%15%****8%8%16%2%26%12%3%15%4%15%25%17%16%3%20%8%13%16%13%15%14%
Neutral22%19%26%23%20%22%25%21%23%22%****26%14%25%17%25%23%9%23%15%28%22%15%24%17%25%23%26%20%24%23%21%
No Opinion36%33%39%55%41%33%22%45%29%35%****41%62%27%23%44%37%6%38%24%37%49%29%28%23%42%41%32%38%34%33%39%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
5Is your opinion of Darcy Burner ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable19%16%21%12%19%22%18%17%20%20%****13%13%21%1%40%14%0%20%2%24%34%28%20%3%29%12%14%24%22%15%22%
Unfavorable29%34%23%20%30%27%35%27%30%28%****35%20%32%52%9%31%69%26%57%19%8%31%34%56%15%28%29%29%26%27%30%
Neutral22%20%23%18%16%25%25%16%25%22%****13%12%25%18%23%22%20%21%15%27%21%20%23%18%23%21%24%19%14%26%19%
No Opinion31%29%33%50%35%26%21%40%24%30%****39%55%22%29%29%33%11%32%26%30%38%22%24%22%34%39%33%28%38%32%29%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
6Is your opinion of Darshan Rauniyar ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable5%5%6%3%6%5%5%5%5%5%****8%4%6%1%7%6%7%5%1%6%8%7%6%2%7%5%2%7%14%3%5%
Unfavorable15%19%10%13%15%13%17%14%15%15%****14%8%17%31%6%12%42%13%32%7%5%19%16%29%7%12%17%14%15%17%13%
Neutral26%26%26%20%17%33%30%18%32%26%****21%14%30%21%31%26%26%26%21%30%24%25%28%24%27%29%29%22%17%27%27%
No Opinion54%50%59%64%62%49%47%63%48%54%****58%73%48%48%56%57%25%56%46%57%63%49%50%46%59%54%52%57%54%53%55%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
7Is your opinion of Laura Ruderman ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable10%9%11%5%10%12%12%8%12%10%****11%7%11%3%21%6%8%11%1%12%19%17%10%4%14%8%10%11%13%7%12%
Unfavorable18%23%13%14%17%18%23%16%20%17%****26%9%21%33%9%17%46%16%35%12%8%17%23%34%10%16%21%17%19%20%17%
Neutral25%24%25%19%17%31%29%18%30%27%****7%15%28%21%27%25%31%24%21%28%23%23%26%23%26%25%23%24%22%26%23%
No Opinion47%43%50%62%56%40%36%58%38%46%****56%68%39%43%44%52%15%49%42%47%51%43%41%38%51%51%46%48%46%47%48%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
8Is your opinion of Suzan DelBene ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable23%20%26%12%19%28%27%17%28%24%****15%13%27%4%43%20%5%25%4%31%37%30%26%8%33%17%22%25%28%21%25%
Unfavorable25%32%17%20%24%24%30%22%26%24%****33%16%28%43%11%25%62%23%46%17%12%33%28%44%14%25%26%24%30%21%25%
Neutral20%19%22%16%18%23%23%17%23%22%****9%13%23%17%23%19%15%20%15%25%21%18%20%16%22%21%22%19%16%22%19%
No Opinion32%28%35%53%39%25%20%44%23%31%****43%59%22%35%23%35%18%32%35%27%31%19%27%31%31%37%30%32%26%36%30%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
9Is your opinion of Steve Hobbs ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable8%12%5%9%8%7%8%8%8%8%****11%9%7%2%10%11%2%9%6%10%8%12%8%7%9%5%10%7%8%7%9%
Unfavorable16%21%10%10%17%17%14%15%16%15%****18%10%17%28%11%12%43%14%27%9%14%18%19%26%11%18%14%16%15%17%16%
Neutral28%27%28%21%20%33%34%20%33%28%****23%14%33%25%29%27%35%27%23%33%23%27%29%25%29%26%28%26%27%27%25%
No Opinion49%41%57%60%55%43%44%57%43%49%****48%67%43%45%50%50%21%51%44%48%56%43%45%42%52%50%48%51%51%49%50%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
10Is your opinion of Larry Ishmael ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable4%4%3%3%4%5%2%3%4%3%****2%5%3%3%2%6%5%3%3%4%3%4%4%4%3%1%2%5%4%1%5%
Unfavorable14%19%8%13%13%13%16%13%14%13%****18%7%16%22%9%13%23%13%23%9%10%17%14%21%9%15%16%12%15%17%11%
Neutral27%28%27%20%20%32%34%20%33%28%****19%13%32%24%30%26%38%26%25%31%25%31%30%28%28%27%25%28%25%29%26%
No Opinion55%49%62%64%63%51%47%64%49%56%****61%75%49%51%59%55%34%57%49%56%62%48%52%47%60%57%57%55%56%53%57%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
Thinking ahead now to the November general election for Congress in Washington's 1st Congressional District ... if the only two candidates on the ballot were John Koster, who prefers the Republican party, and Darcy Burner, who prefers the Democratic party, who would you vote for?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)44%50%39%29%47%43%52%41%47%45%****38%35%48%93%5%45%91%40%89%34%7%46%48%86%22%48%45%43%39%48%42%
Darcy Burner (D)42%36%48%47%37%46%40%40%43%42%****46%38%43%4%86%32%6%45%5%50%81%49%42%8%61%38%42%43%53%32%47%
Undecided14%13%14%24%16%11%8%18%10%13%****16%27%9%3%9%23%3%14%6%17%12%5%11%6%17%14%12%14%8%19%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
What if it were John Koster and Suzan DelBene, who prefers the Democratic party?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)42%48%36%27%45%40%52%39%45%42%****36%31%46%90%6%42%92%38%86%31%7%45%46%82%21%50%43%40%40%47%39%
Suzan DelBene (D)42%37%47%44%38%47%37%40%43%42%****46%40%42%5%82%34%5%45%6%50%79%48%41%9%60%34%41%44%46%35%47%
Undecided16%15%17%29%17%13%11%21%12%16%****18%29%11%5%11%25%3%17%9%19%14%8%13%9%19%16%16%16%13%19%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
What if it were John Koster and Laura Ruderman, who prefers the Democratic party?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)43%50%37%27%46%42%51%40%46%43%****40%33%47%91%8%42%88%40%85%34%8%46%47%82%22%47%46%40%42%48%39%
Laura Ruderman (D)37%32%41%42%36%37%34%38%36%37%****38%33%38%3%75%28%7%40%4%43%71%40%37%7%53%32%35%39%42%30%41%
Undecided20%18%22%30%18%21%14%22%18%20%****22%34%15%6%17%30%5%21%10%23%21%13%17%11%25%21%18%21%15%21%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
What if it were John Koster and Steve Hobbs, who prefers the Democratic party?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)43%47%40%27%44%44%52%39%47%43%****37%34%47%90%9%41%85%40%84%33%11%48%46%81%23%49%43%42%40%48%40%
Steve Hobbs (D)36%34%37%42%32%37%34%36%36%36%****35%34%36%4%72%28%11%38%7%40%69%42%34%9%50%29%37%36%39%30%40%
Undecided21%19%24%30%24%20%14%26%18%21%****28%33%17%6%19%31%4%22%9%27%19%9%20%10%27%22%19%22%22%22%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
What if it were John Koster and Darshan Rauniyar, who prefers the Democratic party?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
John Koster (R)44%49%39%28%48%40%56%41%46%44%****35%32%48%91%9%43%88%40%86%35%8%48%47%83%24%49%46%42%39%49%40%
Darshan Rauniyar (D)32%31%33%42%28%33%28%32%31%32%****32%30%33%3%65%26%6%34%2%36%67%37%31%5%47%26%31%34%34%28%36%
Undecided24%20%28%31%24%26%16%26%22%24%****32%38%19%6%26%32%6%25%12%29%24%15%22%12%30%25%23%24%26%24%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
16If a candidate is personally wealthy, does that make you more likely to vote for them? less likely to vote for them? Or does it make no difference?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
More Likely4%4%3%4%4%2%5%4%3%3%****5%6%3%6%1%4%13%3%6%4%1%4%4%8%1%4%2%5%5%5%3%
Less Likely16%16%16%15%16%16%16%16%16%16%****11%11%18%8%24%13%2%17%5%18%24%11%16%7%21%17%16%15%25%16%14%
No Difference79%79%79%81%78%81%77%79%79%80%****81%82%78%86%73%82%85%79%90%78%71%85%79%85%77%77%81%79%69%79%82%
Not Sure1%1%1%0%1%1%2%1%1%1%****2%0%1%0%2%0%0%1%0%1%3%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
Who do you think is more likely to do a good job representing the 1st Congressional District? A Republican candidate? Or A Democratic candidate?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Republican Candidate40%45%36%26%42%38%50%37%43%42%****26%31%44%91%2%38%87%37%85%29%3%43%43%83%18%47%39%40%39%45%37%
Democratic Candidate43%38%48%43%41%46%43%41%45%44%****41%37%46%5%89%32%9%47%5%49%87%47%44%9%63%35%46%44%47%36%49%
Not Sure16%17%16%30%17%15%7%21%12%14%****33%31%11%4%8%30%4%17%10%22%10%10%13%9%19%19%15%16%14%19%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
Who do you think is more likely to identify with your concerns? A candidate who lives in a rural part of the district? Or A candidate who lives in an urban part of the district?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Lives In a Rural Part36%41%32%32%38%38%34%36%36%37%****32%32%38%42%24%45%52%35%52%33%22%34%38%46%30%43%41%31%38%40%33%
Lives In An Urban Part32%32%33%37%37%25%35%37%29%32%****30%33%32%26%42%28%15%34%15%38%46%34%31%22%39%23%25%39%27%31%36%
Not Sure31%28%35%30%25%37%31%27%35%31%****38%35%30%32%34%27%33%31%32%28%32%32%31%32%30%33%34%30%35%29%31%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
700 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Mitt Romney (R)40%45%36%29%42%38%50%38%43%42%****22%34%43%88%4%38%89%36%87%27%3%41%43%84%18%48%40%39%36%44%38%
Barack Obama (D)50%44%55%55%50%51%45%52%48%50%****57%48%50%6%93%43%3%54%6%60%92%53%49%10%72%38%48%53%49%45%55%
Other6%8%4%10%4%7%3%6%6%5%****6%11%4%3%3%11%9%6%5%7%4%2%5%4%6%9%7%4%11%7%4%
Undecided4%4%5%6%5%4%2%5%3%3%****14%7%3%3%0%8%0%4%3%6%1%4%3%3%4%5%5%3%4%4%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
Washington will elect a Governor in November. If the election were today, would you vote for Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party? Or Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party?
700 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyAlready Voted?AbortionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoPro-lifePro-choiHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
McKenna (R)46%50%42%34%49%44%52%44%47%46%****36%39%48%93%9%45%87%42%87%39%8%45%49%87%24%51%41%47%44%50%43%
Inslee (D)44%40%47%46%42%47%40%43%44%44%****47%41%45%5%87%34%3%47%7%48%86%50%43%9%64%39%46%44%46%38%48%
Undecided10%10%11%20%9%9%8%13%9%10%****17%20%7%2%4%21%10%10%6%13%6%5%8%5%12%10%13%9%10%12%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%14%29%35%21%44%56%86%3%3%8%26%74%27%34%34%6%91%33%39%24%20%80%33%62%12%32%56%16%36%48%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.