Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16951
 
Republican Blowout in KS Statewide Contests: In a general election in Kansas today, 08/16/10, Republican candidates defeat Democrats 2:1 in 4 of 5 contests polled by SurveyUSA exclusively for KWCH-TV in Wichita.

In the race to replace Democrat Mark Parkinson as Kansas Governor, US Senator Sam Brownback and running mate Jeff Colyer defeat Democrats Tom Holland and Kelly Kultala 67% to 25%. Holland and Kultala, both State Senators, lead only among Democrats (23% of likely voters), those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party (22% of likely voters), and liberals (9% of likely voters). Among voters age 65+, the Democrats get 36% of the vote; among younger voters, among both male and female voters, and in all parts of the state, the Democrats are below 30%.

Brownback, who replaced Bob Dole in the US Senate in 1996 when Dole resigned to run for President, is not seeking re-election to his Senate seat, where today "Big First" Representative Republican Jerry Moran defeats Democrat Lisa Johnston 69% to 23%, with demographic breakdowns similar to those in the race for Governor. Johnston, a college professor and psychologist, holds just 2 of 3 Democratic votes; Moran gets 9 of 10 Republican and just shy of 6 of 10 Independent votes. Moran was elected to Congress in 1996, where he represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District, which comprises 69 counties in Western and Central Kansas, and geographically comprises more than half the state.

Down-ticket, Republican Kris Kobach defeats incumbent Democrat Chris Biggs 62% to 30% to become Secretary of State. Biggs was appointed to the seat by outgoing Governor Mark Parkinson in March 2010, and is seeking his first full term; Kobach is the former state Republican party chair.

Republican Ron Estes defeats incumbent Democrat Dennis McKinney 61% to 32% today in the race for State Treasurer. McKinney was appointed to the seat in 2008 by then-Governor Kathleen Sebelius; Estes is currently the Sedgwick County Treasurer.

The Republican is slightly less dominant in the race for Attorney General, where the Republican leads 5:3. Democratic incumbent Steve Six trails Republican challenger Derek Schmidt 54% to 34%. Six was appointed to the seat in 2008 by then-Governor Kathleen Sebelius; Schmidt is the State Senate Majority leader. A Libertarian candidate in the race, attorney Dennis Hawver, gets 7% of the overall vote and 22% of the vote among independents -- about twice the support of third party candidates in other Kansas statewide contests today. Six and Schmidt are tied among voters age 65+; Schmidt leads by 2½:1 among voters under age 50. Six leads by double digits among moderates, the only Democratic candidate in the 5 races polled by SurveyUSA who does so.

 
Filtering: 1,000 Kansas adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/12/10 through 08/15/10. Of them, 882 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 588 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. Advance ballots are mailed 10/13/10; in-person advance voting begins 10/26/10.
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for Kansas Governor were today, which ticket would you vote for? The Republican ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer? The Democratic ticket of Tom Holland and Kelly Kultala? The Libertarian ticket of Andrew Gray and Stacey Davis? Or The Reform Party ticket of Ken Cannon and Dan Faubion?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Brownback/Colyer (R)67%70%63%79%68%66%58%72%62%67%******88%24%53%87%50%25%86%17%72%69%64%69%71%64%53%84%44%71%60%66%67%63%65%82%
Holland/Kultala (D)25%22%28%16%19%27%36%18%31%25%******6%71%27%7%40%60%6%73%25%19%27%24%23%24%36%10%46%22%31%27%24%28%27%14%
Gray/Davis (L)3%3%3%1%4%4%2%3%3%3%******2%1%9%2%4%9%3%4%1%5%4%2%2%4%5%2%4%3%3%2%3%4%2%1%
Cannon/Faubion (RP)3%3%2%0%6%2%1%4%2%3%******2%1%6%3%2%2%4%2%1%0%3%2%1%5%4%3%3%3%2%2%3%3%3%1%
Undecided2%2%3%3%2%1%4%2%2%2%******1%2%5%1%3%3%1%4%2%7%2%3%3%2%2%1%3%1%4%3%2%2%3%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%16%29%31%24%45%55%91%3%3%3%58%23%18%49%37%9%48%22%20%11%55%45%61%22%16%55%42%56%40%37%63%52%32%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
Kansas voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, who would you vote for? Republican Jerry Moran? Democrat Lisa Johnston? Libertarian Michael Dann? Or Reform Party candidate Joe Bellis?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Moran (R)69%72%66%74%69%70%65%71%68%71%******89%30%58%88%55%32%86%26%74%68%68%70%72%70%52%82%52%74%62%67%70%67%66%81%
Johnston (D)23%21%26%22%21%23%29%21%25%22%******6%66%25%6%38%57%5%68%19%24%25%22%20%22%39%10%42%20%29%25%22%26%26%11%
Dann (L)3%3%2%2%3%3%2%3%3%3%******2%1%8%2%3%7%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%3%5%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%2%
Bellis (RP)2%2%2%0%4%1%1%3%1%2%******2%2%3%2%1%1%2%2%1%0%2%1%1%3%2%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%0%
Undecided3%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%2%******2%1%7%3%4%2%3%2%3%5%2%4%3%2%2%4%2%1%4%3%3%2%3%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%16%29%31%24%45%55%91%3%3%3%58%23%18%49%37%9%48%22%20%11%55%45%61%22%16%55%42%56%40%37%63%52%32%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
Kansas will also elect a Secretary of State. If the election for Secretary of State were today, who would you vote for? Republican Kris Kobach? Democrat Chris Biggs? Libertarian Philip Lucas? Or Reform Party candidate Derek Langseth?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Kobach (R)62%64%60%75%68%58%52%71%55%63%******83%22%50%85%44%20%82%15%64%62%64%60%65%63%49%79%40%65%56%58%63%63%62%62%
Biggs (D)30%28%31%16%25%32%41%22%36%29%******12%73%29%8%49%64%9%78%28%29%30%30%28%29%36%15%49%26%36%30%29%31%29%28%
Lucas (L)2%2%2%3%3%3%1%3%2%2%******1%1%7%2%3%5%3%2%1%0%3%2%2%2%5%1%3%3%2%4%2%3%2%1%
Langseth (RP)2%4%1%4%2%3%1%3%2%2%******1%1%9%2%1%5%4%2%1%1%1%4%1%3%6%2%3%4%1%3%2%1%4%4%
Undecided4%2%5%2%2%4%5%2%5%3%******3%2%6%3%4%6%2%4%5%9%3%4%4%2%4%3%4%2%5%4%3%3%4%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%16%29%31%24%45%55%91%3%3%3%58%23%18%49%37%9%48%22%20%11%55%45%61%22%16%55%42%56%40%37%63%52%32%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
Kansas will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? Republican Derek Schmidt? Democrat Steve Six? Or Libertarian Dennis Hawver?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Schmidt (R)54%56%51%67%57%50%47%60%49%54%******74%19%37%74%39%8%73%12%50%58%51%57%59%49%42%68%35%57%48%49%57%50%56%62%
Six (D)34%32%35%16%28%38%46%24%42%35%******18%73%33%15%52%65%14%79%37%28%34%34%29%37%47%18%55%33%38%36%32%36%31%32%
Hawver (L)7%6%8%12%9%7%2%10%5%6%******3%5%22%6%5%22%9%4%8%6%10%3%6%11%6%8%5%5%8%9%6%10%5%2%
Undecided5%5%6%5%6%5%5%6%5%5%******5%3%8%5%5%5%5%5%6%8%5%6%6%4%5%5%5%5%6%6%5%5%7%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%16%29%31%24%45%55%91%3%3%3%58%23%18%49%37%9%48%22%20%11%55%45%61%22%16%55%42%56%40%37%63%52%32%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
Kansas will also elect a State Treasurer. If the election for State Treasurer were today, who would you vote for? Republican Ron Estes? Or Democrat Dennis McKinney?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Estes (R)61%65%57%69%64%59%54%66%57%63%******81%22%50%84%43%28%83%15%58%60%60%62%62%63%54%77%41%64%55%56%64%59%64%62%
McKinney (D)32%29%35%26%29%34%39%28%36%31%******14%74%38%11%50%68%12%76%34%34%33%32%31%33%42%18%53%31%38%37%31%34%29%35%
Undecided7%5%8%4%7%7%7%6%7%6%******5%4%12%5%8%4%5%9%8%7%7%6%7%5%4%6%6%5%7%7%5%7%8%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%16%29%31%24%45%55%91%3%3%3%58%23%18%49%37%9%48%22%20%11%55%45%61%22%16%55%42%56%40%37%63%52%32%16%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.